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Why Dynasty Rookie Drafts Should be Before the NFL Draft

Why Dynasty Rookie Drafts Should be Before the NFL Draft


Historically, rookie drafts usually happen after the NFL Draft, once incoming rookies have a home in the NFL. While your league may never switch from the norm, it can be fun, and advantageous, to hold rookie drafts before the NFL Draft.

Start Building Your Dynasty

Starting rookie drafts before the NFL Draft can be more challenging—but it’s also a lot more fun. It forces managers to focus on talent over landing spot and rewards those who watch college football, study prospects, or put in the work reading rookie profiles and watching YouTube breakdowns instead of waiting for the NFL to tell them what to think.


Cam Ward Photo by Zach BolingerIcon Sportswire

Why Hold a Rookie Draft Before the NFL Draft?

The dynasty offseason can drag, especially when league activity slows down. A pre-NFL Draft rookie draft injects life back into the league. Managers are watching film—diving into tools like the Dynasty Nerds film room—and actively discussing prospects. That kind of engagement sparks conversation, wakes up inactive group chats, and leads to more trades.

It also creates strategic ripple effects. If a manager is high on a certain position in the rookie class, they may be more willing to move players from that same position on their current roster, knowing they can replenish it in the draft.

Sure, you can still get some of this by drafting after the NFL Draft—but doing it beforehand raises the stakes. The NFL Draft becomes an event for your league. Every pick matters more. You’re sweating landing spots, watching values shift in real time, and finding out which managers were ahead of the curve—and which ones reached too early.

It turns the NFL Draft into a shared experience, where you’re on the edge of your seat hoping your rookie lands in the perfect situation.

A Way to Compromise

While this type of draft may not be for everyone, there are still plenty of fun ways to approach it—especially with a hybrid rookie draft format.

So what does that look like?

If you follow the Dynasty Nerds App League, we use a Nostradamus rookie draft where the first two rounds are completed prior to the NFL Draft. This allows managers to focus strictly on talent evaluation without the influence of landing spots. (You can view those results here.) Once the NFL Draft concludes, the rookie draft resumes for the final three rounds.

This format creates a really interesting dynamic. Early third-round picks suddenly gain value, especially when players who were passed on early end up receiving strong NFL draft capital.

You can also tailor this setup to fit your league. For example, you might only complete the first round before the NFL Draft—leaning heavily on talent—then finish Rounds 2+ afterward once landing spots and draft capital come into play.

There’s no one-size-fits-all approach, but formats like this keep your league active, engaged, and competitive throughout the offseason.

Strategies Based on Past Experience

So how do you actually prepare for a rookie draft that happens before the NFL Draft?

Start with the Dynasty Nerds film room and all the free rookie profiles on the site. Analyzing the film is essential. From there, layer in vetted content—whether that’s podcasts or written breakdowns of the class. That combination of film + research helps you build real conviction before landing spots muddy the waters.

When you enter these drafts, prioritize talent over positional need. Team situations can change overnight after the NFL Draft, but talent tends to win out in the long run.

A simple rule to live by: Draft for Talent, Trade for Need.

That mindset keeps you from reaching on players just to fill a roster hole and instead builds long-term value on your roster.

Next, we’ll look at past rookie drafts to highlight key do’s and don’ts, using real ADP data from leagues I’ve participated in to show how values shifted before and after the NFL Draft.

Shedeur Sanders QB featured in the Week 13 Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advanced Stats Matchup Guide
Shedeur Sanders Photo by Frank JanskyIcon Sportswire

Avoid Red Flag QBs

Red Flag QBs Table
Player Post-Draft Pre-Draft Difference Draft Class
Quinn Ewers 40 16 -24 2025
Sam Howell 31 12 -19 2022
Shedeur Sanders 23 6 -17 2025
Malik Willis 16 2 -14 2022
Dillon Gabriel 49 32 -17 2025

Do not to take early shots on quarterbacks whose value is inconsistent across the industry. Each of these quarterbacks showed some level of upside, but also had clear red flags that led to drops in landing spot and draft capital. While Sam Howell did produce a QB1 season, his value has since fallen off, and although Malik Willis may be trending up heading into 2025, that outcome is still uncertain. Much of the 2025 class also remains to be seen. Taking aggressive swings on volatile quarterback profiles can lead to poor roster management in dynasty leagues, making it a smart approach to avoid these types of quarterbacks in rookie drafts prior to the NFL Draft.

Injury History Players/Deep Threats

Injury/Deep Threat Table
Player Post-Draft Pre-Draft Difference Draft Class
Kenny McIntosh 49 17 -32 2023
Justyn Ross 45 14 -31 2022
Sean Tucker 48 19 -29 2023
Braelon Allen 42 19 -23 2024
Isaiah Bond 49 27 -22 2025
Jacob Cowing 49 29 -20 2024
Ollie Gordon II 34 18 -16 2025
Zach Evans 32 18 -14 2023
Brashard Smith 47 33 -14 2025
Jalin Hyatt 26 16 -10 2023
Adonai Mitchell 23 13 -10 2024

These were players taken early in rookie drafts before the NFL Draft, whose ADP dropped 10 or more spots after the NFL Draft. Many of these cases highlight why it’s important to be cautious with prospects who carry injury concerns or are labeled strictly as deep-threat receivers. You can also view this as a lesson against chasing pure upside when the negatives are still significant—whether that’s a limited ability to play all three downs, an underdeveloped route tree, or overall inconsistency in their profile.

Avoid Landing Spot Trap

Landing Spots Trap Table
Player Post-Draft Pre-Draft Difference Draft Class
Desmond Ridder 9 17 8 2022
Dameon Pierce 22 31 9 2022
Jaydon Blue 31 41 10 2025
Ja’Lynn Polk 19 30 11 2024
Skyy Moore 11 23 12 2022
Jack Bech 22 35 13 2025
Roschon Johnson 12 27 15 2023
Jonathan Mingo 18 49 31 2023
Ben Sinnott 24 46 22 2024
Devin Neal 17 36 19 2025
John Metchie III 21 29 8 2022
Kyle Williams 32 49 17 2025
Kimani Vidal 32 49 17 2024
Josh Downs 27 14 -13 2023
Jaylin Noel 29 17 -12 2025
Bucky Irving 33 23 -10 2024

This is a great example of why you should consider doing rookie drafts prior to the NFL Draft. Many of these players were taken later in pre-draft rookie drafts but saw their ADP rise significantly after landing spots and draft capital boosted their perception. This creates an opportunity to avoid paying for post-draft hype and instead capitalize on value beforehand. Players like Skyy Moore jumped into the first round of rookie drafts despite not being viewed as a top-five receiver pre-draft, while Roschon Johnson saw a spike in value due to solid draft capital and landing spot despite limited college workload behind Bijan Robinson. Jonathan Mingo is another great example to not fall into the landing spot trap. He went undrafted in our pre-NFL Draft rookie draft, but after receiving strong draft capital from Carolina, he quickly rose to an early second-round rookie pick.

Good Experiences

Good Value Table
Player Post-Draft Pre-Draft Difference Draft Class
Sam LaPorta 20 30 10 2023
Tyrone Tracy Jr. 39 49 10 2024
Elijah Arroyo 27 37 10 2025
RJ Harvey 13 23 10 2025
Rashee Rice 19 32 13 2023
Bhayshul Tuten 21 34 13 2025
Michael Wilson 33 49 16 2023
James Cook III 8 26 18 2022
Tyler Shough 25 46 21 2025
Mason Taylor 18 39 21 2025

These are the types of values that make pre-NFL Draft rookie drafts so appealing. Players who go late in these drafts can see their ADP skyrocket once the NFL Draft unfolds.

It’s examples like this that make drafting early both fun and rewarding. Rashee Rice was a strong value in the third round, with many managers able to grab him a full round later than where he eventually settled post-draft. James Cook is another great example—he was going in the early third round prior to the NFL Draft, but after landing in Buffalo, his value jumped all the way into the first round of rookie drafts.

This is the kind of upside you can capture by drafting before the NFL Draft—identifying talent early and capitalizing before landing spots inflate player value.

Recent 2026 Rookie Draft

With much of the 2026 rookie class currently valued on the lower end, the first round of rookie drafts feels fairly predictable. Many expect Mike Washington’s landing spot to ultimately lock him into Round 1 consideration. The talent is there—and if he lands in the right situation, the upside alone justifies the price.

Round 2 is where drafts can truly swing leagues. This is the make-or-break range for dynasty managers. Players like Ja’Kobi Lane and Germie Bernard could emerge as strong values, especially if they secure early Day 2 draft capital. On the flip side, prospects like Nick Singleton and Emmett Johnson could slide due to offseason concerns, leading to weaker draft capital and making them riskier selections.

Beyond the top two rounds is where things really get interesting. Tight ends could see a value spike based purely on draft capital, as we’ve seen in past classes. At wide receiver, names like Malachi Fields, Antonio Williams, and Ted Hurst stand out as potential third-round values. There’s also late-round appeal at running back with players like J’Mari Taylor and Seth McGowan, who could gain relevance quickly with the right landing spot.

This is what makes rookie draft season so exciting. The NFL Draft has always mattered—but when your rookie draft is already complete, it becomes even more impactful. Every pick carries weight, and every landing spot has the power to shift values in real time.


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