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CFB Picks: The Point Spread
College football picks can be complicated, and people often get confused about the point spread. Many people that tune in to ESPN on a Saturday are focusing on the point spread of a particular game.
Basically, the point spread is the number of points oddsmakers think the favored team should win by. Thus, you have the choice to choose the favorite and give up points or take the underdog and get points. Accordingly, the odds for placing a bet against the spread is usually -110, which means the bettor must risk $110 to win $100.
For example, in 2022 the Alabama Crimson Tide were favored by 19 points over the Texas Longhorns. In this case, Alabama won the game by one point, 20-19. Therefore, that means betting the Longhorns as an underdog was the winning beat, as they “covered the spread”, even though Texas lost the game.
CFB Picks: The Moneyline
Nearly every college football game will have a “moneyline”. The moneyline for a game represents how Vegas views how the game will end, which team will win and lose. It must be remembered that moneyline bets offer higher risk with lower return on favorites. Conversely, betting on underdogs carry lower risks with higher returns.
In short, moneyline bets are useful college football picks, especially for parlay bets, because you do not have to worry about how much a team wins by, only if they win or lose. Furthermore, it will cost more to bet the moneyline on favorites straight up if you are trying to make $100, while betting on underdogs has the potential for a larger payoff.
For example, in 2022 the Alabama Crimson Tide played the Texas Longhorns. In this case, Alabama was -1600 to win the game outright, which means the bettor would have had to wager $1600 to win $100. Conversely, Texas was +900 to win, which means the bettor would have won $900 on a $100 IF Texas had won. In general, betting the moneyline can be the key to finding winning college football picks
The Total (Over/Under)
There is more to having winning college football picks than just wins and losses. Generally, nearly every college football game will have a “total”. Basically, the total, also known as the over/under, represents how many combined points the oddsmakers think will be scored in a game by both teams. The odds for total bets are normally -110, which means the bettor would have to wager $110 to win $100.
For example, in 2022 the Alabama Crimson Tide played the Texas Longhorns, the total was 64.5 points. In this case, the bettor had to decide whether they thought the score would be under or over 64.5 points, hence the term “over/under”. Consequently, the game ended 20-19, for a total of 39 points, which was under the total. With this in mind, our premium college football picks help take the guess work out of your Saturdays.
College Football Picks: Prop Bets
There are many college football picks that are outside of the normal plays. Many bookmakers offer proposition bets, or “prop bets” for short, which gives the bettor an opportunity to wager on specific aspects of the games other than the spread, moneyline and total. Generally, each week there are prop bets available for most of the big national games.
For instance, there are prop bets for how many yards an offensive player might have, how many touchdowns individual players will score, or even things like which team will win the coin-toss or whether the coin will land on heads or tails.
For the most part, prop bets are listed like Over/Under totals or yes/or questions, such as “Will Player X rush for Over/Under 79.5 yards”, or “Will Player Z throw an interception?”
Parlay Wagers
The Oxford Dictionary defines “parlay” as “a cumulative series of bets in which winnings accruing from each transaction are used as a stake for a further bet.”
In other words, a parlay wager is betting and on 2 or more game outcomes on the same ticket. Each addition team added to the parlay makes the payout increase. Consequently, to win a parlay bet, all the college football picks must win.
To clarify, the odds are heavily against the bettor on parlay bets on two different fronts, the true odds and the odds paid. For example, the true odds of hitting a 10-team parlay are 1023-1, but the odds paid at most sportsbooks are 720-1.
Thus many bettors use parlay bets to stack moneyline bets for games they feel most strongly about. For instance, if the bettor picks an underdog on the moneyline, the expected payout can increase dramatically, along with the bettor’s chance of losing the bet.
Betting on the Future
When determining your college football picks, one wagering option, known as Futures, allows the bettor to bet on a long-running result instead of betting a single-game outcome. Basically, there are several preseason futures bets available before the college football season begins, and there are some futures bets that run during the season, with the odds changing week by week.
Before the season begins, a bettor has the option to place future wagers on win/loss records, conference champs, the Heisman Trophy winner, even which team will win the national championship.
For example, in 2021 a $100 futures wager on UGA would have netted the bettor $1,200.