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Week 12 Start/Sit Full Slate

Tyrod Taylor NYJ QB starts for the Week 12 Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advanced Stats after replacing Justin Fields.


The Week 12 Fantasy Football Start/Sit with Advanced Stats was curated by Senior Staff Nerd Steven Pintado using statistics from the Fantasy Points Data Suite. Whether you’re setting lineups for redraft, dynasty, or DFS, these stats highlight usage trends and defensive tendencies that go beyond the 2025 box score—giving you the inside info you need to win in Week 12!

Use these metrics alongside Dynasty Nerds Week 12 Waiver Wire article, Week 12 Trade Advice, and our All-in-One Weekly Content hub to optimize your fantasy football lineups.


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Below in each dropdown are the full Week 12 Team Stats powered by Fantasy Points Data Suite. Use these metrics to make informed Start/Sit decisions, place prop bets, or make DFS lineup calls.

Thursday Night Football | 8:15 PM | Week 12 Start/Sit Fantasy Football

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Buffalo Bills (7-3) @ Houston Texans (5-5)

Key Advanced Player Stats | Week 12 Start/Sit

  • Josh Allen – The Bills QBs could have a down game against the Texans, who allow the 2nd-lowest ADJ Comp% (70%). Seven percent lower than Allen’s current percentage.
  • Woody Marks – The rookie running back should get things going this week against the Bills, who allow the 4th-highest Exp Run % (runs of 15+) at 7.4%.
Team Def. Rank vs QBs Def. Rank vs RBs Def. Rank vs WRs Def. Rank vs TEs Def. 2-Man % Def. Zone % 1-High Sfty % 2-High Sfty % Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards Per Game
Bills 🔴 5 🟢 31 🟡 12 🔴 1 24.3 69.6 47.8 52.2 62.0 29.2 239.8 147.6
Texans 🔴 1 🔴 9 🔴 4 🔴 4 17.4 77.5 46.6 53.4 58.7 22.8 225.7 81.4
Quarterback Advanced Matchup Stats
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter Fantasy Points P/G FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM QB Rate vs Man QB Rate vs Zone QB Rate vs 2 High QB Rate vs 1 High YAC % ADJ Comp % 1 Read % ADOT
Bills Josh Allen Mid QB1 94% 28.3 32.0 238.4 2.8 34.2 90.8 112.4 108.9 103.5 51.2 77.5 62.1 8.1
Texans Davis Mills Low QB2 73% 14.4 18.7 192.5 1.0 33.5 47.5 80.2 74.5 91.9 26.2 67.5 75.0 9.1
Running Back Advanced Matchup Stats
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter (%) FPPG FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) Touches/G ATT (%) Off. Snaps (%) TGT (%) i5 (%) i20 (%) EXP Run (%) MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
Bills James Cook Low RB1 91% 17.2 18.4 20.3 60 60 7.7 29.2 50.0 4.9 0.20 2.8 2.6 14.7
Bills Ty Johnson Low RB4 63% 3.6 6.8 2.7 6 29 4.0 4.2 6.7 5.3 0.10 2.7 1.6 3.3
Texans Nick Chubb High RB4 67% 6.5 4.7 11.0 38 38 5.0 30.8 26.5 3.0 0.10 2.4 1.8 8.7
Texans Woody Marks High RB2 88% 8.6 9.1 11.5 38 48 6.9 46.2 47.1 4.0 0.00 2.1 1.4 10.8
Wide Receivers Advanced Matchup Stats
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG Last 4 Wks TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Advantage Score Primary Defender Man Win Rate Zone Win Rate Slot % YAC EZTGT 1st Read %
Bills Khalil Shakir Mid WR3 75% 8.7 8.8 6.1 19.7 0.24 25.1 1.14 🟡 Myles Bryant 12.7 4.4 72.1 364.0 0.0 23.1
Bills Keon Coleman Mid WR5 55% 7.2 6.4 5.4 17.8 0.21 24.9 10.0 6.3 16.5 70.0 4.0 22.8
Texans Nico Collins Low WR1 91% 12.6 16.6 9.1 25.1 0.28 32.4 1.15 🟢 Christian Benford 22.1 14.4 19.9 156.0 9.0 29.7
Texans Christian Kirk Outside Top 60 45% 3.7 2.2 5.2 12.6 0.20 25.0 0.97 🟡 Taron Johnson 17.5 3.0 72.0 50.0 1.0 12.6
Texans Jayden Higgins Mid WR4 65% 5.5 8.1 3.6 9.9 0.18 19.5 0.94 🔴 Tre’Davious White 23.4 6.6 17.4 61.0 6.0 11.6
Texans Jaylin Noel Outside Top 60 43% 3.7 3.9 2.5 6.9 0.19 12.9 11.1 1.1 67.4 84.0 0.0 8.5
Tight End Advanced Matchup Stats
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) TGT/G TGT % TPRR RTE/G Slot RTE % Inline RTE % YAC EZTGT 1st Read % Man Win Rate Zone Win Rate
Bills Dawson Knox Outside Top 24 55% 3.0 3.4 2.1 6.7 0.1 15.7 38.2 43.9 65.0 2.0 8.1 12.2 3.8
Texans Dalton Schultz High TE2 74% 8.0 9.4 6.8 18.5 0.2 29.2 33.2 58.6 235.0 2.0 19.7 17.9 3.6

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Indianapolis Colts (8-2) @ Kansas City Chiefs (5-5)

Key Advanced Player Stats | Week 12 Start/Sit

  • Colts WRs – The Colts receivers have done well in recent weeks, but that may stop in Week 12 as they face the Chiefs, who have allowed just 1 receiver over the last 6 games to get over 70 yards.
  • Kareem Hunt – the veteran running back could find the endzone against the Colts, who have given up a touchdown to an RB in 3 straight games.
Team Def. Rank vs QBs Def. Rank vs RBs Def. Rank vs WRs Def. Rank vs TEs Def. 2-Man % Def. Zone % 1-High Sfty % 2-High Sfty % Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards Per Game
Colts 🟡 12 🟡 12 🟡 21 🟢 29 29.3 62.2 46.3 53.7 61.9 32.1 251.6 145.3
Chiefs 🔴 10 🔴 6 🔴 2 🔴 6 24.2 70.6 50.6 49.4 64.0 25.4 248.9 115.3
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter Fantasy Points P/G FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM QB Rate vs Man QB Rate vs Zone QB Rate vs 2 High QB Rate vs 1 High YAC % ADJ Comp % 1 Read % ADOT
Colts Daniel Jones High QB2 85% 22.3 20.9 280.2 2.0 35.9 102.0 100.1 103.4 99.6 44.6 77.4 77.1 8.7
Chiefs Patrick Mahomes Mid QB1 93% 25.6 18.3 291.3 2.2 41.7 86.9 100.6 104.2 88.4 54.0 76.1 71.5 8.2
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter (%) FPPG FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) Touches/G ATT (%) Off. Snaps (%) TGT (%) i5 (%) i20 (%) EXP Run (%) MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
Colts Jonathan Taylor High RB1 97% 25.3 30.4 21.9 69 83 9.9 61.5 67.1 7.9 0.20 2.9 3.2 19.0
Chiefs Isiah Pacheco** High RB3 78% 6.8 5.8 11.1 30 57 6.0 0.0 27.3 1.3 0.10 2.3 1.9 8.3
Chiefs Kareem Hunt Low RB2 81% 8.9 13.8 9.6 33 44 3.3 71.4 38.2 1.2 0.10 2.3 1.8 8.0

** Pacheco has a chance to play – if he does then both running backs are RB3s (Hunt TD or bust)

Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG Last 4 Wks TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Advantage Score Primary Defender Man Win Rate Zone Win Rate Slot % YAC EZTGT 1st Read %
Colts Michael Pittman Jr. Mid WR2 83% 12.3 12.8 7.0 21.0 0.22 30.6 1.16 🟢 Jaylen Watson 26.8 5.9 27.1 202.0 3.0 24.5
Colts Alec Pierce High WR3 76% 9.9 12.9 6.6 19.7 0.21 30.9 0.97 🟡 Trent McDuffie 16.9 16.6 10.1 84.0 3.0 24.4
Colts Josh Downs Mid WR4 64% 7.3 8.3 5.3 16.2 0.24 22.1 1.11 🟡 Christian Roland-Wallace 20.0 7.8 79.9 80.0 3.0 18.0
Chiefs Rashee Rice High WR1 96% 16.0 14.8 8.8 23.6 0.33 26.8 1.54 🟢 Kenny Moore 20.0 7.9 42.1 163.0 1.0 27.6
Chiefs Xavier Worthy Mid WR3 75% 6.9 5.4 5.5 15.3 0.21 26.3 1.11 🟡 Mekhi Blackmon 16.1 10.0 36.2 126.0 3.0 19.0
Chiefs Hollywood Brown Outside Top 60 48% 8.6 4.8 5.7 15.2 0.23 24.4 1.21 🟢 Sauce Gardner 11.5 4.1 37.7 134.0 3.0 16.3
Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter (%) FPPG FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) TGT/G TGT % TPRR RTE/G Slot RTE % Inline RTE % YAC EZTGT 1st Read % Man Win Rate Zone Win Rate
Colts Tyler Warren High TE1 93% 11.1 8.8 6.7 19.8 0.2 28.9 45.3 39.4 386.0 3.0 22.5 1.7 3.2
Chiefs Travis Kelce Mid TE1 90% 11.3 16.4 6.7 18.0 0.2 30.1 47.2 27.2 351.0 2.0 19.8 17.6 7.0

Pittsburgh Steelers (6-4) @ Chicago Bears (7-3)

Key Advanced Player Stats | Week 12 Start/Sit

  • DK Metcalf – The veteran receiver could struggle vs the Bears as they have kept opposing WR1s to 60 yards in 3 of the last 4 outings.
  • Bears Backfield – The Bears running back Duo should have success on the ground against the Steelers, who allow the 7th-highest Exp Run % at 6.3%.
Team Def. Rank vs QBs Def. Rank vs RBs Def. Rank vs WRs Def. Rank vs TEs Def. 2-Man % Def. Zone % 1-High Sfty % 2-High Sfty % Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards Per Game
Steelers 🟢 23 🔴 7 🟢 28 🟢 28 35.5 61.2 57.0 43.0 55.5 24.6 198.7 88.2
Bears 🟢 27 🟡 16 🟢 30 🟡 16 28.2 65.3 53.9 46.1 64.9 25.8 227.2 146.6
Quarterback Advanced Matchup Stats
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter Fantasy Points P/G FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM QB Rate vs Man QB Rate vs Zone QB Rate vs 2 High QB Rate vs 1 High YAC % ADJ Comp % 1 Read % ADOT
Steelers Aaron Rodgers** Mid QB2 80% 18.3 13.7 199.5 1.9 31.5 87.6 97.0 106.4 86.8 66.7 78.1 67.1 6.2
Steelers Mason Rudolph Mid QB2 78% 3.8 11.0 46.0 0.3 6.0 124.5 95.8 140.8 93.4 97.8 87.5 61.1 2.3
Bears Caleb Williams Low QB1 89% 21.0 21.4 260.1 1.6 36.8 102.0 85.9 91.8 88.4 51.5 72.3 61.2 8.9

** Rodgers is unsure for Week 12. Likely to see Mason Rudolph

Running Back Advanced Matchup Stats
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter % FPPG FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) Touches/G ATT % Off. Snaps % TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
Steelers Jaylen Warren** Mid RB2 85% 11.8 10.5 16.4 54 55 9.8 72.7 68.8 3.3 0.30 2.8 1.6 13.2
Steelers Kenneth Gainwell Mid RB2 85% 9.1 8.8 9.7 27 46 13.7 35.7 30.0 3.3 0.20 2.1 1.9 11.0
Bears D’Andre Swift Mid RB2 83% 13.8 11.8 17.4 44 60 10.9 61.5 48.2 5.2 0.20 2.0 2.7 14.6
Bears Kyle Monangai Low RB3 71% 7.4 10.7 9.7 29 39 3.9 33.3 29.9 4.6 0.10 2.5 2.3 7.7

** Unsure if Warren will play or not – Gainwell drops to a low RB3 if Warren plays.

Wide Receivers Advanced Matchup Stats
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG Last 4 Wks TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Advantage Score Primary Defender Man Win Rate Zone Win Rate Slot % YAC EZTGT 1st Read %
Steelers DK Metcalf Low WR2 81% 10.4 7.0 6.2 20.5 0.22 28.9 1.30 🟢 Nahshon Wright 12.4 12.0 20.4 318.0 8.0 26.3
Steelers Calvin Austin III High WR5 56% 5.9 4.1 4.6 14.8 0.19 23.1 0.99 🟡 C.J. Gardner-Johnson 19.4 0.9 50.3 85.0 2.0 19.9
Bears DJ Moore High WR4 68% 8.1 8.3 5.2 14.8 0.16 29.7 0.83 🔴 Joey Porter 22.2 9.6 33.3 166.0 5.0 16.1
Bears Rome Odunze High WR2 86% 11.6 9.4 7.5 22.1 0.24 31.0 1.11 🟡 Darius Slay 26.2 11.7 37.1 209.0 10.0 26.8
Bears Luther Burden III High WR5 59% 4.6 3.7 2.6 7.8 0.23 11.3 1.11 🟡 Brandin Echols 29.4 2.5 41.2 125.0 0.0 10.8
Bears Olamide Zaccheaus Outside Top 60 44% 4.9 5.7 5.0 14.5 0.24 20.3 8.3 6.4 55.2 111.0 1.0 16.6
Tight End Advanced Matchup Stats
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) TGT/G TGT % TPRR RTE/G SLOT RTE % INLINE RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE
Steelers Pat Freiermuth Low TE2 60% 5.7 5.1 2.9 9.1 0.2 15.6 57.7 19.2 144.0 2.0 10.2 8.0 1.1
Steelers Jonnu Smith Outside Top 24 45% 4.2 1.9 3.8 11.7 0.2 19.1 47.6 35.6 133.0 1.0 11.2 3.5 0.0
Steelers Darnell Washington Outside Top 24 50% 3.8 4.3 2.6 8.5 0.2 10.7 15.9 67.3 125.0 2.0 8.8 4.8 7.1
Bears Cole Kmet Outside Top 24 45% 3.7 3.2 3.1 9.2 0.2 18.7 22.6 48.2 82.0 2.0 8.3 13.8 0.8
Bears Colston Loveland Low TE1 80% 6.3 11.3 3.6 11.2 0.2 19.9 27.4 46.9 155.0 3.0 12.4 7.5 4.7

New England Patriots (9-2) @ Cincinnati Bengals (3-7)

Key Advanced Player Stats | Start/Sit

  • TreVeyon Henderson – Expect the rookie to continue to dominate as he faces the Bengals defense, which allows the 4th-highest YACO at 2.55
  • Chase Brown – While Brown may struggle on the ground, the Patriots have given up at least 5 receptions to a back in 5 of the last 6 games.  
Team Def. Rank vs QBs Def. Rank vs RBs Def. Rank vs WRs Def. Rank vs TEs Def. 2-Man % Def. Zone % 1-High Sfty % 2-High Sfty % Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards Per Game
Patriots 🟡 17 🔴 1 🟢 22 🟢 22 27.5 69.2 52.6 47.4 61.3 26.5 244.1 112.9
Bengals 🟢 30 🟢 32 🟡 15 🟢 32 23.2 70.5 52.0 48.0 58.7 22.8 225.7 81.4
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter Fantasy Points P/G FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM QB Rate vs Man QB Rate vs Zone QB Rate vs 2 High QB Rate vs 1 High YAC % ADJ Comp % 1 Read % ADOT
Patriots Drake Maye High QB1 98% 23.8 23.1 284.6 2.0 36.4 133.6 103.4 116.4 110.8 39.7 82.3 68.4 9.3
Bengals Joe Flacco Mid QB1 81% 26.7 26.3 293.6 2.6 43.7 72.1 87.1 92.7 67.7 49.6 75.2 63.8 7.0
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) Touches/G ATT % Off. Snaps % TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
Patriots Rhamondre Stevenson** High RB3 79% 8.4 5.4 12.4 26 62 8.3 63.6 43.6 3.6 0.20 2.2 1.2 10.3
Patriots TreVeyon Henderson Mid RB1 95% 10.2 18.4 11.5 32 47 9.0 18.8 34.5 5.0 0.10 1.7 3.2 9.6
Bengals Chase Brown High RB2 89% 11.4 18.3 16.5 66 68 13.9 81.8 65.5 4.0 0.20 2.6 1.5 16.3

** No word if Stevenson returns in Week 12 – if so Henderson would drop to a borderline RB1.

Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG Last 4 Wks TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Advantage Score Primary Defender Man Win Rate Zone Win Rate Slot % YAC EZTGT 1st Read %
Patriots Stefon Diggs Mid WR1 94% 10.3 12.1 6.5 22.0 0.27 24.3 1.31 🟢 Daxton Hill 26.1 3.8 47.2 214.0 2.0 23.6
Patriots DeMario Douglas Outside Top 60 50% 5.7 8.1 3.2 10.2 0.21 14.5 42.9 4.6 79.2 154.0 3.0 12.3
Patriots Kayshon Boutte** Mid WR4 65% 9.4 7.5 3.4 11.7 0.14 24.1 1.14 🟡 DJ Turner 13.2 11.7 12.4 26.0 4.0 14.2
Patriots Mack Hollins High WR4 67% 5.5 9.1 3.5 11.8 0.20 19.7 1.09 🟡 Josh Newton 25.5 10.5 22.1 81.0 3.0 14.5
Bengals Tee Higgins High WR2 89% 11.6 11.2 6.4 16.6 0.18 34.7 1.00 🟡 Carlton Davis 21.4 6.4 11.2 127.0 8.0 23.8
Bengals Andrei Iosivas Low WR5 52% 4.2 6.3 3.5 9.4 0.10 30.0 0.77 🔴 Marcus Jones 28.0 2.7 67.3 72.0 2.0 8.9

** Boutte Could return this week.

Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter (%) FPPG FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) TGT/G TGT TPRR RTE/G Slot RTE Inline RTE YAC EZTGT 1st Read Man Win Rate Zone Win Rate
Patriots Hunter Henry Mid TE1 88% 7.6 5.6 4.8 15.5 0.2 26.4 43.4 34.1 172 4 17.7 21.5 2.4
Bengals Noah Fant Outside Top 24 58% 6.1 6.5 3.8 9.5 0.2 16.4 23.0 66.9 151 2 8.7 0.0 3.7

New York Jets (2-8) @ Baltimore Ravens (5-5)

Key Advanced Player Stats | Starts/Sit

  • Mason Taylor – The young TE could continue to give mediocre numbers without much upside, as the Ravens have kept TEs to low yardage and just 1 touchdown since Week 2.
  • Derrick Henry – While on a FPPG basis, Henry looks great, but the Jets do allow the 3rd-fewest YBCO at 1.37. It may not matter for Henry’s talent.
Team Def. Rank vs QBs Def. Rank vs RBs Def. Rank vs WRs Def. Rank vs TEs Def. 2-Man % Def. Zone % 1-High Sfty % 2-High Sfty % Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards Per Game
Jets 🟢 22 🟢 23 🟡 16 🟡 19 31.4 60.0 44.9 55.1 59.3 20.9 139.9 141.6
Ravens 🟡 19 🟢 22 🟢 25 🔴 8 33.6 60.8 60.8 39.2 56.6 25.2 180.0 142.0
Quarterback Advanced Matchup Stats
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter Fantasy Points P/G FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM QB Rate vs Man QB Rate vs Zone QB Rate vs 2 High QB Rate vs 1 High YAC % ADJ Comp % 1 Read % ADOT
Jets Tyrod Taylor Low QB2 74% 11.1 0.0 153.0 1.0 30.3 64.6 72.5 62.7 83.0 41.2 85.2 63.8 9.0
Ravens Lamar Jackson High QB1 96% 24.3 19.0 238.4 2.3 30.0 119.4 108.6 108.4 122.6 45.6 80.0 64.5 8.6
Running Back Advanced Matchup Stats
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter % FPPG FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) Touches/G ATT % Off. Snaps % TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
Jets Breece Hall Mid RB2 85% 12.9 19.4 17.6 54 63 10.2 50.0 38.9 9.9 0.20 1.9 2.8 12.0
Jets Isaiah Davis Mid RB4 64% 3.1 6.0 3.5 8 30 7.3 0.0 13.9 9.1 0.30 4.5 1.5 4.4
Ravens Derrick Henry Mid RB1 94% 13.2 15.2 17.7 61 56 5.3 75.0 54.2 4.8 0.10 2.5 2.4 13.3
Ravens Keaton Mitchell Low RB4 62% 3.0 4.0 4.2 8 12 3.3 0.0 15.6 9.5 0.10 1.5 4.4 3.3
Wide Receivers Advanced Matchup Stats
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG Last 4 Wks TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Advantage Score Primary Defender Man Win Rate Zone Win Rate Slot % YAC EZTGT 1st Read %
Jets Adonai Mitchell Low WR5 52% 1.5 0.9 6.0 7.1 0.26 9.0 0.90 🔴 Chidobe Awuzie 33.3 7.9 16.0 54.0 1.0 9.5
Jets John Metchie Mid WR5 55% 6.1 4.0 2.0 3.5 0.20 4.1 0.90 🔴 Nate Wiggins 25.0 0.0 51.4 28.0 0.0 2.7
Jets Tyler Johnson Outside Top 60 30% 3.3 4.6 1.8 5.6 0.10 15.3 2.9 2.1 42.0 60.0 1.0 5.3
Ravens Zay Flowers Mid WR2 84% 10.4 9.9 7.1 26.7 0.25 28.4 1.23 🟢 Qwan’tez Stiggers 19.4 12.2 37.7 314.0 1.0 32.5
Ravens Rashod Bateman** Outside Top 60 45% 4.6 6.0 3.6 12.2 0.14 22.7 27.0 9.8 11.8 37.0 3.0 12.5

** may not play but there is no good second option.

Tight End Advanced Matchup Stats
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter (%) FPPG FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) TGT/G TGT % TPRR RTE/G Slot RTE % Inline RTE % YAC EZTGT 1st Read % Man Win Rate Zone Win Rate
Jets Mason Taylor Mid TE2 68% 5.3 5.9 4.8 16.7 0.2 25.7 30.7 46.7 105.0 2.0 17.5 7.3 3.1
Ravens Mark Andrews Low TE1 80% 8.4 10.9 4.3 16.4 0.2 19.3 65.3 16.6 72.0 7.0 21.7 18.6 3.6
Ravens Isaiah Likely Outside Top 24 55% 2.5 3.6 2.4 8.6 0.1 17.3 67.8 18.2 52.0 1.0 8.9 10.0 2.3

Seattle Seahawks (7-3) @ Tennessee Titans (1-9)

Key Advanced Player Stats | Starts/Sit

  • Titans WRs – This young receiver group will likely struggle to make an impact as they face the Seahawks, who run the 6th-most zone coverage, and none of the receivers have a good rate of separation against zone coverage.
  • Ken Walker: Walker could follow up week 12 with another great game against the Titans, who allow the 4th most YBCO at 2.22, and Walker has done well in that stat this year.
Team Def. Rank vs QBs Def. Rank vs RBs Def. Rank vs WRs Def. Rank vs TEs Def. 2-Man % Def. Zone % 1-High Sfty % 2-High Sfty % Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards Per Game
Seahawks 🟡 16 🔴 8 🔴 8 🟢 27 14.2 78.4 43.5 56.5 59.3 29.4 249.4 116.4
Titans 🟡 20 🟢 28 🟢 26 🔴 9 19.1 74.1 41.8 58.2 57.3 14.3 163.6 78.9
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter Fantasy Points P/G FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM QB Rate vs Man QB Rate vs Zone QB Rate vs 2 High QB Rate vs 1 High YAC % ADJ Comp % 1 Read % ADOT
Seahawks Sam Darnold High QB2 86% 18.3 16.1 259.1 1.7 28.7 99.3 105.8 101.5 108.4 38.4 80.2 64.7 9.6
Titans Cameron Ward QB3 63% 9.8 12.1 203.3 0.6 38.7 61.2 72.6 73.5 74.2 47.6 71.6 58.4 8.1
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter % FPPG FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) Touches/G ATT % Off. Snaps % TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
Seahawks Kenneth Walker III Mid RB2 84% 9.8 11.1 14.7 44 45 5.4 35 38.5 7.4 0.30 2.0 2.4 11.0
Seahawks Zach Charbonnet High RB3 78% 9.1 8.4 12.7 34 49 3.9 55.6 45.9 2.9 0.20 2.4 0.9 10.2
Titans Tony Pollard Low RB3 72% 8.2 5.7 14.9 65 69 8.1 40 50 2.3 0.10 2.4 1.5 11.7
Titans Tyjae Spears Mid RB3 73% 7.2 9.8 8.7 17 46 9.2 20 26.7 2.9 0.10 2.3 2.3 7.6
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG Last 4 Wks TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Advantage Score Primary Defender Man Win Rate Zone Win Rate Slot % YAC EZTGT 1st Read %
Seahawks Jaxon Smith-Njigba High WR1 97% 18.2 17.3 9.7 34.1 0.36 26.2 1.83 🟢 Darrell Baker 31.1 16.7 20.6 294.0 3.0 45.5
Seahawks Cooper Kupp Mid WR4 64% 6.4 6.1 4.7 15.9 0.19 23.2 0.98 🟡 Marcus Harris 23.1 5.6 52.2 199.0 1.0 18.3
Seahawks Rashid Shaheed Low WR3 70% 3.4 6.5 3.0 19.1 0.20 29.6 0.99 🟡 Jalyn Armour-Davis 21.1 5.8 37.1 157.0 3.0 21.9
Titans Van Jefferson Outside Top 60 40% 3.3 4.5 3.3 9.6 0.16 19.6 0.69 🔴 Josh Jobe 24.3 4.7 10.7 50.0 1.0 9.8
Titans Chimere Duke Low WR4 60% 4.0 7.4 3.6 10.2 0.19 18.3 0.81 🔴 Devon Witherspoon 11.8 4.3 73.8 111.0 2.0 13.4
Titans Elic Ayomanor Mid WR5 53% 5.9 5.1 5.9 16.9 0.19 29.7 0.77 🔴 Riq Woolen 24.6 8.3 17.8 96.0 3.0 22.2
Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter % FPPG FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) TGT/G TGT % TPRR RTE/G Slot RTE % Inline RTE % YAC EZTGT 1st Read % Man Win Rate Zone Win Rate
Seahawks AJ Barner Mid TE2 70% 7.1 7.5 3.7 12.3 0.2 18.8 9.6 86.2 138.0 1.0 10.1 2.2 0.8
Titans Chig Okonkwo Mid TE2 66% 5.0 5.5 4.2 12.3 0.2 23.0 45.2 40.4 185.0 0.0 14.9 13.0 2.3

Minnesota Vikings (4-6) @ Green Bay Packers (6-3-1)

Key Advanced Player Stats | Starts/Sit

  • JJ McCarthey: The 2nd year QB could struggle against the Packers, who allow the lowest 1st Read % at 58.7%. McCarthy ranks in the top 10 among quarterbacks.
  • Luke Musgrave: Musgrave may not be the TE1 in Green Bay as we assumed, as he played only 35% of the snaps & ran only 10 routes in Week 11.
Team Def. Rank vs QBs Def. Rank vs RBs Def. Rank vs WRs Def. Rank vs TEs Def. 2-Man % Def. Zone % 1-High Sfty % 2-High Sfty % Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards Per Game
Vikings 🟡 13 🟡 13 🔴 7 🟢 23 24.1 69.4 34.5 65.5 57.4 21.8 193.0 103.4
Packers 🔴 8 🔴 10 🔴 9 🟡 13 18.4 76.9 51.4 48.6 60.6 24.0 230.5 113.5
Quarterback Advanced Matchup Stats
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter Fantasy Points P/G FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM QB Rate vs Man QB Rate vs Zone QB Rate vs 2 High QB Rate vs 1 High YAC % ADJ Comp % 1 Read % ADOT
Vikings J.J. McCarthy Low QB2 75% 14.9 15.9 190.4 1.6 32.8 61.5 58.7 64.4 59.4 37.5 69.8 67.9 10.2
Packers Jordan Love High QB2 84% 19.5 18.2 256.7 1.5 34.3 116.5 96.9 106.0 100.8 50.1 79.8 62.6 8.4
Running Back Advanced Matchup Stats
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter % FPPG FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) Touches/G ATT % Off. Snaps % TGT % i5 % i20 % EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
Vikings Aaron Jones Low RB2 83% 9.1 9.7 10.7 23 54 12.3 50.0 20.0 3.8 0.10 1.7 3.2 10.1
Vikings Jordan Mason High RB4 67% 8.7 4.9 12.0 49 50 4.4 75.0 66.7 4.6 0.20 2.2 2.3 8.8
Packers Josh Jacobs** Low RB1 91% 16.7 12.8 19.7 61 64 10.9 93.8 71.2 4.1 0.20 2.2 1.7 16.6
Packers Emanuel Wilson Low RB2 80% 4.2 6.7 6.4 19 28 4.2 6.3 20.3 1.9 0.00 2.0 2.1 5.3

** Seems unlikely Jacobs will play but nothing has been confirmed as of Wednesday.

Wide Receivers Advanced Matchup Stats
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG Last 4 Wks TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Advantage Score Primary Defender Man Win Rate Zone Win Rate Slot % YAC EZTGT 1st Read %
Vikings Justin Jefferson Low WR1 92% 11.5 9.7 9.3 29.2 0.27 34.8 1.07 🟡 Carrington Valentine 21.5 13.4 23.9 301.0 7.0 36.1
Vikings Jordan Addison High WR3 78% 10.7 7.9 7.4 19.4 0.20 35.3 0.97 🟡 Keisean Nixon 13.2 10.5 25.5 104.0 4.0 23.9
Vikings Jalen Nailor Mid WR5 54% 5.5 6.3 3.7 11.0 0.10 25.3 0.75 🔴 Javon Bullard 22.7 8.3 58.9 85.0 5.0 11.1
Packers Matthew Golden Low WR5 50% 5.0 2.2 3.4 11.2 0.17 20.6 27.6 3.5 44.3 86.0 2.0 14.1
Packers Romeo Doubs High WR3 77% 9.5 7.2 6.4 20.5 0.24 26.2 1.28 🟢 Isaiah Rodgers 27.5 11.1 18.3 119.0 7.0 25.0
Packers Christian Watson High WR3 79% 10.4 10.4 4.3 12.5 0.20 26.3 1.31 🟢 Byron Murphy 19.4 5.8 26.7 25.0 2.0 17.5
Tight End Advanced Matchup Stats
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) TGT/G TGT % TPRR RTE/G Slot RTE % Inline RTE % YAC EZTGT 1Read % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE
Vikings T.J. Hockenson Mid TE2 70% 5.7 4.7 4.7 14.8 0.2 28.0 39.3 45.4 146.0 3.0 14.4 9.9 3.0
Packers Luke Musgrave Outside Top 24 35% 1.8 2.5 1.5 4.8 0.1 10.5 34.3 57.1 37.0 0.0 5.6 9.1 1.3

New York Giants (2-9) @ Detroit Lions (6-4)

Key Advanced Player Stats | Starts/Sit

  • Jared Goff: The Lions QB should do well this week against a Giants team that runs the most Man Coverage in the league. Goff has the 4th-highest QB rating against Man Coverage.
  • Tyrone Tracy: Look to stay away from Tracy as he faces the Lions defense, which allows the 4th-fewest Exp Run%. He is losing the goal line work.
Team Def. Rank vs QBs Def. Rank vs RBs Def. Rank vs WRs Def. Rank vs TEs Def. 2-Man % Def. Zone % 1-High Sfty % 2-High Sfty % Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards Per Game
Giants 🟢 31 🟢 30 🟢 27 🟡 11 37.7 56.8 57.2 42.8 64.4 21.5 208.5 124.7
Lions 🟡 21 🔴 2 🟢 23 🟡 12 37.3 57.8 56.7 43.3 61.4 29.2 236.8 130.1
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter Fantasy Points P/G FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM QB Rate vs Man QB Rate vs Zone QB Rate vs 2 High QB Rate vs 1 High YAC % ADJ Comp % 1 Read % ADOT
Giants Jaxson Dart Low QB1 88% 20.0 26.3 192.7 1.9 27.3 83.5 97.2 78.3 105.3 51.1 74.2 62.7 8.5
Lions Jared Goff Mid QB1 93% 22.2 22.8 251.3 2.2 33.4 123.2 103.8 110.7 110.9 59.0 82.1 67.4 6.9
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter (%) FPPG FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) Touches/G ATT (%) Off. Snaps (%) TGT (%) i5 (%) i20 (%) EXP Run (%) MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
Giants Tyrone Tracy Jr. High RB3 76% 6.9 8.8 11.2 26 47 7.9 0.0 7.8 3.6 0.10 2.2 1.8 8.2
Giants Devin Singletary Low RB3 70% 4.1 8.9 6.3 19 24 2.8 27.3 21.9 0.10 2.0 1.2 5.4
Lions Jahmyr Gibbs High RB1 98% 18.5 19.4 17.7 50 62 13.7 41.2 60.3 6.4 0.30 2.1 3.2 14.9
Lions David Montgomery Low RB2 80% 10.5 7.9 12.5 39 41 5.8 58.8 33.3 3.6 0.10 2.5 2.0 10.1
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG Last 4 Wks TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Advantage Score Primary Defender Man Win Rate Zone Win Rate Slot % YAC EZTGT 1st Read %
Giants Wan’Dale Robinson Low WR2 82% 9.5 7.6 8.0 24.1 0.23 33.5 1.08 🟡 Arthur Maulet 17.2 3.7 69.6 307.0 4.0 28.9
Giants Darius Slayton** High WR5 58% 5.5 7.7 4.3 12.5 0.14 29.4 9.8 4.2 20.9 122.0 2.0 16.3
Lions Amon-Ra St. Brown High WR1 97% 18.5 11.2 9.4 29.1 0.31 29.5 1.50 🟢 Andru Phillips 35.7 9.3 51.5 306.0 6.0 39.2
Lions Jameson Williams Mid WR2 85% 10.5 17.7 5.1 18.1 0.22 27.8 1.13 🟡 Cordale Flott 27.3 8.9 28.4 124.0 4.0 26.8

**uncertain for Week 12

Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter (%) FPPG FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) TGT/G TGT TPRR RTE/G Slot RTE Inline RTE YAC EZTGT 1st Read Man Win Rate Zone Win Rate
Giants Theo Johnson Low TE1 81% 7.5 7.5 5.0 15.3 0.2 28.0 52.9 26.6 163.0 4.0 17.9 15.7 3.5
Lions Brock Wright Low TE2 64% 2.5 1.1 1.8 22.6 0.3 30.6 45.8 33.6 213.0 6.0 27.0 17.9 4.6

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Jacksonville Jaguars (6-4) @ Arizona Cardinals (3-7)

Key Advanced Player Stats | Starts/Sit

  • Travis Etienne – We could see a good showing from Etienne as he faces the Cardinals, who allow the 6th-highest YACO at 2.32.
  • Cardinals Backfield – the Jaguars have allowed just 1 running back over 55 rushing yards this season.
Team Def. Rank vs QBs Def. Rank vs RBs Def. Rank vs WRs Def. Rank vs TEs Def. 2-Man % Def. Zone % 1-High Sfty % 2-High Sfty % Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards Per Game
Jaguars 🟢 28 🔴 5 🟡 19 🟢 31 20.1 74.7 46.5 53.5 65.9 24.0 199.4 127.5
Cardinals 🔴 7 🟢 24 🔴 10 🟡 21 17.7 77.0 42.9 57.1 65.0 22.4 227.8 105.7
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter Fantasy Points P/G FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM QB Rate vs Man QB Rate vs Zone QB Rate vs 2 High QB Rate vs 1 High YAC % ADJ Comp % 1 Read % ADOT
Jaguars Trevor Lawrence Mid QB1 80% 18.0 16.7 233.2 1.6 38.8 93.1 74.3 82.2 77.4 45.3 74.2 70.4 8.5
Cardinals Jacoby Brissett Low QB1 90% 18.1 26.0 235.7 1.6 34.4 109.1 92.4 119.0 80.7 43.8 75.1 61.0 8.3
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter (%) FPPG FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) Touches/G ATT (%) Off. Snaps (%) TGT (%) i5 (%) i20 (%) EXP Run (%) MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
Jaguars Travis Etienne Jr. Low RB1 90% 13.2 16.0 17.5 52 58 8.9 45.0 50.0 3.9 0.20 2.3 2.5 14.9
Jaguars Bhayshul Tuten Low RB3 69% 5.8 8.0 6.8 20 22 3.3 20.0 23.7 1.7 0.20 2.6 1.4 5.7
Cardinals Trey Benson** High RB3 79% 7.2 0.0 10.5 12 48 10.0 20.0 25.0 6.9 0.30 3.2 2.3 9.2
Cardinals Michael Carter Low RB4 59% 5.6 2.9 9.0 17 33 7.1 12.5 23.1 0.10 1.3 1.4 9.1
Cardinals Bam Knight Mid RB3 75% 8.5 7.3 10.8 22 43 5.5 38.5 35.1 1.9 0.10 1.7 1.7 9.1

** Benson’s 21 day window has open – he may play in Week 12. It would lower Knight more than Carter.

Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG Last 4 Wks TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Advantage Score Primary Defender Man Win Rate Zone Win Rate Slot % YAC EZTGT 1st Read %
Jaguars Brian Thomas Jr. Mid WR3 75% 8.8 7.0 7.5 20.1 0.23 32.8 0.97 🟡 Denzel Burke 27.7 8.3 22.1 138.0 3.0 23.9
Jaguars Parker Washington Mid WR3 74% 6.3 10.8 5.3 14.5 0.22 22.1 1.14 🟡 Garrett Williams 20.5 6.7 46.2 103.0 3.0 16.8
Jaguars Jakobi Meyers High WR4 69% 7.3 6.3 4.5 20.7 0.20 29.7 1.03 🟡 Max Melton 16.3 3.5 57.3 190.0 4.0 25.0
Cardinals Michael Wilson Low WR2 83% 6.7 13.0 5.8 14.7 0.16 34.4 1.04 🟡 Montaric Brown 26.6 7.0 36.6 132.0 2.0 18.6
Cardinals Greg Dortch Low WR4 61% 4.4 7.6 2.2 5.9 0.10 15.7 0.90 🔴 Jarrian Jones 18.8 2.6 72.6 129.0 1.0 6.8
Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter % FPPG FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) TGT/G TGT % TPRR RTE/G Slot RTE % Inline RTE % YAC EZTGT 1st Read % Man Win Rate Zone Win Rate
Jaguars Brenton Strange** Mid TE2 65% 6.1 0.0 4.8 14.2 0.2 22.0 38.2 42.7 107.0 0.0 14.1 19.0 2.4
Jaguars Johnny Mundt Outside Top 24 35% 1.2 2.0 1.5 4.1 0.2 8.3 13.3 74.7 63.0 0.0 2.9 0.0 1.6
Cardinals Trey McBride High TE1 99% 15.0 19.9 9.9 25.3 0.3 38.0 61.3 28.9 304.0 13.0 33.9 20.0 5.3

** Strange may be back this week.

Cleveland Browns (2-8) @ Las Vegas Raiders (2-8)

Key Advanced Player Stats | Starts/Sit

  • Geno Smith –  who leads the league in interceptions (13), plays the Browns, who have 7 interceptions over their last 4 games.
  • Quinshon Judkins – the Browns running back could get back on track this week as the Raiders have allowed a rusher over 70 yards in 3 straight games.
Team Def. Rank vs QBs Def. Rank vs RBs Def. Rank vs WRs Def. Rank vs TEs Def. 2-Man % Def. Zone % 1-High Sfty % 2-High Sfty % Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards Per Game
Browns 🔴 3 🔴 4 🟡 14 🟡 17 37.0 62.0 66.7 33.3 63.6 16.2 159.3 98.0
Raiders 🟡 18 🟡 15 🟢 29 🔴 5 15.5 79.6 52.2 47.8 56.9 15.5 187.6 81.4
Quarterback Advanced Matchup Stats
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter Fantasy Points P/G FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM QB Rate vs Man QB Rate vs Zone QB Rate vs 2 High QB Rate vs 1 High YAC % ADJ Comp % 1 Read % ADOT
Browns Shedeur Sanders QB3 55% 1.5 1.5 63.0 0.0 21.0 39.6 7.4 43.8 31.9 28.6 62.5 9.1
Raiders Geno Smith QB3 61% 14.1 18.5 218.4 1.2 35.4 89.5 75.6 76.5 85.9 59.1 75.9 65.4 6.5
Running Back Advanced Matchup Stats
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter % FPPG FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) Touches/G ATT % Off. Snaps % TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
Browns Quinshon Judkins High RB2 88% 11.8 6.2 19.0 64 50 5.7 72.7 75.8 3.8 0.20 2.4 1.6 14.2
Browns Dylan Sampson Outside Top 60 55% 3.7 2.6 5.2 13 22 6.7 0.0 7.7 3.2 0.20 2.3 -0.2 5.1
Raiders Ashton Jeanty High RB2 87% 12.6 12.5 17.8 66 74 11.9 100.0 71.9 2.0 0.20 2.2 1.5 15.1
Wide Receivers Advanced Matchup Stats
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG Last 4 Wks TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Advantage Score Primary Defender Man Win Rate Zone Win Rate Slot % YAC EZTGT 1st Read %
Browns Jerry Jeudy Low WR3 72% 5.7 6.8 7.3 19.7 0.20 35.0 0.86 🔴 Eric Stokes 23.7 10.4 17.7 100.0 6.0 26.9
Browns Cedric Tillman High WR5 58% 6.2 4.4 4.7 11.7 0.15 29.3 0.91 🟡 Kyu Kelly 27.1 8.9 31.3 33.0 2.0 14.4
Raiders Tre Tucker Mid WR3 73% 10.3 7.5 5.4 17.3 0.17 32.7 1.12 🟡 Tyson Campbell 17.8 7.5 16.5 224.0 4.0 22.1
Raiders Tyler Lockett Mid WR4 65% 3.9 3.9 3.3 8.1 0.20 19.0 0.74 🔴 Myles Harden 16.7 4.3 76.3 58.0 1.0 8.4
Tight End Advanced Matchup Stats
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) TGT/G TGT % TPRR RTE/G Slot RTE % Inline RTE % YAC EZTGT 1st Read % Man Win Rate Zone Win Rate
Browns David Njoku Low TE2 63% 6.9 7.3 5.0 12.3 0.2 26.4 32.8 52.5 170.0 2.0 14.9 7.1 3.5
Browns Harold Fannin Jr. High TE2 72% 7.6 8.5 6.2 17.2 0.3 25.1 47.4 35.5 196.0 0.0 19.7 9.6 3.5
Raiders Brock Bowers High TE1 95% 11.9 17.1 7.9 22.6 0.3 30.6 45.8 33.6 213.0 6.0 27.0 17.9 4.6
Raiders Michael Mayers Outside Top 24 50% 4.2 3.5 4.0 12.2 0.2 16.8 21.6 67.2 113.0 0.0 12.0 7.1 2.0

Atlanta Falcons (3-7) @ New Orleans Saints (2-8)

Key Advanced Player Stats | Starts/Sit

  • Juwan Johnson: Things could be looking up for the Saints TEs as he faces the Falcons, who have allowed 50 or more yards to a TE in 3 straight games.
Team Def. Rank vs QBs Def. Rank vs RBs Def. Rank vs WRs Def. Rank vs TEs Def. 2-Man % Def. Zone % 1-High Sfty % 2-High Sfty % Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards Per Game
Falcons 🟡 14 🟢 27 🟡 20 🔴 3 17.7 78.3 69.9 30.1 61.1 19.5 212.6 119.9
Saints 🟡 15 🟡 18 🟡 17 🟡 18 26.4 70.9 59.1 40.9 61.5 15.5 204.4 92.8
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter Fantasy Points P/G FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM QB Rate vs Man QB Rate vs Zone QB Rate vs 2 High QB Rate vs 1 High YAC % ADJ Comp % 1 Read % ADOT
Falcons Kirk Cousins QB3 69% 3.5 4.6 84.7 0.0 17.7 45.8 86.7 79.4 66.9 45.2 71.4 51.9 7.7
Saints Tyler Shough Low QB2 70% 9.6 12.8 149.3 0.8 23.0 84.8 80.3 98.1 71.6 37.4 68.4 68.7 9.8
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter (%) FPPG FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) Touches/G ATT (%) Off. Snaps (%) TGT (%) i5 (%) i20 (%) EXP Run (%) MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
Falcons Bijan Robinson High RB1 98% 18.6 14.0 20.5 59 79 17.4 38.5 44.4 6.3 0.30 2.8 2.1 18.0
Falcons Tyler Allgeier High RB4 68% 7.6 8.8 8.4 29 28 2.4 46.2 48.9 5.2 0.10 1.8 1.8 6.6
Saints Alvin Kamara High RB3 79% 8.2 6.2 15.9 51 69 10.8 40.0 41.7 3.1 0.20 1.7 1.9 12.7
Saints Devin Neal Low RB4 90% 1.9 3.0 3.2 4 28 3.8 0.0 6.7 1.5 2.8 3.7
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG Last 4 Wks TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Advantage Score Primary Defender Man Win Rate Zone Win Rate Slot % YAC EZTGT 1st Read %
Falcons Darnell Mooney High WR4 67% 3.9 2.7 5.0 15.7 0.18 28.5 0.80 🔴 Alontae Taylor 14.7 3.9 41.2 33.0 2.0 20.5
Falcons KhaDarel Hodge Outside Top 60 30% 0.5 1.2 1.1 3.3 0.30 3.9 33.3 4.5 20.0 8.0 1.0 3.5
Falcons David Sills V Outside Top 60 30% 0.5 1.0 0.9 2.4 0.10 14.6 0.78 🔴 Quincy Riley 26.8 2.0 48.6 8.0 0.0 2.3
Falcons Casey Washington Low WR5 50% 1.8 1.0 2.0 6.2 0.20 13.6 26.9 9.4 34.7 12.0 0.0 5.3
Saints Chris Olave Low WR1 94% 11.8 12.0 9.5 26.5 0.27 33.7 1.15 🟢 Billy Bowman 24.6 5.5 43.6 154.0 9.0 31.2
Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) TGT/G TGT % TPRR RTE/G Slot RTE % Inline RTE % YAC EZTGT 1st Read % Man Win Rate Zone Win Rate
Falcons Kyle Pitts Mid TE1 88% 7.3 5.9 6.2 18.9 0.2 31.0 31.3 46.5 184.0 1.0 17.6 11.3 4.1
Saints Juwan Johnson High TE2 75% 8.7 11.9 6.0 17.2 0.2 29.8 54.0 25.8 229.0 1.0 20.5 9.2 2.7

Philadelphia Eagles (8-2) @ Dallas Cowboys (4-5-1)

Key Advanced Player Stats | Starts/Sit

  • Jalen Hurts – The Eagles QBs could have an uptick in the passing game against the Cowboys, who allow the 3rd-Highest ADJ Comp% (80.5%). 5 percent higher than Hurts’ current percentage.
  • Jake Ferguson – The Eagles have allowed one TE over 40 yards in their last 8 games, and Ferguson has struggled with CeeDee Lamb back on the return.
Team Def. Rank vs QBs Def. Rank vs RBs Def. Rank vs WRs Def. Rank vs TEs Def. 2-Man % Def. Zone % 1-High Sfty % 2-High Sfty % Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards Per Game
Eagles 🟡 11 🟡 20 🟡 11 🔴 2 25.5 68.7 52.9 47.1 58.7 23.4 184.9 115.2
Cowboys 🟢 32 🟡 25 🟢 32 🟡 15 24.0 73.8 53.6 46.4 64.5 29.6 258.7 120.0
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter Fantasy Points P/G FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM QB Rate vs Man QB Rate vs Zone QB Rate vs 2 High QB Rate vs 1 High YAC % ADJ Comp % 1 Read % ADOT
Eagles Jalen Hurts High QB1 96% 23.2 20.6 226.0 2.2 32.2 122.2 95.0 114.8 98.8 40.4 75.7 65.1 9.2
Cowboys Dak Prescott Mid QB1 92% 23.3 18.8 270.4 2.2 39.5 108.2 99.8 93.4 112.3 45.3 78.7 64.6 7.7
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter % FPPG FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) Touches/G ATT % Off. Snaps % TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
Eagles Saquon Barkley Mid RB1 94% 13.7 17.5 20.3 60 78 12.3 41.2 48.9 4.0 0.10 1.9 1.9 15.1
Cowboys Javonte Williams Low RB1 92% 15.3 11.3 18.7 62 76 8.9 66.7 68.0 5.6 0.10 3.4 1.7 16.5
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG Last 4 Wks TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Advantage Score Primary Defender Man Win Rate Zone Win Rate Slot % YAC EZTGT 1st Read %
Eagles A.J. Brown Mid WR2 84% 9.2 5.4 7.0 25.7 0.24 29.7 1.23 🟢 DaRon Bland 24.6 9.6 10.9 109.0 1.0 33.5
Eagles DeVonta Smith Low WR1 90% 10.9 9.2 6.7 25.3 0.22 30.5 1.21 🟢 Reddy Steward 25.9 10.0 58.4 193.0 5.0 31.4
Cowboys CeeDee Lamb Mid WR1 95% 12.6 12.7 8.7 22.0 0.26 32.3 1.26 🟢 Adoree’ Jackson 36.1 11.7 30.5 194.0 3.0 27.3
Cowboys George Pickens High WR2 88% 16.2 15.7 8.3 21.6 0.23 35.4 1.30 🟢 Quinyon Mitchell 31.4 11.2 10.2 291.0 15.0 27.7
Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) TGT/G TGT % TPRR RTE/G Slot RTE % Inline RTE % YAC EZTGT 1st Read % Man Win Rate Zone Win Rate
Eagles Dallas Goedert Mid TE1 86% 10.6 8.7 5.6 19.8 0.2 26.4 46.6 35.3 130.0 1.0 21.4 9.7 4.8
Cowboys Jake Ferguson Low TE1 83% 11.2 5.0 7.1 19.1 0.2 29.7 55.9 36.4 224.0 7.0 22.3 13.4 3.1

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-4) @ Los Angeles Rams (8-2)

Key Advanced Player Stats | Starts/Sit

  • Matthew Stafford – The Buccaneers have allowed a passer to go over 270 passing yards in 4 of their last 6 games.
  • Sean Tucker: If you’re going to start Tucker, especially if Bucky Irving misses, it will be tough, as the Rams allow the 2nd-lowest Exp Run % at 1.5%.
Team Def. Rank vs QBs Def. Rank vs RBs Def. Rank vs WRs Def. Rank vs TEs Def. 2-Man % Def. Zone % 1-High Sfty % 2-High Sfty % Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards Per Game
Buccaneers 🟢 25 🟢 26 🟡 18 🔴 10 22.5 74.5 45.8 54.2 62.4 25.2 222.2 110.0
Rams 🔴 6 🔴 3 🟡 13 🟡 20 15.8 78.4 50.7 49.3 62.3 27.2 246.9 114.0
Quarterback Advanced Matchup Stats
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter Fantasy Points P/G FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM QB Rate vs Man QB Rate vs Zone QB Rate vs 2 High QB Rate vs 1 High YAC % ADJ Comp % 1 Read % ADOT
Buccaneers Baker Mayfield High QB2 87% 21.4 17.3 256.2 1.8 38.1 86.8 100.4 108.0 86.5 52.1 71.3 65.6 8.3
Rams Matthew Stafford High QB1 95% 25.5 29.0 254.8 2.7 35.5 124.9 96.3 114.0 111.7 41.0 74.0 69.8 9.0
Running Back Advanced Matchup Stats
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter (%) FPPG FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) Touches/G ATT (%) Off. Snaps (%) TGT (%) i5 (%) i20 (%) EXP Run (%) MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
Buccaneers Bucky Irving** Low RB2 81% 15.6 0.0 22.5 27 71 13.7 0 63.6 2.8 0.10 1.9 1.4 16.8
Buccaneers Rachaad White High RB3 77% 9.0 7.4 12.5 37 56 8.8 58.3 36.8 1.0 0.20 1.7 2.1 11.3
Buccaneers Sean Tucker Mid RB3 74% 7.5 16.3 7.3 19 21 2.4 33.3 26.3 5.9 0.10 1.8 2.8 5.2
Rams Kyren Williams Low RB1 91% 15.5 18.3 18.1 59 72 8.8 55 57.4 3.2 0.10 2.5 2.3 15.4
Rams Blake Corum High RB4 68% 4.1 4.1 8.0 28 26 2.9 30 25.9 5.3 0.10 1.9 2.3 6.9

** unsure if Irving returns this week – we should know by Friday. It would kill any Tucker value.

Wide Receivers Advanced Matchup Stats
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG Last 4 Wks TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Advantage Score Primary Defender Man Win Rate Zone Win Rate Slot % YAC EZTGT 1st Read %
Buccaneers Emeka Egbuka Mid WR1 94% 13.3 10.7 8.5 24.7 0.26 32.0 1.20 🟢 Emmanuel Forbes 25.3 8.4 35.3 255.0 9.0 30.5
Buccaneers Sterling Shepard Outside Top 60 45% 5.8 4.7 4.5 13.2 0.17 26.4 31.7 5.8 51.1 127.0 3.0 11.7
Buccaneers Tez Johnson Low WR3 81% 6.8 8.7 10.3 0.2 21.0 24.1 1.03 🟡 Darious Williams 4.0 41.8 89.0 4.0 11.1
Rams Puka Nacua High WR1 98% 17.9 15.0 9.7 28.1 0.36 26.3 1.71 🟢 Zyon McCollum 30.0 11.3 38.4 329.0 1.0 36.4
Rams Davante Adams Mid WR1 95% 13.8 14.6 8.6 24.8 0.29 28.8 1.46 🟢 Benjamin Morrison 38.5 14.3 13.9 89.0 19.0 28.8
Tight End Advanced Matchup Stats
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) TGT/G TGT % TPRR RTE/G Slot RTE % Inline RTE % YAC EZTGT 1st Read % Man Win Rate Zone Win Rate
Buccaneers Cade Otton High TE2 76% 5.8 7.5 5.4 15.3 0.2 29.3 50.9 30.0 210.0 1.0 13.9 7.5 2.0
Rams Tyler Higbee Outside Top 24 45% 4.6 5.5 3.3 10.3 0.2 16.3 25.2 59.9 132.0 2.0 10.2 8.0 1.1

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TNF | SUN 1PM | SUN 4PM | SNF | MNF | Glossary

Ricky Pearsall WR San Francisco 49ers Week 12 Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advanced Stats
Ricky Pearsall Photo by Robin AlamIcon Sportswire

Carolina Panthers (6-5) @ San Francisco 49ers (7-4)

Key Advanced Player Stats | Starts/Sit

  • Ricky Pearsall – The 49ers receiver could finally be back to making an impact as he faces the Panthers defense, who run the 3rd most zone coverage, and Pearsall ranks 4th in win rate separation.
  • Bryce Young – the 49ers have allowed 2 or more touchdowns to opposing QBs in 6 of their last 7 games.
Team Def. Rank vs QBs Def. Rank vs RBs Def. Rank vs WRs Def. Rank vs TEs Def. 2-Man % Def. Zone % 1-High Sfty % 2-High Sfty % Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards Per Game
Panthers 🔴 9 🟡 19 🔴 5 🟢 25 17.4 78.1 53.2 46.8 63.2 18.8 187.2 127.1
49ers 🟢 24 🟡 14 🟢 24 🟢 24 18.6 77.3 55.3 44.7 63.8 23.7 254.5 94.8
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter Fantasy Points P/G FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM QB Rate vs Man QB Rate vs Zone QB Rate vs 2 High QB Rate vs 1 High YAC % ADJ Comp % 1 Read % ADOT
Panthers Bryce Young Mid QB1 79% 15.7 14.1 204.5 1.5 34.7 86.3 80.3 97.5 74.7 51.4 78.8 62.1 7.0
49ers Brock Purdy Low QB1 91% 22.6 25.3 269.7 2.3 35.3 148.5 73.8 75.9 129.0 45.4 79.6 56.6 7.5
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter (%) FPPG FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) Touches/G ATT (%) Off. Snaps (%) TGT (%) i5 (%) i20 (%) EXP Run (%) MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
Panthers Chuba Hubbard Mid RB4 64% 8.1 4.1 12.0 29 47 8.4 11.1 30.8 0.00 1.7 2.0 11.0
Panthers Rico Dowdle Mid RB1 94% 13.7 14.7 17.4 53 56 8.0 63.6 54.9 4.8 0.20 2.7 2.3 13.4
49ers Christian McCaffrey High RB1 99% 22.4 21.6 24.3 65 83 23.2 75.0 74.5 2.6 0.10 2.0 1.7 24.8
49ers Brian Robinson Jr. Mid RB4 65% 3.9 6.2 5.7 19 17 2.1 8.3 12.7 5.3 0.20 2.8 1.8 4.0
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG Last 4 Wks TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Advantage Score Primary Defender Man Win Rate Zone Win Rate Slot % YAC EZTGT 1st Read %
Panthers Tetairoa McMillan High WR2 88% 11.4 14.4 8.1 24.2 0.24 32.5 1.15 🟢 Renardo Green 19.8 11.6 19.3 230.0 9.0 29.6
Panthers Xavier Legette Low WR4 62% 6.3 5.4 5.1 14.8 0.17 28.1 0.87 🔴 Deommodore Lenoir 17.5 4.4 39.9 60.0 9.0 20.1
Panthers Jalen Coker Low WR4 62% 3.9 4.8 3.0 9.6 0.10 23.2 0.88 🔴 Upton Stout 23.5 4.1 65.5 25.0 0.0 11.8
49ers Jauan Jennings Low WR2 80% 8.0 10.0 6.1 18.1 0.22 27.8 1.04 🟡 Jaycee Horn 27.3 8.9 28.4 124.0 4.0 26.8
49ers Ricky Pearsall Low WR3 70% 8.6 0.3 6.4 17.3 0.20 30.4 1.00 🟡 Mike Jackson 37.0 15.7 23.7 52.0 2.0 24.1
Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 12 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG FPPG (Last 4 Weeks) TGT/G TGT % TPRR RTE/G Slot RTE % Inline RTE % YAC EZTGT 1st Read % Man Win Rate Zone Win Rate
Panthers Ja’Tavion Sanders Low TE2 60% 3.6 3.6 3.6 11.2 0.2 18.4 59.9 21.8 78.0 2.0 13.1 14.3 3.0
49ers George Kittle High TE1 98% 11.4 14.5 5.0 16.5 0.2 23.3 33.6 57.9 88.0 2.0 19.8 22.2 1.9

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TNF | SUN 1PM | SUN 4PM | SNF | MNF | Glossary

This glossary explains every advanced stat used in The Full Slate Week 12 Start/Sit Preview. Each abbreviation includes a definition so you can make sharper lineup calls.

Full Glossary of Statistical Terms (Condensed Table)

Glossary of Statistical Terms | Week 12 Start/Sit Advanced Stats Matchup Guide

Stat Full Term Fantasy Football Definition
ANY/A Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt QB efficiency metric factoring yards, TDs, INTs, and sacks. More accurate than yards per attempt.
Confidence Meter Level of Confidence Measures reliability of weekly fantasy projections. Higher = safer start/sit play.
ADOT Average Depth of Target Average air yards on a player’s targets. Higher ADOT = big-play role.
FPPG Fantasy Points Per Game Average fantasy points scored per week across positions.
YAC % Yards After Catch Percentage Share of a receiver’s yards that come after the catch. High YAC % = playmaking ability.
Total Yards/G Total Yards per Game Average rushing + passing yards per game. Useful for workload evaluation.
ADJ Comp % Adjusted Completion Percentage QB accuracy adjusted for drops, spikes, throwaways, batted passes, and pressure.
SCRM/G Scrambles Per Game Average QB scrambles per game. Adds rushing upside in fantasy scoring.
1 Read % First Read Throw Percentage % of throws to the first read or designed one-read plays. Reflects QB decision-making.
TD/G Touchdowns Per Game Average number of TDs per game (passing, rushing, or receiving).
Press % Pressure Rate Percentage of QB dropbacks under pressure. Impacts passing efficiency.
FP/DB Fantasy Points per Dropback QB fantasy efficiency metric: points scored per dropback.
CHK % Checkdown Percentage How often a QB targets short checkdowns. Higher = conservative play.
CPOE Completion Percentage Over Expectation QB completion % compared to expected based on depth/coverage. Shows accuracy skill.
i20 % Inside 20 Rushing Share % of team rush attempts inside the 20. Strong red-zone usage indicator.
Touches/G Touches Per Game Average carries + receptions per game for RB/WR/TE.
EXP Run % Explosive Run Percentage % of runs that go for 15+ yards. Shows big-play ability.
ATT % Team Carry Share Percentage of team rushing attempts handled by the RB.
MTF/ATT Missed Tackles Forced per Attempt How often a RB forces missed tackles on carries. Shows elusiveness.
TGT % Target Share % of team passing attempts going to a player. High TGT % = featured role.
YACO/ATT Yards After Contact per Attempt Average rushing yards after first contact. Indicates power running.
i5 % Inside 5 Rushing Share % of team rush attempts inside the 5. Heavy TD upside indicator.
YBCO/ATT Yards Before Contact per Attempt Average rushing yards before contact. Reflects O-line run blocking.
Off. Snaps/G Offensive Snaps Per Game Average number of plays a player is on the field per week.
XFP/G Expected Fantasy Points per Game Usage-based stat estimating expected PPR fantasy points per week.
TGT/G Targets Per Game Average number of targets a player gets each week.
YAC Yards After Catch Total receiving yards gained after the catch. Key WR/TE stat.
EZ TGT End Zone Targets Passes thrown to a receiver in the end zone. Strong TD predictor.
RTE/G Routes Run Per Game Average number of pass routes a player runs weekly.
SLOT RTE % Slot Route Rate % of player’s routes from the slot alignment. Shows usage role.
TPRR Targets Per Route Run How often a player is targeted per route. Efficiency in earning targets.
Zone Win Rate Win Rate vs Zone Receiver success rate against zone coverage.
Catch % Catch Rate % of total targets successfully caught. Basic WR efficiency stat.
Man Win Rate Win Rate vs Man Receiver success rate against man-to-man coverage.

Click above to see the Full Glossary of Statistical Terms


FAQ | Week 12 Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advanced Stats

Q1: Which quarterback has the best ADOT profile for Week 12 Start/Sit decisions?

A: If you’re looking for downfield passing upside in Week 12, focus on quarterbacks with strong ADOT (Average Depth of Target). ADOT measures how far the ball travels in the air on a QB’s average throw. Steven Pintado lists the ADOT for every quarterback in each matchup in this Week 12 guide, so you can quickly compare deep-shot volume before locking in your starter.

Q2: How can I use YAC% to spot sneaky wide receiver starts for Week 12?

A: YAC% (Yards After Catch Percentage) shows how often a wideout creates yards on their own — crucial for choosing upside plays in Week 12. Receivers with high YAC% can outperform even in tough matchups. This article includes the YAC% for every WR in every Week 12 game, helping you identify which players are most likely to turn short throws into big gains.

Q3: What advanced stats help identify the best Week 12 running back starts?

A: For Week 12 RB Start/Sit calls, prioritize i20% (Inside 20 Rushing Share)YACO/ATT (Yards After Contact), and Explosive Run Rate (EXP Run %). These reveal goal-line usage, power, and big-play potential. Steven includes all of these RB stats directly under each matchup so you can easily see which backs have the best Week 12 fantasy profiles.

Q4: How do defensive coverage tendencies impact Start/Sit decisions for Week 12?

A: Week 12 matchups vary widely by scheme — some defenses run heavy man coverage, others rely on zone. WRs with strong Man Win Rate or Zone Win Rate get big boosts depending on opponent tendencies. Each Week 12 game in this article lists the coverage percentages (2-Man, Zone, 1-High, 2-High) so you can start receivers who fit the matchup and sit those who don’t.

Q5: Which quarterbacks are the safest Week 12 starts based on pressure splits?

A: When choosing Week 12 quarterbacks, look at pressure splits — how QBs perform when blitzed or pressured vs clean pockets. Steven’s Week 12 tables include QB Rate vs Man, Zone, 2-High, 1-High, plus advanced accuracy metrics like ADJ Comp% (Adjusted Completion Percentage). These help you find QBs who won’t collapse under pressure and are safe to start this week.

Q6: How can TPRR help identify wide receivers to start in Week 12?

A: TPRR (Targets Per Route Run) is one of the most predictive WR stats in fantasy. A high TPRR means a player earns targets whenever he’s on the field — ideal for Week 12 flex calls. Every WR section in this guide includes TPRR and TGT%, so you can quickly see which players stay involved even when the offense shifts game scripts.


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