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Monday FANTASY PREVIEW for Week 7: EXPLOIT THE MATCHUP

Monday Night Football MNF Fantasy Preview Week 7

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The Week 7 Fantasy Preview for Monday Night Football was curated by senior staff writer Steven Pintado using statistics from the Fantasy Points Data Suite. If you want access to these stats (and dozens of other proprietary figures) sign up here and use promo code NERDS to save 25% on a Data Suite or All-In subscription. Without further ado, let’s dig in to the MNF fantasy preview!

Here are the Week 7 Start/Sit articles as well QB | RB | WR | TE | IDP

Injury Update | Week 7 | Fantasy Preview

  • Will Levis is OUT on Sunday. Mason Rudolph is starting vs. Buffalo.
    • Rudolph is a QB2 & bumps up Calvin Ridley & DeAndre Hopkins to FLEX value.

Baltimore Ravens (4-2) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-2)

Photo by Mark Goldman/Icon Sportswire

Game Summary | MNF Fantasy Preview

Team Def. Rank Vs. QBS Def. Rank Vs. RBS Def. Rank Vs. WRS Def. Rank Vs. TES Def. 2 Man % Def. Zone % Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards per Game
Ravens 30th 5th 32nd 23rd 28 69.6 65.5 29.5 248.3 205.3
Buccaneers 31st 16th 21st 16th 14.7 82.4 60.2 29.7 230.3 136.8

Quarterbacks | Fantasy Preview

Baltimore Ravens
Player Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Week 7 Ranking Start % FP/G A/G SCRM YDS/G 1 Read % YAC % Press % ADOT
Lamar Jackson 2nd High QB1 100% 27.2 29.3 10.7 322.0 67 53.8 34.3 8.4
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Player Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Week 7 Ranking Start % FP/G A/G SCRM YDS/G 1 Read % YAC % Press % ADOT
Baker Mayfield 1st Mid QB1 95% 27.5 31.5 3.5 270.8 71.4 64.4 24 5.6
  • The Ravens have allowed 260 or more passing yards in 5 of their 6 games.
    • Baker Mayfield has no fewer than 29 fantasy points (6 PPT) in the last 3 weeks.
  • The Buccaneers have allowed 4 quarterbacks over 20 rushing yards and given up 4 rushing touchdowns to a quarterback.
    • Lamar Jackson has 40 rushing yards or more in every game this year. 

Running Backs | Fantasy Preview

Baltimore Ravens
Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 7 Ranking Start % FP/G ATT/G ATT % TGT % Off. Snaps/G i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT
Derrick Henry 2nd High RB1 98% 22.6 19.8 56.9 4.5 55% 91.7 57.1 8.4 0.13 2.67 3.24
Justice Hill 41st High RB4 68% 8.4 3.3 9.6 11.9 46% 0 7.1 5 0.2 2.4 2.1
Tama Bay Buccaneers
Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 7 Ranking Start % FP/G ATT/G ATT % TGT % Off. Snaps/G i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT
Rachaad White 36th Mid RB4 63% 9.7 10.2 32.9 10.1 67% 33.3 27.8 5.9 0.24 2.9 0.76
Bucky Irving 35th Low RB3 71% 10.0 9.7 37.4 6.0 41% 50 48.1 10.3 0.28 3.29 2.36
Sean Tucker 53rd Outside the Top 48 45% 6.2 4.0 10.3 2.1 13% 8.3 7.4 0 0 1 2.5
  • The Ravens have not allowed a running back over 50 rushing yards this season.
    • Sean Tucker had 111 of 134 rushing yards in the 4th quarter of last week’s game. 
  • The Buccaneers have allowed 5 or more receptions to opposing backfields in 5 of their 6 games. 

Pass Catchers | Fantasy Preview

Baltimore Ravens
Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 7 Ranking Start % FP/G Off. Snaps/G TGT/G TGT % RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE
Zay Flowers 27th High WR2 86% 13.7 78% 8.0 27.1% 30.2 34.8 204 2 32.2 37.7 11.7
Rashod Batemon 58th Mid WR5 55% 9.4 71% 4.3 14.7% 26.2 6.4 58 2 15.3 40 11.7
Mark Andrews (TE) TE23 Low TE1 75% 6.3 54% 3.0 10.17% 18.5 67.6 57 1 12.7 33.3 6.1
Isaiah Likley (TE) TE9 High TE2 65% 9.5 62% 4.2 14.12% 18.2 58.7 120 5 15.3 28.1 4.4
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 7 Ranking Start % FP/G Off. Snaps/G TGT/G TGT % RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE
Mike Evans 23rd High WR2 88% 14.3 78% 6.7 21.16 28.5 29.8 82 8 25.2 39.3 12.9
Chris Godwin 4th Mid WR1 95% 20.8 87% 8.8 28.04 29.8 63.7 335 2 34.1 27.7 9.4
Jalen McMillan 107th Outside the Top 60 20% 3.7 64% 1.8 3.70 15.6 25.6 8 0 5.3 19.4 16.7
Cade Otton (TE) TE20 High TE2 65% 6.5 92% 5.2 16.40 26.0 27.6 93 2 14.1 16.4 6.3
  • The Ravens have allowed over 40 receiving yards to opposing tight ends in 4 of 6 games.
    • The Ravens’ secondary has allowed 6 receiving touchdowns to opposing receivers in the last 2 weeks. 
  • The Buccaneers have allowed 6 receiving touchdowns in the previous 3 weeks.
    • Tampa Bay has allowed 4 tight ends in the last 3 games over 45 receiving yards.

Los Angeles Chargers (3-2) vs Arizona Cardinals (2-4)

Monday Night Football MNF Fantasy Preview Week 7
Photo by Matthew Huang/Icon Sportswire

Game Summary | MNF Fantasy Preview

Team Def. Rank Vs. QBS Def. Rank Vs. RBS Def. Rank Vs. WRS Def. Rank Vs. TES Def. 2 Man % Def. Zone % Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards per Game
Chargers 6th 3rd 8th 13th 31.3 62.1 58.4 18.2 153.2 127.8
Cardinals 29th 25th 27th 17th 25 68 57.5 22.2 187 145.2

Quarterbacks | Fantasy Preview

Los Angeles Chargers
Player Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Week 7 Ranking Start % FP/G A/G SCRM YDS/G 1 Read % YAC % Press % ADOT
Justin Herbert 29th Low QB2 68% 13.4 25.0 3.6 168.2 64.8 56 29.9 8
Arizona Cardinals
Player Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Week 7 Ranking Confidence Start Rating FP/G A/G SCRM YDS/G 1 Read % YAC % Press % ADOT
Kyler Murray 13th Low QB1 87% 19.9 28.3 5.0 241.2 71.8 46 27.9 8.1
  • The Chargers have forced an interception in every game.
    • Kyler Murray has struggled with 4 of his 6 games scoring under 17 fantasy points.
  • Justin Herbert has not exceeded 16 fantasy points in any game this year. 

Running Backs | Fantasy Preview

Los Angeles Chargers
Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 7 Ranking Start % FP/G ATT/G ATT % TGT % Off. Snaps/G i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT
J.K. Dobbins 13th Low RB1 90% 15.8 16.2 52.9 10.2 63% 100 52.9 6.2 0.2 2.17 3.23
Kimani Vidal 25th Low RB4 50% 13.1 4.0 2.6 1.6 24% 0 20 0 0 0 0
Arizona Cardinals
Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 7 Ranking Start % FP/G ATT/G ATT % TGT % Off. Snaps/G i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT
James Conner 23rd Mid RB2 85% 13.2 14.8 54.3 8.8 62% 100 68 5.6 0.31 2.61 1.87
Trey Benson 77th Outside the Top 48 25% 2.8 6.0 18.3 1.2 17% 0 8.7 0 0.16 1.84 1.4
  • The Chargers have allowed only one rushing touchdown on the season.
    • In 4 of 6 games, when James Connor has 10 or more attempts, he produced over 10 fantasy points. 
  • The Cardinals have allowed over 120 rushing yards to opposing backfields in each of the last 4 games.
    • J.K. Dobbins has been under 4 YPC in his last 3 games. 

Pass Catchers | Fantasy Preview

Los Angeles Chargers
Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 7 Ranking Start % FP/G Off. Snaps/G TGT/G TGT % RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE
Joshua Palmer 93rd Outside the top 60 45% 5.0 65% 3.8 11.8 20.3 32.1 33 1 12.9 25 12.8
Ladd McConkey 45th Mid WR3 75% 10.6 66% 6.4 25.2 22 70 100 3 30.5 35.1 10.3
Quentin Johnston 51st Mid WR5 55% 9.8 67% 4.4 17.3 19.8 8.1 86 2 24.4 20 8.8
Hayden Hurst (TE) TE50 Outside the top 24 15% 2.4 50% 2.0 7.87 14.0 48.6 19 2 9.8 16.7 0
Arizona Cardinals
Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 7 Ranking Start % FP/G Off. Snaps/G TGT/G TGT % RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE
Marvin Harrison 39th Mid WR2 85% 11.5 72% 6.2 21.8 24.5 24.5 44 6 25.4 38.9 13.5
Michael Wilson 62nd Mid WR5 55% 9.1 82% 5.0 17.6 27.7 27.1 48 3 20.5 31.6 20
Greg Dortch 87th Outside the Top 60 25% 5.8 56% 4.5 15.9 21.3 67.2 124 0 14.8 25.8 6.5
Trey McBride (TE) TE3 High TE1 95% 12.2 87% 7.6 22.35 27.4 54.7 119 1 27.6 39.3 13.7
  • Not a single Chargers receiver has over 70 receiving yards this season.
  • The Cardinals have allowed opposing WR1s 15 or more fantasy points in the last 4 games.

Thank you for reading the Fantasy Preview for the Monday Night Football games in Week 7. If you’re looking for Trade Targets, look no further than fellow Nerd Mychal Warno‘s trade advice from this week:

If you’re looking for future rookie content, Senior Nerd Tristan Cook just released his QB, RB, WR, and TE rankings for the 2025 NFL Draft Class:


Table of Contents

Quarterbacks
FP/G Fantasy Points per Game
YPA Passing Yards per Attempt
SCRM QB Rush Attempts per Game
YDS/G Yards Per Game
First Read % Percentage of Throws to the QB’s 1st Read or Designed Throws
YAC % Percentage of Passing Yards that come after the catch
Press % Percentage of Dropbacks Under Pressure
ADOT Average Depth of Target
Running Backs
FP/G Fantasy Points per Game
ATT/G Attempts per Game
ATT % Team Carry Share
TGT % Team Target Share
Off. Snaps/G Offensive Snaps per Game
i5 % Percentage of Team’s Inside-the-5 Carries
i20 % Percentage of Team’s Inside-the-20 Carries
EXP RUN % Percentage of Runs to go for 15+ Yards
MTF/ATT Missed Tackles Forced per Attempt
YACO/ATT Yards After Contact per Attempt
YBCO/ATT Yards Before Contact per Attempt
Pass Catchers
FP/G Fantasy Points per Game
Off. Snaps/G Offensive Snaps Per Game
TGT/G Targets Per Game
TGT % Team Target Share
RTE/G Routes Run Per Game
SLOT RTE % Percentage of Routes Run from the Slot
YAC Yards After the Catch
EZTGT Endzone Targets
1READ % Percentage of Team’s 1st Read and Designed Targets
MAN WIN RATE Percentage of Routes against Man Coverage with a Positive Separation Score
ZONE WIN RATE Percentage of Routes against Zone Coverage with a Positive Separation Score



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