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How UNC nabbed final spot in NCAA Tournament

How UNC nabbed final spot in NCAA Tournament

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Each year the NCAA selection committee has tough decisions to make when putting together its field for the NCAA Tournament. Sometimes, a decision on one team’s fate comes down to the performances of completely different teams. Such was the case for North Carolina.

UNC — the team that fell to Duke in an ACC tournament semifinal Friday night thanks to a late-game lane violation — will make its 53rd appearance in the tournament, having been placed in the First Four as a No. 11 seed. Competing in the South region, the Tar Heels will take on San Diego State on Tuesday in Dayton, Ohio.

But, as the Tar Heels were waiting to find out if they would make the 68-team field, the committee was watching the American Athletic Conference championship between UAB and Memphis. If favored Memphis won, the Tigers would get in, and so would North Carolina. If UAB upset the Tigers, both AAC teams would make the field, at the expense of the Tar Heels.

“Saturday night we took our final vote, and we voted in four teams in the field and we had a contingency vote,” selection committee vice chair Keith Gill said in a television interview after the field was revealed. “The contingency vote, that was the last team in the field. And it was based on Memphis and UAB. If Memphis won that game, then that was going to free up a spot in the tournament, and that was going to be North Carolina. If UAB had won, then Memphis was going to be in the tournament, UAB would have been in the tournament and North Carolina would have been the first team out.”

After Memphis beat UAB 84-72 the Heels nabbed the final bid, with no small amount of controversy around the choice.

North Carolina holds a 1-12 record against Quad 1 teams this season — and that win came against UCLA in December. The Tar Heels also lost to Stanford, a Quad 3 team, in Chapel Hill. West Virginia and Indiana, who were among those left out, arguably had better résumés than the Tar Heels, though it should be noted that North Carolina is ranked 33rd by KenPom and has a NET ranking of 36.

It also doesn’t help that committee chair Bubba Cunningham is North Carolina’s athletic director. Both Cunningham and Gill explained that the selection process has standards in place to prevent anyone from putting their thumb on the scale for their school — whenever the Tar Heels, or any ACC school, were discussed, Cunningham had to leave the room.

Per NCAA rules, a member is permitted to only answer general, factual questions about the teams in the conference of that particular individual.

“The hardest part of bracketing or any selection is you have to make a cut somewhere,” Cunningham said. “Unfortunately, this year there were so many outstanding conference champions and either the first or second team in each of those leagues won so we had a lot of opportunities to go a little bit deeper with some of our teams that were on the bubble than last year. But it’s always a fine line that you draw at the end.”

Aside from UNC’s odd situation and controversy circling about which teams were left out, other circumstances, including metrics, played a pivotal part in the committee selecting North Carolina over other teams.

West Virginia (19-13) had a decent year under first-year coach Darian DeVries but one reason the Mountaineers were left out was a season-ending upper-body injury to Tucker DeVries. Moreover, West Virginia’s ratings weren’t outstanding — the Mountaineers are ranked 103rd in offensive rating by KenPom and 343rd in the country in points per game (68.2).

Torvick, a method created by Bart Torvick, a college basketball analyst who provides data and ratings for teams, is a new measure the committee used this year along with WAB (wins above average).

“All of the predictive metrics, the results-based metrics have been around for quite some time, so we used additional ones,” said Cunningham. “But you’re right, the last four teams that were out — it was a tough call. The next team out was West Virginia and they had an outstanding year, but unfortunately, Tucker DeVries was hurt and player availability is something that we talk about quite a bit.”

“That’s the hardest part about being on the committee, is having to draw that line. But with only one real upset this year, there were an awful lot of teams on the bubble that got in,” said Cunningham.

That line could be a hot topic depending on where North Carolina finishes.

(Photo: Jared C. Tilton / Getty Images)



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