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EXPLOIT THE MATCHUP in Week 4

EXPLOIT THE MATCHUP in Week 4


The Week 4 Fantasy Preview was curated by senior staff writer Steven Pintado using statistics from the Fantasy Points Data Suite. If you want access to these stats (and dozens of other proprietary figures) sign up here and use promo code NERDS to save 25% on a Data Suite or All-In subscription. Without further ado, let’s dig in to the fantasy matchups!

(Photo by Frank Jansky/Icon Sportswire)

To better navagate the article for your players please click on the matchup links below.

NO/ATL LAR/CHI MIN/GB PIT/IND DEN/NYJ PHI/TB CIN/CAR HOU/JAX

WAS/ARI NE/SF CLE/LV KC/LAC BUF/BAL TEN/MIA SEA/DET

New Orleans Saints (2-1) vs. Atlanta Falcons (1-2)

Pre-Game Fantasy Preview


Team Def. Rank vs. QBS Def. Rank vs. RBS Def. Rank vs. WRS Def. Rank vs. TES Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Yards Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards Per Game Avg Time of Possession 3rd Down CVR 4th Down
CVR
Saints 9th 11th 11th 28th 57.7 34.3 343.3 190.3 153 31:38:00 52.9% 0%
Falcons 22nd 3rd 13th 19th 54.7 16.3 307.3 199.7 107.7 24:36:00 22.2% 50%

Our first game this Sunday is between the Saints and the Falcons. The Saints will look to bounce back on offense after a poor Week 3 performance. It starts with getting more consistency from their pass catchers outside of Chris Olave.

For the Falcons, it’s about getting their passing game to be more of a threat. Kirk Cousins must use his star players in the passing game to help produce fantasy points on Sunday. For all that is good, please get the ball to Kyle Pitts.

Quarterbacks

New Orleans Saints
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
Derek Carr QB2 65% 21.3 1.7 200.7 7th 21.0
Atlanta Falcons
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
Kirk Cousins QB2 60% 28.0 2.0 208.0 22nd 14.3
  • Falcons have kept opposing quarterbacks under 220 passing yards in all 3 games this year.
  • Kirk Cousins has been under 15 fantasy points in 2 of his first 3 starts.

Running Backs

New Orleans Saints
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
Alvin Kamara RB1 95% 20.3 58.1% 16.9% 2nd 27.2 67%
Jamaal Williams Outside the Top 48 40% 6.7 19.0% 6.2% 48th 5.6 25%
Atlanta Falcons
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
Bijan Robinson RB1 97% 16.0 64.0% 14.3% 18th 15.2 82%
Tyler Allgeier Outside the Top 48 50% 6.3 25.3% 1.2% 55th 4.3 20%
  • Bijan Robinson‘s rushing output has been disappointing at 4.1 YPC, but his 14% target share is encouraging if he can maintain it.
  • Alvin Kamara has averaged 95 total yards in 13 career games vs. Atlanta but has scored only 3 times.

Pass Catchers

New Orleans Saints
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
Chris Olave WR2 80% 77% 4.7 21.54% 29th 12.2 19 23%
Rashid Shaheed WR4 70% 70% 4.7 21.54% 28th 12.4 19 29%
Juwan Johnson (TE) Outside the Top 24 25% 42% 1.0 4.62% TE 39 3.5 9 23%
Taysom Hill (TE) Outside the Top 24 50% 40% 1.5 4.62% TE 36 3.8 6 27%
Atlanta Falcons
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
Drake London WR2 80% 100% 6.3 22.62% 24th 13.2 25 30%
Darnell Mooney WR4 65% 95% 6.0 21.43% 37th 11.6 27 45%
Kyle Pitts (TE) TE1 90% 80% 4.0 14.29% TE 12 8.2 21 36%
  • Chris Olave averages 66 yards in 6 career games vs. the Falcons.
  • The Saints have allowed 45 yards or more to opposing slot receivers. Darnell Mooney should be in for a solid outing.

Los Angeles Rams (1-2) vs. Chicago Bears (1-2)

Pre-Game Fantasy Preview


Team Def. Rank vs. QBS Def. Rank vs. RBS Def. Rank vs. WRS Def. Rank vs. TES Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Yards Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards Per Game Avg Time of Possession 3rd Down CVR 4th Down
CVR
Rams 31st 27th 31st 30th 60.3 19 309.3 231.3 78 28:11:00 34.3% 57%
Bears 2nd 23rd 5th 22nd 67.7 17.7 249.3 176.7 72.7 30:26:00 33.3% 78%

We have the broken Rams traveling to Chicago to play the Bears. The Rams are a tough team that will stay competitive, but it all goes through Kyren Williams. He has the favorable matchup for this Rams offense.

We finally saw a solid passing game on the Bears’ side of the ball. The Bears should do well against one of the bottom three defenses in football. I’d expect the Bears offense to thrive for fantasy managers on Sunday.

Quarterbacks

Los Angeles Rams
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
Matthew Stafford QB3 45% 33.7 0.0 251.3 30th 12.7
Chicago Bears
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
Caleb Williams QB2 70% 39.3 3.7 232.3 32nd 11.3
  • Matthew Stafford is top-5 in passing yards, but he averages 5 fantasy points per game less than the rest of the top 5 passing quarterbacks.
  • Caleb Williams has five turnovers in the first three weeks.

Running Backs

Los Angeles Rams
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
Kyren Williams RB1 95% 18.0 78.3% 9.9% 3rd 20.4 88%
Chicago Bears
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
D’Andre Swift RB3 60% 12.3 51.4% 8.5% 43rd 6.5 63%
Roschon Johnson RB4 55% 3.8 11.1% 4.2% 33rd 10.2 37%
  • Roschon Johnson saw 70% of his touches in the first half of the Week 3 game. Johnson may start eating into Swift’s touches.
  • Kyren Williams is lighting up fantasy opponents, but his 3.0 YPC could be a concern.

Pass Catchers

Los Angeles Rams
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
Demarcus Robinson WR4 60% 92% 5.0 14.9% 76th 6.5 32 32%
Tyler Johnson Outside the Top 60 30% 67% 4.7 13.9% 64th 7.3 23 32%
Tutu Atwell Outside the Top 60 50% 34% 3.0 8.9% 67th 7.0 13 28%
Cobly Parkinson (TE) TE2 55% 90% 4.0 11.88% TE22 5.3 31 13%
Chicago Bears
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
D.J. Moore WR1 90% 94% 9.3 23.7% 29th 12.2 42 17%
Keenan Allen WR4 65% 68% 11.0 9.3% 70th 6.9 23 39%
Rome Odunze WR3 70% 90% 6.7 16.9% 46th 10.3 37 36%
Cole Kmet (TE) TE1 70% 69% 5.7 14.41% TE4 11.3 22 57%
  • The Rams have allowed 40 or more yards to opposing tight ends this season.
  • The Rams have allowed a 100 yard receiver in each game this year.

NO/ATL LAR/CHI MIN/GB PIT/IND DEN/NYJ PHI/TB CIN/CAR HOU/JAX

WAS/ARI NE/SF CLE/LV KC/LAC BUF/BAL TEN/MIA SEA/DET

Minnesota Vikings (3-0) vs. Green Bay Packers (2-1)

Pre-Game Fantasy Preview


Team Def. Rank vs. QBS Def. Rank vs. RBS Def. Rank vs. WRS Def. Rank vs. TES Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Yards Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards Per Game Avg Time of Possession 3rd Down CVR 4th Down
CVR
Vikings 7th 5th 17th 25th 55 28.3 329.7 204.7 125 27:21:00 45.7% 100%
Packers 11th 21st 19th 27th 61.3 25 391.7 187.7 204 33:17:00 42.9% 100%

We have a big divisional game between the Packers and the Vikings. The Vikings had some potential scares with Sam Darnold and Justin Jefferson, but they should be good to go on Sunday. I’d expect this offense to continue to run through these two players. This is the Aaron Jones revenge game, so expect big things from the running back.

The Packers are even more hopeful to get Jordan Love back despite the good game from Malik Willis. The Packers need to find more balance on offense to help Josh Jacobs find better holes in this game.

Quarterbacks

Minnesota Vikings
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
Sam Darnold QB1 85% 26.0 2.7 230.7 2nd 24.6
Green Bay Packers
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
Jordan Love QB2 70% 34.0 0.0 260.0 9th 20.4
Malik Willis QB3 45% 11.3 4.0 146.0 23rd 14.1
Jordan Love – Game Time Decision
  • The Vikings and Packers defenses have both forced five or more interceptions in the first three weeks.

Running Backs

Minnesota Vikings
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
Aaron Jones RB2 85% 14.0 53.8% 17.9% 10th 18.2 59%
Ty Chandler RB4 50% 8.3 32.1% 3.8% 48th 5.6 35%
Green Bay Packers
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
Josh Jacobs RB2 85% 20.7 55.9% 5.9% 31st 10.4 67%
Emanuel Wilson RB4 60% 7.0 18.9% 7.4% 35th 8.1 19%
  • When Aaron Jones sees 14 or more carries this year, he runs over 90 yards rushing. Jones will get his revenge game.
  • Emanuel Wilson (5) has more targets than Josh Jacobs (4) through 3 games.

Pass Catchers

Minnesota Vikings
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
Justin Jefferson WR1 95% 81% 7.0 26.92% 7th 19.8 25 25%
Jordan Addison WR4 60% 51% 4.0 5.13% 76th 6.5 14 36%
Jalen Nailor WR5 50% 75% 3.3 12.82% 33rd 12.0 22 36$
Johnny Mundt (TE) Outside the Top 24 15% 68% 3.0 11.54% TE 27 4.6 20 31%
Green Bay Packers
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
Christian Watson WR4 60% 59% 2.3 10.3% 78th 6.3 15 30%
Romeo Doubs WR5 55% 79% 4.0 17.6% 67th 7.0 20 7%
Jayden Reed WR2 80% 56% 4.7 20.6% 12th 16.9 19 86%
Dontayvion Wicks Outside the Top 60 35% 51% 3.0 13.2% 95th 3.9 10 41%
Tucker Kraft (TE) TE2 55% 80% 2.7 11.76% TE 27 4.6 13 33%
Luke Musgrave (TE) Outside the Top 24 20% 44% 1.3 5.88% TE 67 1.0 8 17%

Pittsburgh Steelers (3-0) vs. Indianapolis Colts (1-2)

Pre-Game Fantasy Preview


Team Def. Rank vs. QBS Def. Rank vs. RBS Def. Rank vs. WRS Def. Rank vs. TES Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Yards Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards Per Game Avg Time of Possession 3rd Down CVR 4th Down
CVR
Steelers 1st 2nd 7th 18th 63 17 289 158.3 130.7 33:55:00 43.2% 0%
Colts 19th 16th 28th 26th 50 19.3 315.7 184.3 131.3 21:36 32.3% 40%

We have the Pittsburgh Steelers facing off against the Indianapolis Colts. The surprising (3-0) Steelers need to continue playing boring football. That means it should be a solid game for the Steelers backfield and their defense.

It will be a challenging game for the Colts since the Steelers are a top-two defense in football. The team may need Anthony Richardson to do more with his legs to help this offense have a decent fantasy outing.

Quarterbacks

Pittsburgh Steelers
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
Justin Fields QB1 85% 25.0 9.3 202.7 21st 15.2
Indianapolis Colts
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
Anthony Richardson QB2 80% 24.3 6.0 233.3 18th 15.7
  • Justin Fields had his 3rd best completion % of his career in Week 3.
  • Anthony Richardson has regressed, with fewer rushing yards per game, and averages only a 49% completion percentage.

Running Backs

Pittsburgh Steelers
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
Najee Harris RB2 80% 18.3 50.9% 12.0% 31st 10.3 53%
Indianapolis Colts
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
Jonathan Taylor RB2 80% 17.0 69.9% 8.2% 11th 17.6 79%
Cordarrelle Patterson has RB4 value w/ Jaylen Warren OUT
  • The Colts have allowed a 150-yard rusher two times in three weeks.
  • The Steelers run defense has not allowed a running back to finish higher than RB19 this season.

Pass Catchers

Pittsburgh Steelers
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
George Pickens WR3 75% 73% 6.0 24.00% 50th 9.7 24 30%
Calvin Austin Outside the Top 60 45% 47% 3.0 12.00% 60th 7.6 15 65%
Pat Freiermuth (TE) TE1 70% 71% 4.3 17.33% TE 14 7.3 22 43%
Indianapolis Colts
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
Michael Pittman WR4 60% 86% 6.7 27.40% 75th 6.6 23 19%
Josh Downs WR5 55% 57% 5.0 6.85% 84th 5.2 16 100%
Adonai Mitchell Outside the Top 60 5% 45% 3.3 13.70% 114th 1.7 14 56%
Alec Pierce Outside the Top 60 50% 85% 4.0 16.44% 19th 14.5 22 21%
Kylen Granson (TE) Outside the Top 24 40% 54% 1.3 5.48% TE 46 2.3 15 69%
  • Steelers have allowed 40 or more yards to slot receivers. Josh Downs is a sleeper after coming off 5 targets in his first game last week.
  • When George Pickens sees at least 7 targets, he has produced 50 or more yards.

NO/ATL LAR/CHI MIN/GB PIT/IND DEN/NYJ PHI/TB CIN/CAR HOU/JAX

WAS/ARI NE/SF CLE/LV KC/LAC BUF/BAL TEN/MIA SEA/DET

Denver Broncos (1-2) vs. New York Jets (2-1)

Pre-Game Fantasy Preview


Team Def. Rank vs. QBS Def. Rank vs. RBS Def. Rank vs. WRS Def. Rank vs. TES Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Yards Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards Per Game Avg Time of Possession 3rd Down CVR 4th Down
CVR
Broncos 10th 17th 2nd 20th 63 17.3 292.7 193 99.7 30:21:00 25.6% 67%
Jets 3rd 9th 15th 8th 58.3 22.3 310.3 209.7 100.7 30:29:00 56.8% 0%

The Denver Broncos are heading to New Jersey to play the New York Jets. It will be a battle of two strong defenses, seeing who can cause more chaos for the offense. Rookie Bo Nix looked solid last week but may regress against an elite Jets secondary.

It could be a bad day for the Broncos offense. The Jets will likely take advantage of the Broncos’ average run defense with their dynamic duo of Breece Hall and Braelon Allen to help win the day.

Quarterbacks

Denver Broncos
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
Bo Nix QB3 20% 37.7 6.0 235.7 28th 12.9
New York Jets
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
Aaron Rodgers QB2 60% 28.7 2.0 214.0 13th 18.3
  • Bo Nix has yet to throw for a passing touchdown and plays for the Jets, which have only allowed one this season.
  • The Broncos have not allowed an opposing quarterback to throw over 200 passing yards yet.

Running Backs

Denver Broncos
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
Javante Williams RB3 60% 8.0 33.3% 9.7% 40th 7.0 56%
Jaleel McLaughlin RB4 50% 6.0 25.0% 5.3% 49th 4.9 30%
New York Jets
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
Breece Hall RB1 95% 15.3 60.5% 20.2% 5th 22.3 75%
Braelon Allen RB3 70% 6.3 25.0% 8.5% 30th 10.7 28%
  • Breece Hall (5) has only two more red zone touches than Braelon Allen (3).
  • Javante Williams and Jaleel McLaughlin have combined for less than 100 total rushing yards in 3 games.

Pass Catchers

New York Jets
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
Garrett Wilson WR2 85% 93% 8.7 27.7% 29th 12.2 31 42%
Mike Williams Outside the Top 60 20% 43% 1.7 5.3% 104th 3.1 14 19%
Allen Lazard WR5 60% 89% 5.3 17.0% 18th 14.6 27 37%
Tyler Conklin (TE) TE2 60% 92% 3.3 10.64% TE16 6.0 26 57%
Denver Broncos
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
Courtland Sutton WR5 55% 85% 9.0 23.9% 56th 8.4 33 19%
Josh Reynolds WR5 55% 66% 5.0 13.3% 51st 9.5 28 17%
Greg Dulcich (TE) Outside the Top 24 45% 49% 3.7 9.73% TE45 2.6 21 42%
  • Garrett Wilson‘s production will dictate how often he is not lined up against Patrick Surtain. Surtain has only allowed a combined 53 yards in coverage against Mike Evans, George Pickens, and D.K. Metcalf.

Philadelphia Eagles (2-1) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1)

Pre-Game Fantasy Preview


Team Def. Rank vs. QBS Def. Rank vs. RBS Def. Rank vs. WRS Def. Rank vs. TES Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Yards Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards Per Game Avg Time of Possession 3rd Down CVR 4th Down
CVR
Eagles 12th 12th 30th 3rd 69.7 23.3 411.7 244.3 167.3 33:33:00 39.0% 57%
Buccaneers 26th 26th 8th 4th 54.7 21.3 277 186 91 29:13:00 41.2% 0%

We get two strong NFC contenders in the Eagles and the Buccaneers. The Eagles may be without their two top receivers who expect the team to rely heavily on Saquon Barkley in this game. Despite the tough matchup, Dallas Goedert will get his chance as the no. 1 option in the passing game.

For the Buccaneers, it’s time to get back to throwing the ball well. The Eagles’ secondary is lousy. Baker Mayfield needs to rebound and get the ball to his elite duo at receiver to help our fantasy teams.

Quarterbacks

Philadelphia Eagles
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
Jalen Hurts QB1 90% 34.0 11.3 305.0 12th 19.1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
Baker Mayfield QB1 85% 27.3 2.7 230.7 5th 23.0
  • The tush push is dead. Jalen Hurts has just 2 carries inside the 10 after having 29 last season.

Running Backs

Philadelphia Eagles
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
Saquon Barkley RB1 99% 21.0 63.0% 10.8% 1st 26.8 84%
Tama Bay Buccaneers
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target
Share
Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
Rachaad White RB3 70% 10.3 44.9% 15.9% 34th 9.5 72%
Bucky Irving RB3 70% 8.3 36.2% 7.3% 37th 7.7 33%
  • Bucky Irving is outperforming Rachaad White with a 6.2 YPC compared to White’s 2.1.
  • Saquon Barkley is averaging over 1 rushing TD per game and is playing a Buccaneers team that has given up 1 rushing TD per game.

Pass Catchers

Philadelpa Eagles
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
A.J. Brown WR1 85% 95% 10.0 9.8% 1st 22.9 36 31%
Jahan Dotson Outside the Top 60 45% 70% 1.7 4.9% 122nd 1.5 30 21%
Dallas Goedert TE1 95% 88% 6.7 19.61% TE2 13.6 32 46%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
MIke Evans WR1 90% 81% 4.3 15.85% 42nd 11.3 26 31%
Chris Godwin WR1 95% 82% 8.3 30.49% 4th 21.4 26 63%
Jalen McMillan Outside the Top 60 35% 80% 2.0 7.32% 86th 5.0 24 26%
Cade Otton Outside the Top 24 36% 92% 4.0 14.63% TE37 3.6 24 29%
AJ Brown – Questionable, Jalen McMillan – Doubtful

NO/ATL LAR/CHI MIN/GB PIT/IND DEN/NYJ PHI/TB CIN/CAR HOU/JAX

WAS/ARI NE/SF CLE/LV KC/LAC BUF/BAL TEN/MIA SEA/DET

Cincinnati Bengals (0-3) vs. Carolina Panthers (1-2)

Pre-Game Fantasy Preview


Team Def. Rank vs. QBS Def. Rank vs. RBS Def. Rank vs. WRS Def. Rank vs. TES Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Yards Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards Per Game Avg Time of Possession 3rd Down CVR 4th Down
CVR
Bengals 20th 18th 9th 9th 56.3 22.7 326.7 237.3 89.3 28:06:00 41.2% 75%
Panthers 25th 29th 22nd 31st 57 16.3 263 170 93 3:41 20.6% 33%

A matchup we didn’t expect to see is the (0-3) Bengals at the (1-2) Carolina Panthers. This has to be a get-right game for the Bengals, who just need to continue to light up the score. The offense should be able to do well again like in  Week 3.

For the Panthers, it’s the Red Rifle revenge game in which Andy Dalton faces his former team. We saw the teams can play well against the Bengals defense so expect the Panthers offense to have another great day in fantasy.

Quarterbacks

Cincinnati Bengals
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
Joe Burrow QB1 95% 34.3 3.7 258.0 10th 20.2
Carolina Panthers
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
Andy Dalton QB2 65% 19.0 1.0 158.5 20th 15.3
  • Andy Dalton has played the Bengals as the starter twice and has averaged 170 yards and 1.5 touchdowns.

Running Backs

Cincinnati Bengals
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
Zack Moss RB2 80% 11.0 56.9% 10.7% 23rd 13.5 74%
Chase Brown RB4 65% 4.7 24.1% 5.8% 47th 5.8 26%
Carolina Panthers
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
Chuba Hubbard RB3 75% 12.3 53.6% 10.6% 22nd 13.6 57%
Miles Sanders Outside the Top 48 45% 6.3 27.5% 7.4% 44th 6.2 40%

Pass Catchers

Cincinnati Bengals
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
Ja’Marr Chase WR1 95% 91% 6.0 17.48% 13th 16.5 37 29%
Tee Higgins WR2 80% 90% 6.0 5.83% 70th 6.9 39 13%
Andrei Iosivas Outside the Top 60 50% 85% 5.7 16.50% 29th 12.2 33 49%
Mike Gesicki (TE) TE2 65% 44% 6.0 17.48% TE8 9.9 19 59%
Carolina Panthers
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
Diontae Johnson WR3 75% 79% 8.7 27.7% 39th 11.5 28 21%
Xaiver Legette Outside the Top 60 45% 53% 3.3 10.6% 89th 4.6 20 43%
Tommy Tremble (TE) Outside the Top 24 45% 66% 3.5 7.45% TE20 5.6 17 42%
  • Diontae Johnson saw a 37% target share in Week 3. Now that Adam Thielen is OUT expect Johnson to continue to see a high percentage of targets.

Jacksonville Jaguars (0-3) vs. Houston Texans (2-1)

Pre-Game Fantasy Preview


Team Def. Rank vs. QBS Def. Rank vs. RBS Def. Rank vs. WRS Def. Rank vs. TES Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Yards Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards Per Game Avg Time of Possession 3rd Down CVR 4th Down
CVR
Jaguars 30th 28th 25th 15th 57.7 13.3 276.3 160.7 115.7 26:55:00 21.9% 44%
Texans 27th 10th 23rd 7th 66.7 18.3 341 232.3 108.7 33:09:00 35.7% 71%

This matchup is between two AFC South teams—the Jaguars and Texans. The Jaguars will look to forget a horrible Week 3 performance. It begins with trying to establish the run game, which should help open up the passing game. It would be a favorable matchup for the Jaguars’ passing game if they could figure it out.

The Texans will look to take advantage of a bad Jaguars defense and put up another top-tier fantasy performance for us.

Quarterbacks

Jacksonville Jaguars
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
Trevor Lawrence QB2 55% 29.7 1.7 205.3 31st 12.7
Houston Texans
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
C.J. Stroud QB1 95% 33.0 2.7 244.3 16th 16.9
  • Trevor Lawrence averages 270 yards with a touchdown and a turnover in 6 career games vs. Houston.
  • Jacksonville has given up a QB1 performance to each opposing quarterback to start the season.

Running Backs

Jacksonville Jaguars
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
Travis Etienne RB2 80% 12.0 56.3% 13.4% 25th 13.1 70%
Tank Bigsby Outside the top 48 35% 4.7 21.9% 0.0% 69th 2.7 15%
Houston Texans
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
Joe Mixon RB2 80% 19.5 51.3% 7.2% 13th 17.4 60%
Cam Akers RB4 65% 8.0 21.1% 3.6% 44th 6.2 32%
Joe Mixon – Game Time Decision – Cam Akers’ value would be RB3 w/o Mixon
  • Travis Etienne ranks 26th in carries this year. The upside is limited for Etienne, which could affect his success in this game.

Pass Catchers

Jacksonville Jaguars
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
Christian Kirk WR3 70% 78% 5.7 17.5% 70th 6.9 29 88%
Gabe Davis Outside the Top 60 45% 88% 5.3 16.5% 74th 6.8 29 15%
Brian Thomas Jr. WR2 75% 74% 5.7 17.5% 33rd 12.0 28 18%
Brenton Strange (TE) Outside the Top 24 50% 58% 3.7 11.34% 15th 6.2 19 63%
Houston Texans
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
Stefon Diggs WR2 85% 81% 8.0 21.6% 13th 16.3 35 64%
Nico Collins WR1 95% 82% 9.7 26.1% 8th 19.3 36 16%
Dalton Schultz (TE) TE2 65% 82% 3.7 9.91% 33rd 3.9 31 19%

NO/ATL LAR/CHI MIN/GB PIT/IND DEN/NYJ PHI/TB CIN/CAR HOU/JAX

WAS/ARI NE/SF CLE/LV KC/LAC BUF/BAL TEN/MIA SEA/DET

Washington Commanders (2-1) vs. Arizona Cardinals (1-2)

Pre-Game Fantasy Preview


Team Def. Rank vs. QBS Def. Rank vs. RBS Def. Rank vs. WRS Def. Rank vs. TES Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Yards Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards Per Game Avg Time of Possession 3rd Down CVR 4th Down
CVR
Commanders 32nd 19th 32nd 5th 60.7 26.3 360 206.3 153.7 32:19:00 45.2% 100%
Cardinals 23rd 25th 16th 10th 58.3 27.3 345.3 201.3 144 29:51:00 45.5% 0%

This is one unexpected matchup as the (2-1) Washington Commanders take on the (1-2) Arizona Cardinals. Rookie Jayden Daniels finally opened up his passing game, making the difference for fantasy managers. Daniels and the rest of the offense should succeed similarly against the Cardinals’ below-average defense.

The Cardinals will look to reestablish the run, as it was unsuccessful last week. Kyler Murray and Marvin Harrison Jr. should be in for a field day against the worst secondary in football.

Quarterbacks

Washington Commanders
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
Jayden Daniels QB1 95% 25.3 12.7 278.3 2nd 24.6
Arizona Cardinals
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
Kyler Murray QB1 95% 28.7 5.0 265.3 6th 22.5
  • This year, Kyler Murray has 5 carries for 40 or more yards in each game.
  • The Commanders have allowed 9 passing touchdowns in 3 games.

Running Backs

Washington Commanders
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
Brian Robinson Jr. RB1 90% 15.0 46.4% 10.5% 16th 14.4 64%
Arizona Cardinals
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
James Conner RB1 90% 15.3 55.4% 7.0% 18th 14.1 68%
Trey Benson Outside the Top 48 10% 5.3 19.3% 2.3% 71st 2.1 16%
  • Austin Ekeler is OUT so Brian Robinson Jr. should average over 20 touches.

Pass Catchers

Washington Comanders
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
Terry McLaurin WR3 70% 86% 6.0 23.7% 44th 10.6 27 20%
Noah Brown Outside the Top 60 35% 43% 3.0 7.9% 65th 7.3 8 17%
Luke McCaffrey Outside the Top 60 50% 50% 2.0 7.9% 93rd 4.1 15 82%
Zach Ertz (TE) TE2 65% 67% 4.3 17.11% TE11 8.3 24 52%
Arizona Cardinals
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
Marvin Harrison Jr. WR1 95% 83% 7.3 25.6% 15th 15.9 30 21%
Michael Wilson WR5 55% 79% 4.3 15.1% 52nd 9.0 28 28%
Greg Dortch Outside the Top 60 50% 54% 5.3 18.6% 70th 6.9 21 64%
Elijah Higgins (TE) TE2 50% 43% 1.3 4.65% TE26 4.7 7 43%
  • The Commanders have allowed 9 receiving touchdowns over the first 3 weeks.
  • The Cardinals have allowed just 1 receiver over 60 yards this season.

New England Patriots (1-2) vs. San Francisco 49ers (1-2)

Pre-Game Fantasy Preview


Team Def. Rank vs. QBS Def. Rank vs. RBS Def. Rank vs. WRS Def. Rank vs. TES Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Yards Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards Per Game Avg Time of Possession 3rd Down CVR 4th Down
CVR
Patriots 15th 14th 21st 17th 59.3 13 246.3 102 144.3 29:17:00 33.3% 100%
49ers 16th 22nd 26th 1st 67.3 24.3 407.3 267.7 139.7 35:38:00 41.2% 50%

This game won’t be as interesting as the bad New England Patriots take on the 49ers team. The Patriots need to trust the run game, as it helped them find success for our fantasy teams. The 49ers may be missing some of their stars, but Jordan Mason and Jauan Jennings have stepped up to keep this 49ers offense relevant. The 49ers stars may be returning in this game.

Quarterbacks

New England Patriots
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
Jacoby Brissett QB3 10% 23.0 3.0 135.3 34th 8.2
San Francisco 49ers
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
Brock Purdy QB2 75% 32.7 4.3 302.0 11th 19.4
  • Brock Purdy has the worst YAC % (yards after catch per completions in the league at 26%.

Running Backs

New England Patriots
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
Rhamondre Stevenson RB2 70% 17.3 57.8% 10.4% 23rd 13.0 78%
Antonio Gibson RB4 55% 7.7 25.6% 5.2% 40th 6.6 22%
San Francisco 49ers
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
Jordan Mason RB1 95% 22.3 69.1% 4.1% 16th 16.8 79%
  • The 49ers’ run defense has allowed an 80-yard running back in each game this season.
  • Jordan Mason‘s upside is limited, with a bottom-5 target share (4.1%) among starting RBs.

Pass Catchers

New England Patriots
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
K.J. Osborn Outside the Top 60 10% 71% 2.7 10.4% 108th 2.3 19 30%
Demario Douglas WR5 55% 66% 4.0 15.6% 81st 6.0 25 84%
Ja’Lynn Polk Outside the Top 60 25% 55% 2.0 7.8% 88th 4.7 18 17%
Hunter Henry (TE) TE2 60% 77% 6.0 23.38% TE9 8.5 24 63%
San Francisco 49ers
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
Brandon Aiyuk WR2 75% 76% 6.7 20.4% 60th 7.6 33 16%
Jauan Jennings WR3 70% 63% 7.0 21.4% 5th 21.2 26 63%
George Kittle (TE) TE1 90% 83% 6.5 13.27% TE1 14.3 29 22%
Deebo Samuel – long shot Game Time Decision
  • The Patriots have allowed a slot receiver to produce WR3 or better finish the last two weeks.

NO/ATL LAR/CHI MIN/GB PIT/IND DEN/NYJ PHI/TB CIN/CAR HOU/JAX

WAS/ARI NE/SF CLE/LV KC/LAC BUF/BAL TEN/MIA SEA/DET

Cleveland Browns (1-2) vs. Las Vegas Raiders (1-2)

Pre-Game Fantasy Preview


Team Def. Rank vs. QBS Def. Rank vs. RBS Def. Rank vs. WRS Def. Rank vs. TES Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Yards Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards Per Game Avg Time of Possession 3rd Down CVR 4th Down
CVR
Browns 13th 13th 20th 12th 66 16.7 248 152.3 95.7 30:27:00 18.6% 64%
Raiders 21st 30th 24th 21st 59.3 19.3 295.7 244.7 51 28:48:00 32.4% 20%

We go from one trainwreck to another as the Browns travel to Las Vegas to take on the Raiders. The Browns need to get more creative on offense or give DeShaun Watson more time in the pocket. If they can return to their roots with the run game, they have a favorable matchup in Week 4.

The Raiders need Gardner Minshew to step up, as they are on thin ice with him. We could see a quarterback swap if the Raiders offense fails to move the ball.

Quarterbacks

Cleveland Browns
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
DeShaun Watson QB3 50% 38.7 4.7 212.0 19th 15.5
Las Vegas Raiders
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
Gardner Minshew QB3 35% 33.0 2.3 255.0 25th 13.9
  • Gardner Minshew was benched in Week 3. He did not have a long leash.
  • Deshaun Watson has struggled when holding the ball for more than 2.5 seconds, with a 48% completion % on 29 attempts.

Running Backs

Cleveland Browns
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
Jerome Ford RB2 75% 9.7 43.9% 11.2% 27th 12.1 66%
D’Onta Foreman Outside the Top 48 45% 8.0 24.2% 0.9% 73rd 2.2 27%
Las Vegas Raiders
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
Zamir White RB3 60% 10.7 58.2% 5.4% 51st 4.9 767%
Alexander Mattison RB4 55% 4.0 21.8% 8.1% 28th 11.9 42%
  • Zamir White has just one red zone touch through three games.
  • The Raiders run defense has allowed a running back 80 or more yards in each of the first three games.

Pass Catchers

Cleveland Browns
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
Amari Cooper WR2 85% 91% 9.7 25.0% 36th 11.8 42 25%
Jerry Jeudy WR4 65% 84% 7.0 18.1% 44th 10.8 40 35%
Elijah Moore Outside the Top 60 50% 82% 5.7 14.7% 75th 6.0 39 63%
Jordan Akins (TE) TE2 60% 58% 4.0 10.34% TE25 4.9 27 36%
Las Vegas Raiders
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
Jakobi Meyers WR3 75% 91% 5.7 15.32% 25th 12.5 35 50%
Brock Bowers (TE) TE1 90% 67% 7.0 18.92% TE3 12.6 27 56%
Tre Tucker in deep leagues is a name to know
  • The Raiders have allowed a touchdown to opposing slot receivers each week this year. Elijah Moore could be the ultimate sleeper in Week 4. If not, expect Jerry Jeudy to score.
  • Jakobi Meyers has 60 yards in two of his first three games.

Kansas City Chiefs (3-0) vs. Los Angeles Chargers (2-1)

Pre-Game Fantasy Preview


Team Def. Rank vs. QBS Def. Rank vs. RBS Def. Rank vs. WRS Def. Rank vs. TES Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Yards Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards Per Game Avg Time of Possession 3rd Down CVR 4th Down
CVR
Chiefs 24th 6th 14th 32nd 60.3 25 328 211.7 116.3 29:55:00 35.5% 100%
Chargers 5th 7th 6th 14th 54.7 19.3 277.7 125.7 152 30:14:00 38.1%

We have the battle for the AFC West between the Chiefs and the Chargers. The Chiefs have owned the Chargers since the Mahomes era. It would be great to see Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce light up this defense as they have done so many times.

The Chargers run offense may be stopped once again as the Chiefs run defense is elite. The Chargers offense could be in for a rough day especially if there is no Justin Herbert.

Quarterbacks

Kansas City Chiefs
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
Patrick Mahomes QB1 95% 30.7 4.0 206.0 14th 17.8
Los Angeles Chargers
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
Justin Herbert QB3 50% 21.3 3.7 141.0 29th 12.8
Justin Herbert – Game Time Decision
  • Patrick Mahomes averages 280 passing yards and 2 passing touchdowns in 10 career games against the Chargers.

Running Backs

Kansas City Chiefs
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
Samaje Perine Outside the Top 48 45% 2.0 7.1% 7.6% 60th 3.4 22%
Carson Steele RB3 65% 8.7 30.6% 2.2% 67th 3.0 31%
Kareem Hunt Outside the Top 48 45% #DIV/0! 0.0% 0.0% N/A #DIV/0! #DIV/0!
Los Angeles Chargers
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
Gus Edwards Outside the Top 48 35% 10.7 35.2% 1.5% 58th 3.5 42%
J.K. Dobbins RB3 65% 14.0 46.2% 10.6% 14th 17.1 56%
  • Carson Steele dominated the touches over Samaje Perine 19 to 9 in Week 3.
  • J.K. Dobbins finally out carried Gus Edwards 15 to 3 in Week 3.

Pass Catchers

Kansas City Chiefs
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
Rashee Rice WR1 95% 60% 9.7 31.5% 3rd 21.6 27 51%
Xaiver Worthy WR4 65% 60% 3.7 12.0% 47th 10.0 23 31%
Travis Kelce (TE) TE1 75% 86% 4.0 13.04% TE24 5.0 24 43%
Los Angeles Chargers
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
Joshua Palmer Outside the Top 60 15% 62% 3.0 9.1% 96th 3.7 21 29%
Ladd McConkey WR4 65% 63% 5.7 25.8% 52nd 9.0 19 68%
Quentin Johnston WR5 55% 72% 4.3 19.7% 21st 13.8 21 8%
Hayden Hurst (TE) TE2 60% 59% 2.3 10.61% TE40 3.4 16 54%
  • Travie Kelce has averaged 24 fantasy points per game over the last 3 years against the Chargers.

NO/ATL LAR/CHI MIN/GB PIT/IND DEN/NYJ PHI/TB CIN/CAR HOU/JAX

WAS/ARI NE/SF CLE/LV KC/LAC BUF/BAL TEN/MIA SEA/DET

Buffalo Bills (3-0) vs. Baltimore Ravens (1-2)

Pre-Game Fantasy Preview


Team Def. Rank vs. QBS Def. Rank vs. RBS Def. Rank vs. WRS Def. Rank vs. TES Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Yards Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards Per Game Avg Time of Possession 3rd Down CVR 4th Down
CVR
Bills 6th 20th 4th 24th 54.3 37.3 329 209 120 28:37:00 41.4% 100%
Ravens 28th 4th 29th 29th 65.7 23.7 430.3 227 203.3 32:35:00 41.2% 67%

We are at Sunday Night Football as the Bills take on the Ravens. The Bills have been on fire on offense and can’t be slowed down. I expect Josh Allen to take advantage of a poor Ravens secondary and produce many fantasy points.

It’s another decent matchup for the Ravens for their backfield once again, but all fantasy managers want the Ravens to be playing in a negative game script. The matchup makes for their tight ends should have them involved if they want to win this home game.

Quarterbacks

Buffalo Bills
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
Josh Allen QB1 100% 24.0 5.7 239.7 1st 28.6
Baltimore Ravens
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
Lamar Jackson QB1 95% 30.0 11.7 318.7 4th 24.5
  • Lamar Jackson is on pace for 1400 rushing yards. You should expect Jackson to have a high rushing floor in this game.
  • The Ravens have allowed an opposing passer over 250 yards in each game.

Running Backs

Buffalo Bills
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
James Cook RB1 85% 13.7 46.6% 12.3% 6th 20.2 53%
Ray Davis Jr. Outside the Top 48 30% 6.3 21.6% 4.1% 48th 5.6 20%
Baltimore Ravens
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
Derrick Henry RB1 95% 18.7 53.8% 4.4% 7th 19.2 50%
Justice Hill RB4 55% 3.3 9.6% 13.3% 36th 8.0 50%

Pass Catchers

Buffalo Bills
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
Khalil Shakir WR2 80% 59% 4.7 19.18% 20th 14.3 19 83%
Keon Coleman Outside the Top 60 45% 65% 2.3 9.59% 79th 6.2 18 0%
Curtis Samuel Outside the Top 60 10% 27% 2.3 9.59% 100th 3.3 9 65%
Dalton Kincaid (TE) TE1 95% 63% 3.7 15.07% TE13 7.5 18 58%
Baltimore Ravens
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
Zay Flowers WR3 75% 82% 8.3 27.8% 26th 12.8 32 33%
Rashod Batemon Outside the Top 60 40% 76% 4.3 14.4% 55th 8.7 29 9%
Mark Andrews (TE) TE1 65% 57% 2.7 8.89% TE31 4.2 22 71%
Isaiah Likley (TE) TE2 60% 59% 5.3 17.78% TE5 10.7 18 51%
  • Buffalo has allowed a TE1 in each week this season.
  • In back-to-back weeks, the Ravens have allowed 90 or more yards to an opposing tight end.
  • Khalil Shakir’s target share of 19.18% is double that of the next Bills receiver.

Tenneesse Titans (0-3) vs. Miami Dolphins (1-2)

Pre-Game Fantasy Preview


Team Def. Rank vs. QBS Def. Rank vs. RBS Def. Rank vs. WRS Def. Rank vs. TES Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Yards Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards Per Game Avg Time of Possession 3rd Down CVR 4th Down
CVR
Titans 17th 24th 3rd 2nd 58 16 260.3 159.3 101 30:47:00 31.4% 25%
Dolphins 8th 31st 10th 11th 65.3 11 318.7 223.7 95 32:40:00 37.2% 10%

Our first of two MNF games starts with the Titans and Dolphins. This could be a messy game between Will Levis and whoever plays quarterback for the Dolphins. If the Titans want to succeed on offense, it starts with getting their run game going against one of the worst run defenses in football.

The Dolphins have a similarly favorable matchup to get their run game going against a poor Titans run defense. The Dolphins need to find a way to get the ball to their top two receivers—to keep fantasy managers from going insane.

Quarterbacks

Teneessee Titans
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
Will Levis QB3 20% 31.3 3.7 221.7 27th 13.3
Miami Dolphins
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
Skylar Thompson QB3 15% 16.5 0.5 95.5 37th 3.9
Tyler Huntley has a shot to start Monday
  • Will Levis has 8 turnovers in his first 3 games, and Miami ranks 13th in takeaways.

Running Backs

Tenneesse Titans
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
Tony Pollard RB2 75% 13.0 60.0% 14.9% 24th 13.2 67%
Tyjae Spears RB4 65% 4.0 18.5% 10.6% 39th 7.5 33%
Miami Dolphins
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
Raheem Mostert RB4 50% 6.0 7.8% 2.8% 57th 3.9 44%
De’Von Achane RB1 90% 14.3 55.8% 17.6% 3rd 20.4 63%
Jaylen Wright Outside the Top 48 35% 3.5 9.1% 0.0% 85th 1.1 23%
Jeff Wilson Outside the Top 48 15% 2.7 10.4% 1.9% 71st 2.4 16%
Raheem Mostert – Game Time Decision

Pass Catchers

Miami Dolphins
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
Tyreek Hill WR2 80% 71% 7.7 21.3% 24th 13.2 27 36%
Jaylen Waddle WR3 70% 76% 4.7 13.0% 45th 10.4 27 31%
Jonnu Smith (TE) TE2 60% 33% 4.0 11.11% TE20 5.6 20 62%
Tenneesse Titans
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
Calvin Ridley WR3 75% 79% 5.3 17.02% 39th 11.5 29 21%
De’Andre Hopkins WR4 65% 39% 3.3 10.64% 59th 7.7 15 36%
Tyler Boyd Outside the Top 60 30% 76% 4.7 14.89% 84th 5.2 29 77%
Chigoziem Okonkwo (TE) Outside the Top 24 50% 54% 2.3 7.45% TE17 5.9 18 41%

NO/ATL LAR/CHI MIN/GB PIT/IND DEN/NYJ PHI/TB CIN/CAR HOU/JAX

WAS/ARI NE/SF CLE/LV KC/LAC BUF/BAL TEN/MIA SEA/DET

Seattle Seahawks (3-0) vs. Detriot Lions (2-1)

Pre-Game Fantasy Preview


Team Def. Rank vs. QBS Def. Rank vs. RBS Def. Rank vs. WRS Def. Rank vs. TES Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Yards Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards Per Game Avg Time of Possession 3rd Down CVR 4th Down
CVR
Seahawks 4th 8th 1st 23rd 62 24.3 344 246.7 97.3 28:46:00 36.8% 50%
Lions 18th 1st 27th 6th 70.7 20.7 399.7 236.7 163 31:55:00 45.2% 57%

Week 4 ends with a great matchup between Seattle and Detroit. Seattle will struggle on the ground, so expect the passing game to see an uptick in production. Geno Smith and his receivers must be on their A-game to continue their undefeated season.

The Lions need to show that the Seattle defense is not as good as they look on paper. You can be sure they will attempt to run the ball down the middle of their defense until they cave. This should be a good one that goes to the last moments but hopefully gives us some decent fantasy production.

Quarterbacks

Seattle Seahawks
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
Geno Smith QB2 75% 34.3 3.7 274.3 15th 17.7
Detriot Lions
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Pass Attempts Avg Rush Attempts Avg Total Yards Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Fantasy Points Per Game
Jared Goff QB2 80% 35.3 2.0 247.0 26th 13.6
  • The Lions’ secondary allowed just one passing touchdown and forced one turnover per game.

Running Backs

Seattle Seahawks
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
Ken Walker RB3 75% 20.0 26.7% 2.9% 8th 18.9 66%
Zach Charbonnet RB4 60% 13.3 53.3% 11.7% 9th 18.6 71%
Detriot Lions
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Rush Attempts Avg Carry Share Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Avg Offensive Snaps
David Montgomery RB2 80% 17.0 50.5% 7.5% 10th 18.2 45%
Jahmyr Gibbs RB1 90% 13.3 39.6% 12.3% 14th 17.1 53%
Ken Walker – trending towards playing

Pass Catchers

Seattle Seahawks
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
D.K. Metcalf WR1 90% 86% 8.0 23.3% 9th 18.4 33 17%
Tyler Lockett WR5 60% 64% 5.7 16.5% 54th 8.9 27 27%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR3 70% 83% 7.0 20.4% 39th 11.5 32 84%
Noah Fant TE2 55% 67% 4.3 12.62% TE18 5.8 25 63%
Detriot Lions
Player Week 4 Ranking Confidence Start Rating Avg Offensive Snaps Avg Targets Avg Target Share Fantasy Rank (PPR) Fantasy Points Per Game Average Routes Run Slot %
Amon-Ra
St. Brown
WR1 90% 96% 11.0 31.1% 15th 15.9 34 56%
Jameson Williams WR3 75% 83% 7.7 21.7% 23rd 13.3 33 30%
Sam LaPorta TE1 55% 77% 3.3 9.43% TE18 5.8 26 25%

That’s it for Week 4! Feel free to reach out on Twitter (X) @coachstevenp if you have any comments on the new format, what you want to see more of, or how we can make this more accessible.

Are you interested in joining the #NerdHerd? Use the code “COACH” for 15% off any membership. Sign up here and get an edge on all of your league mates today! You can get access to the DynastyGM tool (including our Trade Calculator and new Trade Finder), the Prospect Film Room, an extra weekly podcast, full rankings, and much, much more!





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