Single Post

NFL Free Agency starts in the couple days but that didn’t stop the NFL from already giving us some impact trades for dynasty fantasy football. Below is a full breakdown of what these deals mean for the four affected NFL teams.

David Montgomery Lands in Houston

• Texans receive David Montgomery
• Lions receive 2026 4th, 2027 7th and Juice Scruggs

Houston Backfield | Montgomery Stability

Houston struggled to have a consistent run game in 2025, and they made a sizeable move to bring in veteran David Montgomery to their backfield.

Here is a little backstory for the Houston offense over the last three years under DeMeco Ryans: His backfields have averaged just 3.9 yards per carry over the last three seasons with three different starters. Last year, Houston’s offensive line ranked near the bottom of the league as Woody Marks struggled, finishing with only 703 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns.

Montgomery’s fantasy value jumps to a borderline RB2/RB3 heading into the 2026 season. The Texans would have to make major upgrades to their offensive line in order for Montgomery to have real upside in 2026. Montgomery’s last 2 season averages come out to roughly 745 yards and 10 touchdowns per season.

We could see a more efficient season from Montgomery but with low touchdown upside in this Houston offense. I would look to sell high on Montgomery if you are not a contender, as he is likely to split work with Marks—especially in the passing game—and could end up being touchdown-dependent for fantasy production.

Woody Marks takes a massive hit in value, and if you were able to sell prior to this trade then you did well. We could see Marks return to more of a receiving role. From Weeks 2 through 6, Marks recorded 13 receptions for 165 yards. Over the rest of the season, he managed just 11 receptions for 43 yards.

He will likely operate as the 1B option in this offense, which lowers his FLEX value even in PPR leagues. Right now, Marks profiles more as a buy-low candidate, especially in deeper dynasty leagues. If something were to happen to Montgomery—who is an older running back—Marks could quickly step back into a larger role.

Lions Backfield | Gibbs to the Moon

While the Texans backfield likely won’t offer much upside, the Jahmyr Gibbs situation in the Detroit Lions backfield is about to blow up. Now that running back David Montgomery is no longer there to share the workload, things could open up wide for the young player.

While it is a small sample size, in 5 career games without Montgomery, Gibbs averaged 28 fantasy points per game. While Gibbs likely won’t average that high over an entire season, we did see a likely preview of what 2026 could look like during the 2025 season. Over the final 9 games, Gibbs averaged around 22 fantasy points per game, including 3 games over 30 fantasy points. During that stretch, he nearly doubled Montgomery in carries and was the primary pass catcher out of the backfield.

Realistically, Gibbs could easily average 18+ fantasy points per game in most weeks during the 2026 season. While the Lions will likely bring in another running back, it probably won’t be someone with the pedigree Montgomery had in this backfield. It will more likely be a true backup or a rookie option.

New offensive coordinator Drew Petzing has previously shown a willingness to lean heavily on a talented running back. When he had James Conner with the Arizona Cardinals, the backfield operated with a true workload feature back. Cardinals running backs averaged at least 4–5 targets per game in that offense.

Gibbs is currently at an all-time high in dynasty value, which may tempt some managers to sell. However, that would likely be a mistake. Expect at least two more seasons of elite production, especially for contenders looking to maximize their championship window. Gibbs is trending toward a massive 2026 season and remains one of the premier dynasty assets at the running back position.

Recent Trades | Dynasty GM

• David Montgomery for Quentin Johnston
• Montgomery for 2026 2nd
• Montgomery for Jake Ferguson
• 2026 1st & Woody Marks for Ken Walker

---

🔗 Start Building Your Dynasty

---

D.J. Moore heading to Buffalo

• Bills receive D.J. Moore and 2026 5th
• Bears receive 2026 2nd

Bills Offense | Passing Game Trending Up

The Buffalo Bills Super Bowl window is slowly closing, and they made a move to bring in veteran receiver D.J. Moore. Last season we saw the Bills struggle in the passing game, with Khalil Shakir leading the team with only around 700 receiving yards. Keon Coleman is already starting to look like a potential bust, while Dalton Kincaid has struggled to stay healthy.

During an important playoff run, Josh Allen was throwing to receivers like Brandin Cooks, Curtis Samuel, and Joshua Palmer. Wide receiver was clearly one of the most important needs for Buffalo this offseason.

For Allen, this move likely doesn’t change much from a fantasy perspective. He is already ranked near the top of most 2026 quarterback rankings and sits inside the top three in many dynasty formats. This addition is more of a short-term fix for his receiver group.

However, this could allow Allen to return to 500+ pass attempts, something he has failed to reach in the two seasons since Stefon Diggs departed. Moore could help push him back toward that mark as a consistent option in the passing game and give Buffalo a reliable target when they need it most.

D.J. Moore becomes an interesting option for contending fantasy teams. He could return to high-end WR3 production in 2026. Moore’s play has trended slightly downward over the last few seasons, but the move to Buffalo should provide a clear upgrade at quarterback.

Allen posted a 79% on-target rate last season compared to the 68% rate from Caleb Williams. That improved accuracy alone could help stabilize Moore’s production.

A realistic outcome for Moore could mirror something close to his 2023 season line: around 118 targets, 888 receiving yards, and 8 touchdowns. That type of production would easily put him in the flex range for 2026 fantasy lineups.

However, Moore likely isn’t a long-term solution in Buffalo. For dynasty managers who are not contending, this could be the perfect opportunity to sell while his value spikes after the trade.

Khalil Shakir will be an interesting player to watch after the addition of Moore. It could actually be a positive for him to see less defensive attention with Moore on the field.

Shakir is largely who he is at this point—a low-end WR3 or WR4 type of fantasy option. His touchdown production has remained low even while operating as the team’s WR1, and he has rarely approached 100 targets in a season.

He should continue to operate as the slot receiver and safety blanket for Josh Allen. Shakir has also shown the ability to create production on his own, finishing 5th in the NFL with 504 yards after the catch.

If anything, this could be a buy-low opportunity in dynasty leagues. Shakir is still relatively young at 26 years old and should remain heavily involved in the offense even with Moore added to the mix.

As for the rest of the offense, I would be surprised if Keon Coleman is still with the team long term. Meanwhile, Dalton Kincaid doesn’t see much change in value from this move. His dynasty outlook remains tied more to his health and injury history than anything related to this trade.

Bears Offense | Breakouts Coming

For the Bears offense we are going to focus on the big three Rome Odunze, Luther Burden and Colston Loveland. If you have any of these young pass catchers in dynasty, you have to be feeling great about them heading into 2026 and beyond.

My WR1 for the Bears, Rome Odunze, will be entering a critical season heading into Year 3. Odunze suffers a bit from the “what have you done for me lately” narrative. He was on the verge of a breakout season over the first 12 games. In games where he saw at least seven targets, he often produced 15 or more fantasy points.

He was a bit boom-or-bust at times, however. In five games where he saw fewer than five targets, he averaged only about three fantasy points. That said, context matters. Odunze suffered a heel injury setback in Week 9 that appeared on the injury report and likely contributed to three of those five poor outings.

If Odunze can stay healthy, he has a real shot to emerge as the WR1 in the Bears offense. He’s someone I would target in dynasty trades over Luther Burden, especially considering the potential growth in his role entering Year 3. Odunze also offers strong touchdown upside, as he was one of the Bears’ primary red-zone weapons in 2025.

While fewer people may be in on Rome Odunze, it seems like everyone is ready to crown Luther Burden as the next breakout player in Chicago. Burden was once a highly touted prospect coming out of college and still carried Round 2 value in the NFL Draft. He did finish the season strong with a few big games that helped the Bears and seemed to develop some chemistry with Caleb Williams.

However, Burden took some time to break into the Bears’ starting lineup. It wasn’t until Week 10 that he surpassed 50% of the offensive snaps. His target share also didn’t jump until Week 12, when Odunze missed time due to injury.

That raises a fair question: if Odunze never gets hurt, does Burden spark in this Bears offense?

It wasn’t until Week 15 that Burden recorded more than four receptions in a game. He also wasn’t much of a red-zone target, and that likely won’t change with Odunze and the Bears’ two large tight ends commanding those looks.

While Burden is a natural candidate for a 2026 breakout because of his electric playing style, he might actually be a sell-high in dynasty if the market allows it. You could also justify holding him, considering he saw 60 targets in 2025 and could realistically push closer to 100 targets in 2026, especially with Odunze’s injury history.

Still, Burden projects more as the WR2 in Chicago and likely the third overall pass-catcher in the offense heading into 2026.

Colston Loveland should be another young player who benefits from D.J. Moore being gone. He finished the season with 4 straight games of 10+ targets. Granted, Odunze was missing for most of those games, but Loveland still showed he could be a consistent weapon for Caleb Williams in the Bears offense.

Now, with Moore’s 85 targets vacated, Loveland has a real chance to approach 100 targets in 2026 if his role continues to grow. At the end of the day, you want a piece of the Bears offense, and if you roster any of these three players, you should be excited about the potential for them to take another step forward.

Recent Trades | Dynasty GM

• D.J. Moore for 2027 2nd & Jonathan Brooks
• Luther Burden for 2027 1st
• Luther Burden & 2026 2nd for Treveyon Henderson & 2026 2nd

---

🔥 Take Control of Your Dynasty Today

Want to see where your lineup stacks up? Start building like the pros with our most powerful tools and resources:

👉 It’s time to take control of your dynasty and see where your lineups truly rank.