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Week 4 Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advanced Stats

Week 4 Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advanced Stats featuring Garrett Wilson and other top NFL players.


The Week 4 Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advanced Stats Matchup Guide was curated by Senior Staff Nerd Steven Pintado using statistics from the Fantasy Points Data Suite. This data can be used for fantasy football start/sit decisions, Daily Fantasy Sports lineup creations, Vegas lines and prop betting, and acts as an overall analytical profile of every key offensive player in the NFL. This is The Full Slate for Week 4 fantasy football.


If you want access to these stats (and over 100 other proprietary figures) sign up here and use promo code NERDS to save 25% on a Data Suite or All-In subscription.


Week 4 Advance Player Stat of the Week | Targets Per Route Run (TPRR)

Stat of the Week | Targets Per Route Run Table (Click Here)

📊 Week 4 Advanced Player Stat of the Week | Targets Per Route Run (TPRR)

Category Players Fantasy Football Takeaway
Elite TPRR + Fantasy Points Puka Nacua, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Davante Adams + 3 others These receivers rank top 12 in both fantasy points per game and TPRR. Their usage is elite and signals sustainable fantasy production.
Low TPRR, High Fantasy Points Quentin Johnston, Tre Tucker Both are producing fantasy points but sit outside the top 45 in TPRR. Risk of regression if their route involvement doesn’t improve.
Positive Regression Candidates Chris Olave, Tyreek Hill, Nico Collins All rank inside the top 6 in TPRR but haven’t fully translated it into fantasy scoring. Expect sustained opportunity and potential uptick in production.

Our advanced player stat for Week 4 is Targets Per Route Run. It’s exactly what it sounds like—the percentage of a receiver’s routes where he earns a target. Why it matters for fantasy: you want receivers who are efficiently earning targets every time they’re on the field. When a player is targeted often on the routes he runs, it signals strong involvement in the offense and creates more opportunities for fantasy points.

There are 6 receivers currently ranked inside the top 12 in fantasy points per game who also sit inside the top 12 in TPRR. Among them are standouts like Puka Nacua, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and Davante Adams, showing that when they run a route, they’re getting targeted at an elite rate a recipe for sustained fantasy success.

On the other hand, two receivers in the top 10 for fantasy points are defying the odds: Quentin Johnston and Tre Tucker both rank outside the top 45 in TPRR. Despite their early production, their lack of targets per route could signal potential regression if their usage doesn’t improve.

Some players who may see a slight positive regression over the next few weeks include Chris Olave, Tyreek Hill, and Nico Collins, all of whom currently rank inside the top 6 at the position. There could be other factors that slow their fantasy production, but their high TPRR shows that when they’re on the field, they’re consistently getting targeted a key indicator for sustained opportunity and long-term fantasy success.


These advanced player stats for Week 4 offer deeper insights into Start/Sit decisions at QB, RB, WR, and TE. Use these metrics alongside Dynasty Nerds’ Week 4 Waiver Wire article, Week 4 Trade Advice, and our All-in-One Weekly Content hub to optimize your lineups.


Below in each dropdown are the full Week 4 Team Stats powered by Fantasy Points Data Suite. Use these metrics to make informed Start/Sit lineup calls.

Seattle Seahawks (2-1) @ Arizona Cardinals (2-1)

Key Advanced Player Stats | Week 4 Start/Sit

  • Kenneth Walker – has 80 or more all-purpose yards in every game against Arizona in his career.
  • Marvin Harrison Jr. – faces a tough matchup this week as Seattle plays a high zone defense, and he has struggled with a 9.0% win rate against zone coverage.
Team Stats | Week 4 Fantasy Football Start/Sit
Team Def. Rank vs QBs Def. Rank vs RBs Def. Rank vs WRs Def. Rank vs TEs Def. 2 Man % Def. Zone % 1-HI Sfty % 2-HI Sfty % Offensive Plays Ran Points/Game Pass Yds/Game Rush Yds/Game
Seahawks 6 (strong) 14 (avg) 2 (elite) 30 (weak) 17.9 75.6 40.7 59.3 56 29.3 219 96
Cardinals 15 (avg) 21 (weak) 18 (below avg) 16 (avg) 18 74.7 42.7 57.3 57.7 20.7 165 111.3
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM ADOT YAC % Adj Comp % 1-Read % Press % CHK %
Sam Darnold Seahawks Mid QB2 74% 15.3 225.7 1.3 26 9.4 38.2 80.3 68.9 34.6 1.4
Kyler Murray Cardinals High QB2 84% 18.1 216.3 1.3 35.3 6.0 58.9 80.2 67.4 27.4 12.4
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 4 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG Touches/G ATT % Off. Snaps % TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
Seahawks Kenneth Walker III High RB2 88% 13.2 14.7 44% 43% 6.5 50.0 56.3 33.1 0.2 2.0 2.2 10.6
Seahawks Zach Charbonnet Mid RB4 67% 5.9 13.5 31% 57% 0.0 100.0 50.0 0.0 0.1 1.8 0.3 9.0
Cardinals Trey Benson Low RB2 80% 7.0 9.7 27% 46% 9.0 20.0 27.3 64.8 0.3 3.6 2.4 8.5
Cardinals Emari Demercado Outside Top 48 35% 0.0 1.0 3% 7% 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 0.8
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 4 Rank Conf. FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Man Win % Zone Win % Slot Rte % YAC EZTGT 1st Read %
Seahawks Jaxon Smith-Njigba High WR1 97% 15.8 9.7 37.7 0.43 🔥 22.3 25.0 16.7 26.9 87.0 0.0 50.0
Seahawks Cooper Kupp Low WR5 50% 6.4 5.0 16.9 0.21 ⚠️ 20.7 29.4 2.4 51.6 65.0 0.0 21.2
Seahawks Tory Horton Outside Top 60 41% 9.0 2.7 10.4 0.17 ❄️ 15.3 25.0 6.1 23.9 8.0 2.0 11.5
Cardinals Marvin Harrison Jr. High WR3 79% 8.4 5.7 18.0 0.16 ⚠️ 32.3 7.1 9.1 26.8 49.0 2.0 21.7
Cardinals Michael Wilson Outside Top 60 30% 3.2 4.5 9.0 0.10 ❄️ 26.7 16.7 3.2 32.5 4.0 1.0 11.7
Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE
AJ Barner Seahawks Outside Top 24 35% 2.4 2.0 6.5 0.1 16.7 6.0 19.0 0.0 5.8 0.0 0.0
Trey McBride Cardinals High TE1 99% 11.3 8.0 24.7 0.2 31.7 52.6 88.0 1.0 33.3 15.4 6.5
(Photo by Brandon Sloter/Icon Sportswire)

Minnesota Vikings (2-1) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (2-1)

Key Advanced Player Stats | Week 4 Start/Sit

  • Justin Jefferson – had a 29% target share in Week 3; don’t expect reduced numbers under Carson Wentz.
  • D.K. Metcalf – struggles to win against zone coverage with a 6.7 rate, and the Vikings run a high percentage of their defense in zone coverage.
Team Stats | Week 4 Fantasy Football Start/Sit
Team Def. Rank vs QBs Def. Rank vs RBs Def. Rank vs WRs Def. Rank vs TEs Def. 2 Man % Def. Zone % 1-HI Sfty % 2-HI Sfty % Offensive Plays Ran Points/Game Pass Yds/Game Rush Yds/Game
Vikings 3 (elite) 10 (strong) 1 (best) 15 (avg) 13.3 81.6 24.5 75.5 51 27.0 145.7 122.3
Steelers 28 (very weak) 19 (below avg) 10 (solid) 32 (worst) 31.8 63.6 67.3 32.7 54 24.0 184.0 63.0
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM ADOT YAC % Adj Comp % 1-Read % Press % CHK %
Carson Wentz Vikings Low QB2 69% 19.3 177.0 2.0 25 8.8 48.6 70 85 44 0
Aaron Rodgers Steelers QB3 45% 20.6 196.3 2.3 31.7 5.3 71.7 76.9 72.1 35.8 7
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Touches/G ATT % Off Snaps % TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
Jordan Mason Vikings Low RB1 90% 12.1 14.3 53% 58% 6.2 100 77.8 10 0.3 2.6 2.8 9.5
Zavier Scott Vikings Outside top 48 45% 5.5 9.0 11% 28% 4.2 0 0 0.0 0.0 1.8 2.0 7.3
Jaylen Warren Steelers High RB3 78% 13.0 18.0 64% 61% 13.6 66.7 85.7 0.0 0.3 2.4 0.7 16.7
Kenneth Gainwell Steelers Low RB4 60% 6.0 7.7 24% 41% 11.4 33.3 14.3 0.0 0.1 1.9 1.5 8.3
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 4 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Man Win % Zone Win % Slot Rte % YAC EZTGT 1Read %
Vikings Justin Jefferson Mid WR1 95% 10.8 6.7 30.8 0.27 25.0 25.0 32.1 20.0 17.3 78.0 30.2
Vikings Jordan Addison Low WR4 62% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Steelers DK Metcalf Low WR2 80% 10.2 5.7 19.3 0.20 27.7 27.7 6.7 11.5 16.9 101.0 23.8
Steelers Calvin Austin III Outside Top 60 47% 9.5 5.0 15.9 0.18 25.3 25.3 32.1 2.2 46.1 26.0 20.6
Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE
T.J. Hockenson Vikings Low TE1 80% 6.0 4.3 20.0 0.2 19.7 30.5 29.0 1.0 22.6 17.4 5.7
Pat Freiermuth Steelers Outside Top 24 50% 3.3 3.3 11.4 0.2 15.7 57.4 17.0 1.0 11.1 21.1 0.0
Jonnu Smith Steelers Mid TE2 72% 6.2 4.3 14.8 0.2 18.3 49.1 68.0 0.0 17.5 4.5 0.

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Washington Commanders (2-1) @ Atlanta Falcons (1-2)

Key Advanced Player Stats | Week 4 Start/Sit

  • Michael Penix – should take advantage of the Commanders’ defense, who allow the league high 10.3 ADOT. Expect more throws downfield for Penix.
  • Zach Ertz – Falcons have allowed just 6 receptions for 48 yards in 3 games this year to tight ends.
Team Stats | Week 4 Fantasy Football Start/Sit
Team Def. Rank vs QBs Def. Rank vs RBs Def. Rank vs WRs Def. Rank vs TEs Def. 2 Man % Def. Zone % 1-HI Sfty % 2-HI Sfty % Offensive Plays Ran Points/Game Pass Yds/Game Rush Yds/Game
Commanders 27 (very weak) 6 (strong) 25 (weak) 27 (very weak) 34.5 54.0 55.8 44.2 61.3 26.7 196.7 157.3
Falcons 4 (elite) 8 (strong) 7 (strong) 1 (best) 24.5 72.3 67.0 33.0 66.7 14.0 199.3 139.3
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM ADOT YAC % Adj Comp % 1-Read % Press % CHK %
Jayden Daniels Commanders Mid Qb1 94% 22.9 259.0 1.5 44.5 8.3 47.3 71.6 59.7 42.7 9.7
Marcus Mariota Commanders Mid QB2 78% 22.3 247.0 2.0 23 7.4 55.6 94.4 76.2 17.4 4.8
Michael Penix Jr. Falcons Low QB2 71% 11.7 211.3 0.3 36.3 7.2 56.7 73.9 68.7 34.9 5.1
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Touches/G ATT % Off Snaps % TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
Jacory Croskey-Merritt Commanders Low RB3 72% 8.5 7.7 27% 32% 3.2 40.0 30.8 4.5 0.2 3.4 2.3 7.0
Chris Rodriquez Jr. Commanders Low RB4 61% 3.9 11.0 13% 38% 0.0 20.0 33.3 0.0 0.0 2.3 1.3 7.5
Jeremy McNichols Commanders High RB3 67% 5.4 2.7 10% 22% 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.5 0.5 9.9 3.0 1.4
Bijan Robinson Falcons High RB1 98% 17.8 20.3 52% 76% 17.0 33.3 46.7 8.5 0.3 3.0 2.1 18.4
Tyler Allgeier Falcons Low RB4 61% 5.9 9.7 30% 22% 2.8 33.3 40.0 3.7 0.0 1.6 2.3 7.2
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 4 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Man Win % Zone Win % Slot Rte % YAC EZTGT 1Read %
Commanders Terry McLaurin* Mid WR3 75% 6.6 5.7 18.3 0.19 30.0 7.7 11.5 12.2 36.0 0.0 27.1
Commanders Deebo Samuel Sr. Mid WR2 85% 12.3 7.0 22.6 0.26 27.3 12.5 1.8 82.9 122.0 0.0 23.7
Commanders Luke McCaffrey Outside Top 60 45% 5.8 1.3 4.3 0.19 7.0 0.0 0.0 33.3 44.0 0.0 5.1
Commanders Jaylin Lane Outside Top 60 25% 0.9 2.7 7.5 0.15 15.3 0.0 2.9 30.4 9.0 1.0 10.2
Falcons Drake London Low WR1 92% 7.3 9.0 12.4 0.20 23.0 40.0 7.7 20.3 20.0 2.0 14.4
Falcons Darnell Mooney Low WR4 63% 4.7 7.5 21.9 0.23 31.0 13.3 0.0 40.3 14.0 2.0 26.8

* Terry McLaurin seems likely not to play in Week 4. It could give a boost to Luke McCaffrey, who was solid last week

Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE
Zach Ertz Commanders High TE2 74% 10.3 5.3 16.1 0.2 26.7 62.5 37.0 0.0 18.6 9.5 3.5
Kyle Pitts Falcons High TE2 76% 7.0 6.3 17.9 0.2 33.7 29.7 74.0 0.0 16.9 8.7 5.6

New Orleans Saints (0-3) @ Buffalo Bills (3-0)

Key Advanced Player Stats | Week 4 Start/Sit

  • Josh Allen – should be in for an efficient game against the Saints defense, which ranks in the bottom 10 in Adj Comp%, something that Allen already ranks in the top 10 in.
  • Juwan Johnson – needs to overcome a matchup against the Bills, who have allowed just 32 total yards to opposing TEs this season.
Team Stats | Week 4 Fantasy Football Start/Sit
Team Def. Rank vs QBs Def. Rank vs RBs Def. Rank vs WRs Def. Rank vs TEs Def. 2 Man % Def. Zone % 1-HI Sfty % 2-HI Sfty % Offensive Plays Ran Points/Game Pass Yds/Game Rush Yds/Game
Saints 26 (very weak) 24 (weak) 23 (weak) 22 (weak) 16.8 79.2 58.4 41.6 68.7 15.7 199.7 102.3
Bills 22 (below avg) 22 (below avg) 16 (average) 3 (elite) 19.3 76.1 38.6 61.4 68.7 34.0 257.0 163.0
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM ADOT YAC % Adj Comp % 1-Read % Press % CHK %
Spencer Rattler Saints QB3 55% 17.6 230.3 1.3 44 7.4 44 78.4 71.4 33.3 5.9
Josh Allen Bills High QB1 95% 27.9 259.0 2.3 37.7 6.8 54.3 82.4 61.6 34.5 6.1
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Touches/G ATT % Off Snaps % TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
Alvin Kamara Saints Mid RB2 84% 10.6 19.7 63% 80% 8.3 100 75.0 4 0.2 1.9 1.8 14.8
Kendre Miller Saints Outside Top 48 35% 2.8 6.7 22% 19% 2.5 0 12.5 0.0 0.4 2.4 1.1 4.3
James Cook Bills High RB1 97% 21.3 20.7 52% 57% 8.9 40.0 52.2 5.7 0.2 3.5 1.9 16.7
Ray Davis Bills Outside Top 48 25% 1.0 3.7 10% 15% 2.0 0 4.3 0.0 0.0 1.7 0.9 2.8
Ty Johnson Bills Outside Top 48 25% 1.9 2.7 7% 28% 4.0 0 0.0 14.3 0.0
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 4 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Man Win % Zone Win % Slot Rte % YAC EZTGT 1Read %
Saints Chris Olave Low WR3 72% 9.3 12.3 28.9 0.30 38.7 13.6 5.7 40.5 49.0 4.0 32.2
Saints Rashid Shaheed Low WR5 52% 8.6 6.7 16.5 0.18 36.3 26.1 2.4 35.8 30.0 1.0 17.2
Bills Khalil Shakir Low WR3 71% 7.9 5.0 12.9 0.15 28.3 11.4 8.9 71.8 75.0 0.0 12.7
Bills Keon Coleman Mid WR4 65% 9.6 6.0 17.8 0.21 28.0 5.7 8.9 13.1 34.0 2.0 25.4
Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE
Juwan Johnson Saints Low TE1 81% 11.0 9.3 23.1 0.3 34.3 55.3 90.0 0.0 28.7 8.0 2.7
Dalton Kincaid Bills Mid TE1 85% 11.2 5.3 15.8 0.3 21.7 55.4 86.0 3.0 19.0 13.0 5.3

Cleveland Browns (1-2) @ Detroit Lions (2-1)

Key Advanced Player Stats | Week 4 Start/Sit

  • Cedric Tillman – The Lions rank in the top 10 in end-zone targets; expect the Browns to use Tillman’s big frame near the end zone.
  • Lions Backfield – has a tough matchup against the Browns, who haven’t allowed 15 or more yards this season. (EXP Run %)
Team Stats | Week 4 Fantasy Football Start/Sit
Team DEF Rank vs QBs RBs WRs TEs 2-Man % Zone % 1-High Sfty % 2-High Sfty % Off. Plays/G Pts/G Pass Yds/G Rush Yds/G
Browns 16 (Neutral) 2 (Good) 17 (Neutral) 20 (Neutral) 42.4 55.4 58.7 41.3 66.7 15.3 209 86.7
Lions 20 (Neutral) 9 (Good) 27 (Bad) 11 (Good) 38.6 58.4 62.4 37.6 63 34.3 245.3 149
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM ADOT YAC % Adj Comp % 1 Read % Press % CHK %
Joe Flacco Browns QB3 59% 9.5 215.0 0.7 44.7 5.7 53.7 77.1 59.5 41.8 12.7
Jared Goff Lions High QB2 86% 23.9 257.7 2.3 33.7 7.0 45.0 83.3 64.2 33.7 4.2
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Touches/G ATT % Off. Snaps % TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
Jerome Ford Browns Outside Top 48 48% 4.0 7.3 18% 46% 8.5 33.3 20.0 0.0 0.1 2.7 0.6 9.3
Quinshon Judkins Browns High RB3 79% 12.3 16.0 43% 41% 4.8 100.0 100.0 44.5 0.3 3.4 2.1 14.2
Dylan Sampson Browns Outside Top 48 40% 7.6 9.3 26% 25% 8.5 0.0 20.0 0.0 0.2 2.1 0.1 8.7
Jahmyr Gibbs Lions Mid RB1 94% 17.4 20.3 48% 64% 20.0 42.9 60.0 4.7 0.2 1.4 2.8 18.7
David Montgomery Lions Mid RB3 74% 16.3 13.3 38% 38% 6.3 57.1 32.0 8.8 0.2 4.6 2.3 11.9
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 4 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Man Win % Zone Win % Slot Rte % YAC EZTGT 1Read %
Browns Jerry Jeudy High WR4 66% 6.1 7.0 16.3 0.18 39.3 27.9 9.9 19.5 22.0 0.0 25.6
Browns Cedric Tillman High WR4 67% 9.0 6.0 13.2 0.15 38.0 32.6 10.4 28.9 16.0 1.0 16.7
Lions Amon-Ra St. Brown High WR1 97% 17.4 8.3 25.3 0.26 30.7 47.1 14.1 56.5 64.0 3.0 34.4
Lions Jameson Williams High WR3 78% 16.3 4.3 18.9 0.24 29.0 57.1 8.9 31.0 67.0 1.0 26.5
Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE
David Njoku Browns Low TE1 75% 5.9 6.0 13.2 0.2 34.3 32.0 66.0 0 15.4 8.6 3.0
Harold Fannin Jr. Browns High TE2 72% 7.1 6.0 14.0 0.2 25.3 46.1 70.0 0 17.9 12.0 4.3
Sam LaPorta Lions Mid TE1 86% 6.8 5.7 17.9 0.2 25.0 56.0 74.0 0 16.4 11.1 3.2

Carolina Panthers (1-2) @ New England Patriots (1-2)

Key Advanced Player Stats | Week 4 Start/Sit

  • Tetairoa McMillan – gets a good matchup vs. the Patriots, who allow the 3rd most TPRR to opposing receivers.
  • Drake Maye – has a high 1st read % of 75.5%, but the Panthers allow the fifth-highest number of 1st read throws in the league. Maye could be forced to look toward his second and third options.
Team Stats | Week 4 Fantasy Football Start/Sit
Team Def. Rank vs QBs Def. Rank vs RBs Def. Rank vs WRs Def. Rank vs TEs Def. 2 Man % Def. Zone % 1-HI Sfty % 2-HI Sfty % Offensive Plays Ran Points/Game Pass Yds/Game Rush Yds/Game
Panthers 1 (best) 17 (avg) 3 (elite) 26 (weak) 12.1 84.1 56.1 43.9 64.3 20.7 186.3 90.7
Patriots 18 (avg) 16 (avg) 28 (very weak) 12 (solid) 28.0 70.0 49.0 51.0 64.7 20.0 245.7 100.3
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM ADOT YAC % Adj Comp % 1-Read % Press % CHK %
Bryce Young Panthers QB3 58% 16.4 217.7 1.7 42.0 7.0 46.8 74.8 65.8 26.2 7.0
Drake Maye Patriots Low QB1 92% 23.4 290.7 2.0 43.3 6.8 44.3 83.8 75.5 38.5 11.3
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Touches/G ATT % Off Snaps % TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
Chuba Hubbard Panthers High RB2 86% 13.7 17.7 58% 68% 12.3 0.0 33.3 0.0 0.0 1.9 2.0 17.0
Rico Dowdle Panthers Outside Top 48 50% 5.1 7.7 26% 34% 4.4 75.0 50.0 0.0 0.1 1.5 1.2 7.5
Rhamondre Stevenson Patriots Mid RB3 75% 8.5 10.7 29% 55% 10.4 100 40.0 4.5 0.3 2.9 1.1 9.8
TreVeyon Henderson Patriots Low RB2 82% 6.4 10.0 25% 38% 10.4 0.0 20.0 0.0 0.1 1.4 2.0 9.1
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 4 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Man Win % Zone Win % Slot Rte % YAC EZTGT 1Read %
Panthers Tetairoa McMillan Mid WR2 86% 9.5 9.0 21.9 0.23 37.0 27.8 10.6 16.2 72.0 3.0 28.0
Panthers Xavier Legette Outside Top 60 15% 1.4 7.5 13.3 0.16 38.5 10.0 5.1 41.6 -4.0 2.0 20.0
Panthers Hunter Renfrow Outside Top 60 45% 8.0 6.3 15.8 0.19 31.3 31.3 4.2 78.7 20.0 3.0 16.0
Patriots Stefon Diggs High WR5 59% 5.9 5.0 14.2 0.21 24.3 12.5 3.6 43.8 40.0 0.0 17.5
Patriots DeMario Douglas Outside Top 60 47% 3.4 4.3 10.4 0.16 22.3 46.2 0.0 82.1 4.0 2.0 11.3
Patriots Kayshon Boutte Low WR4 61% 8.4 4.0 10.4 0.12 31.0 5.3 9.9 5.4 9.0 2.0 12.5
Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE
Tommy Tremble Panthers Outside Top 24 25% 2.3 2.0 5.3 0.1 15.0 44.4 18.0 0 6.7 0.0 2.7
Hunter Henry Patriots Mid TE1 83% 11.7 7.3 19.8 0.2 30.3 37.4 55.0 2.0 22.5 25.0 2.9

Los Angeles Chargers (3-0) New York Giants (0-3)

Key Advanced Player Stats | Week 4 Start/Sit

  • Omarion Hampton – has a good matchup vs the Giants, who allow the second-most yards after contact(2.94). Hampton should be in for a big game.
  • Cam Skattebo – looks like a bad matchup on paper, but expect the Giants to run more under Jaxson Dart, and the Chargers have the most MTF/Attp & seventh in Exp Run %. Skattebo could be a surprise play in Week 4.
Team Stats
Team Def. Rank vs QBs Def. Rank vs RBs Def. Rank vs WRs Def. Rank vs TEs Def. 2 Man % Def. Zone % 1-HI Sfty % 2-HI Sfty % Offensive Plays Ran Points/Game Pass Yds/Game Rush Yds/Game
Chargers 11 (solid) 3 (elite) 8 (strong) 9 (strong) 6.5 92.6 56.5 43.5 65.7 23.3 270.0 92.3
Giants 23 (weak) 30 (worst) 30 (worst) 21 (below avg) 46.7 47.4 61.5 38.5 62.7 17.3 243.3 96.0
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM ADOT YAC % Adj Comp % 1-Read % Press % CHK %
Justin Herbert Chargers High QB1 97% 24.4 309.7 2.0 42 9 41.9 76.5 71.3 32.5 6.5
Jaxson Dart Giants QB3 60% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Touches/G ATT % Off Snaps % TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
Omarion Hampton Chargers Low RB1 93% 10.7 17.0 53% 74% 9.3 100 76.9 2.4 0.1 2.1 1.3 15.4
Devin Singletary Giants Outside Top 48 40% 0.8 3.0 11% 15% 0.9 0 0 0.0 0.0 2.1 0.9 2.0
Cam Skattebo Giants Mid RB3 76% 12.0 11.0 32% 41% 11.8 100 57.1 4.3 0.4 3.6 0.9 13.2
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 4 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Man Win % Zone Win % Slot Rte % YAC EZTGT 1Read %
Chargers Ladd McConkey Low WR2 81% 7.9 7.0 19.4 0.18 39.0 32.4 16.9 61.5 50.0 0.0 24.7
Chargers Keenan Allen High WR2 86% 15.6 9.3 25.0 0.28 32.7 25.8 8.1 49.0 49.0 4.0 23.4
Chargers Quentin Johnston Low WR3 74% 16.3 8.0 21.3 0.20 38.7 25.7 17.7 17.2 103.0 3.0 26.0
Giants Malik Nabers Low WR1 93% 15.0 10.7 26.4 0.25 39.0 16.7 3.5 23.1 48.0 6.0 41.5
Giants Wan’Dale Robinson Mid WR4 65% 11.9 7.3 20.0 0.22 32.7 0.0 1.4 80.6 72.0 2.0 29.2
Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE
Tyler Conklin Chargers Outside Top 24 25% 2.1 9.3 3.7 0.1 11.3 29.4 22.0 0 3.9 14.3 0.0
Theo Johnson Giants Outside Top 24 35% 2.6 3.3 8.2 0.1 28.3 54.1 27.0 0 7.7 0.0 0.0

Philadelphia Eagles (3-0) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-0)

Key Advanced Player Stats | Week 4 Start/Sit

  • Jalen Hurts – averages 39 rushing yards per game and faces a Buccaneers team that allows the 4th most rushing yards to QBs.
  • Dallas Geodert – saw a significant decrease in his target share to 6.3% in week 3 and now faces the 5th-best team against TEs.
Team Stats | Week 4 Fantasy Football Start/Sit
Team Def. Rank vs QBs Def. Rank vs RBs Def. Rank vs WRs Def. Rank vs TEs Def. 2 Man % Def. Zone % 1-HI Sfty % 2-HI Sfty % Offensive Plays Ran Points/Game Pass Yds/Game Rush Yds/Game
Eagles 13 (solid) 20 (below avg) 14 (avg) 2 (elite) 29.6 65.7 49.1 50.9 61.0 25.7 146.7 122.0
Buccaneers 24 (weak) 18 (below avg) 11 (good) 5 (strong) 26.6 64.5 52.4 47.6 64.0 24.0 191.7 130.7
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM ADOT YAC % Adj Comp % 1-Read % Press % CHK %
Jalen Hurts Eagles High QB1 98% 23.6 198.7 2.3 31.7 6.9 39.0 84.3 62.3 48.4 7.8
Baker Mayfield Buccaneers Low QB1 89% 24.1 243.7 2.0 38.3 8.8 51.1 71.7 65.7 37.4 4.0
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Touches/G ATT % Off Snaps % TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
Saquon Barkley Eagles High RB1 95% 13.4 22.7 59% 85% 15.6 50.0 52.2 1.7 0.1 2.0 1.4 18.1
Bucky Irving Buccaneers Low RB1 92% 13.2 23.3 64% 74% 14.1 0.0 66.7 1.8 0.1 1.8 1.3 16.6
Rachaad White Buccaneers Low RB4 64% 5.9 7.0 20% 28% 4.0 100 22.2 5.9 0.3 2.7
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 4 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Man Win % Zone Win % Slot Rte % YAC EZTGT 1Read %
Eagles A.J. Brown High WR2 86% 8.8 6.3 24.7 0.22 29.3 33.3 10.4 10.2 40.0 1.0 35.4
Eagles DeVonta Smith Mid WR3 75% 8.8 6.0 23.4 0.20 29.7 47.1 8.6 62.9 37.0 1.0 31.3
Buccaneers Chris Godwin* Low WR4 62% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Buccaneers Emeka Egbuka Low WR1 90% 14.7 7.0 21.2 0.22 31.3 33.3 6.8 42.6 74.0 2.0 24.6
Buccaneers Sterling Shepard Low WR5 51% 6.9 5.0 15.2 0.18 28.3 22.2 9.7 56.5 62.0 1.0 12.3

* Chris Godwin looks to return in Week4.

Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE
Dallas Goedert Eagles Mid TE2 68% 8.9 4.5 16.4 0.2 30.5 60.7 23.0 0 15.6 14.3 1.9
Cade Otton Buccaneers Low TE2 50% 1.3 2.7 6.1 0.1 27.3 54.9 9.0 0 6.2 0.0 3.3

Tennessee Titans (0-3) @ Houston Texans (0-3)

Key Advanced Player Stats | Week 4 Start/Sit

  • Nick Chubb – We could finally see a decent Chubb game as the Titans allow the 4th most runs of 15 plus yards.
  • Cam Ward – has been sacked 15 times in 3 games and does not face the Texans, who average 3 sacks per game. It will be a tough day for the rookie quarterback.  
Team Stats
Team Def. Rank vs QBs Def. Rank vs RBs Def. Rank vs WRs Def. Rank vs TEs Def. 2 Man % Def. Zone % 1-HI Sfty % 2-HI Sfty % Offensive Plays Ran Points/Game Pass Yds/Game Rush Yds/Game
Titans 8 (strong) 31 (worst) 26 (very weak) 13 (avg) 20.2 77.9 44.2 55.8 61.3 17.0 133.7 88.7
Texans 10 (strong) 27 (very weak) 19 (below avg) 14 (avg) 20.0 78.3 52.5 47.5 54.0 12.7 172.3 95.0
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM ADOT YAC % Adj Comp % 1-Read % Press % CHK %
Cameron Ward Titans QB3 40% 9.4 175.3 0.7 40 7.6 54.2 70.5 64.6 41.7 9.1
C.J. Stroud Texans Mid QB2 75% 12.7 226.7 0.7 35.7 7.4 50.1 71.1 68.5 37.4 4.5
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Touches/G ATT % Off Snaps % TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
Tony Pollard Titans High RB3 77% 9.5 18.7 77% 90% 6.1 20.0 54.5 0.0 0.1 2.2 1.4 13.0
Nick Chubb Texans Mid RB3 73% 8.6 13.0 52% 52% 6.7 100 40.0 2.9 0.2 1.5 2.6 10.1
Woody Marks Texans Mid RB4 65% 3.3 4.7 18% 29% 3.4 0.0 20.0 0.0 0.1 1.9 1.8 3.5
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 4 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Man Win % Zone Win % Slot Rte % YAC EZTGT 1Read %
Titans Calvin Ridley High WR4 69% 5.0 7.0 20.2 0.20 33.0 3.8 4.5 22.2 49.0 1.0 26.6
Titans Elic Ayomanor High WR5 56% 9.2 6.0 18.2 0.23 26.3 20.0 14.8 8.9 26.0 2.0 21.9
Texans Nico Collins Mid WR1 94% 11.7 8.3 28.1 0.28 30.0 32.0 16.1 20.0 55.0 3.0 32.8
Texans Christian Kirk Mid WR5 55% 4.0 8.0 18.4 0.20 29.0 28.6 5.0 62.1 20.0 0.0 20.7
Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE
Chig Okonkwo Titans Mid TE2 65% 6.0 5.3 16.2 0.2 26.7 53.8 84.0 0 17.2 13.0 1.9
Dalton Schultz Texans Low TE2 62% 5.0 5.0 15.7 0.2 24.0 44.4 40.0 1.0 16.4 20.0 4.7
Week 4 Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advanced Stats featurring Daniel Jones as he runs against the defense in
Daniel Jones (Photo by Jeffrey Brown/Icon Sportswire)

Indianapolis Colts (03-0) @ Los Angeles Rams (2-1)

Key Advanced Player Stats | Week 4 Start/Sit

  • Josh Downs – could be in for a sneaky game as the Rams run an 80.3% of the plays on zone average and Downs has a decent win rate vs. zone of 10.3
  • Jonathan Taylor –  is going to have a tough match-up in week 4 versus the Rams, as they allow the 6th fewest 15 or more yard runs. while Taylor only is ranked 26th in Exp Run%
Team Stats
Team Def. Rank vs QBs Def. Rank vs RBs Def. Rank vs WRs Def. Rank vs TEs Def. 2 Man % Def. Zone % 1-HI Sfty % 2-HI Sfty % Offensive Plays Ran Points/Game Pass Yds/Game Rush Yds/Game
Colts 5 (elite) 15 (avg) 9 (strong) 19 (below avg) 23.9 70.8 54.9 45.1 63.3 34.3 265.3 153.3
Rams 17 (below avg) 1 (best) 20 (below avg) 18 (below avg) 13.4 80.3 44.1 55.9 60.7 24.3 236.7 127.0
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM ADOT YAC % Adj Comp % 1-Read % Press % CHK %
Daniel Jones Colts Low QB1 93% 24.7 290.3 2.0 32.7 8.3 45.6 78.8 79.5 32.7 5.7
Matthew Stafford Rams Mid QB2 80% 18.3 243.7 1.7 33.3 8.4 36.4 74.4 81.1 34.0 2.1
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Touches/G ATT % Off Snaps % TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
Jonathan Taylor Colts Mid RB1 94% 23.7 22.7 60% 81% 10.2 50.0 55.2 5 0.3 3.7 1.9 21.1
Kyren Williams Rams High RB2 86% 13.5 20.0 68% 76% 6.3 42.9 55.6 1.8 0.1 2.4 1.7 15.3
Blake Corum Rams Mid RB4 65% 5.9 5.0 17% 24% 1.0 14.3 22.2 14.3 0.1 3.5 3.6 4.3
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 4 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Man Win % Zone Win % Slot Rte % YAC EZTGT 1Read %
Colts Michael Pittman Jr. High WR3 79% 13.1 6.3 21.6 0.23 27.0 28.0 5.8 30.9 76.0 0.0 24.3
Colts Alec Pierce* Outside Top 60 45% 7.4 4.7 14.8 0.16 26.3 20.0 15.7 11.4 15.0 2.0 15.7
Colts Josh Downs Low WR5 52% 4.9 4.7 15.9 0.26 17.7 28.6 10.3 75.5 17.0 1.0 17.1
Colts Adonai Mitchell Low WR5 51% 2.0 2.7 8.0 0.39 6.0 75.0 7.1 27.8 0.0 0.0 10.0
Rams Puka Nacua High WR1 99% 19.7 11.7 36.5 0.45 25.7 33.3 14.3 54.5 125.0 0.0 44.2
Rams Davante Adams High WR2 89% 13.3 9.7 29.2 0.32 29.3 40.5 21.7 26.1 41.0 8.0 29.9

* Pierce in the concussion protocol – could lead to Adonai Mitchell seeing some work.

Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE
Tyler Warren Colts High TE1 90% 8.9 7.0 22.7 0.3 26.0 32.1 132.0 1.0 24.3 5.6 5.4
Tyler Higbee Rams Outside Top 24 35% 1.9 2.0 6.3 0.1 19.3 22.4 40.0 1.0 6.5 4.3 0.0

Jacksonville Jaguars (2-1) @ San Francisco 49ers (3-0)

San Francisco 49ers are favored (-4.5) with an Over/Under of 45.5

Key Advanced Player Stats | Week 4 Start/Sit

  • Parker Washington – led the team in TPRR with a .33 in week 3, as it seems Washington is becoming a major target in the offense.
  • Christian McCaffrey – has a difficult match-up vs the Jaguars, who have allowed just 11 receptions to opposing running backs and zero rushing touchdowns.
Team Stats
Team Def. Rank vs QBs Def. Rank vs RBs Def. Rank vs WRs Def. Rank vs TEs Def. 2 Man % Def. Zone % 1-HI Sfty % 2-HI Sfty % Offensive Plays Ran Points/Game Pass Yds/Game Rush Yds/Game
Jaguars 12 (strong) 5 (elite) 22 (weak) 6 (strong) 17.6 77.9 47.3 52.7 66.3 23.3 214.7 141.7
49ers 9 (strong) 7 (strong) 5 (elite) 24 (weak) 18.1 77.1 53.3 46.7 67.3 19.7 271.3 89.7
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM ADOT YAC % Adj Comp % 1-Read % Press % CHK %
Trevor Lawrence Jaguars QB3 58% 15.1 232.0 1.3 40 8.0 55.9 75.2 79.6 18.3 4.4
Brock Purdy* 49ers Low QB2 64% 20.8 294.0 2.0 39 7.6 48.0 76.5 65.7 35.9 2.9
Mac Jones 49ers Low QB2 65% 21.5 284.0 2.0 42.5 6.8 43.7 79.5 70.0 27.1 8.8

* Purdy is expected to return in week 4.

Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Touches/G ATT % Off Snaps % TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
Travis Etienne Jr. Jaguars Mid RB2 82% 14.9 17.0 55% 60% 6.2 0.0 57.9 6.5 0.2 3.2 2.6 11.9
Bhayshul Tuten Jaguars High RB4 69% 7.9 6.3 20% 16% 2.7 100 21.1 0.0 0.2 3.1 1.3 5.0
Christian McCaffrey 49ers High RB1 99% 19.1 25.7 63% 81% 27.0 100 76.5 1.9 0.2 2.2 1.2 27.5
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 4 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Man Win % Zone Win % Slot Rte % YAC EZTGT 1Read %
Jaguars Brian Thomas Jr. High WR3 78% 7.3 8.3 21.2 0.24 33.3 38.1 5.2 27.0 38.0 2.0 23.3
Jaguars Travis Hunter High WR5 58% 4.2 5.3 14.2 0.21 25.0 7.7 3.3 65.3 65.0 1.0 16.7
Jaguars Dyami Brown Outside Top 60 42% 8.0 4.7 12.4 0.20 23.0 40.0 7.7 20.3 20.0 2.0 14.4
Jaguars Parker Washington Outside Top 60 45% 5.2 5.3 13.3 0.35 14.3 20.0 3.0 44.2 60.0 0.0 14.4
49ers Jauan Jennings Low WR4 62% 10.0 7.5 18.9 0.24 29.0 57.1 8.9 31.0 67.0 1.0 26.5
49ers Ricky Pearsall Mid WR2 85% 11.9 8.0 20.9 0.22 36.0 25.0 17.1 26.9 30.0 2.0 27.8
Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE
Brenton Strange Jaguars High TE2 76% 6.7 5.3 14.2 0.2 26.0 41.0 59.0 0.0 14.4 21.4 3.3
Jake Tonges 49ers Low TE2 51% 5.7 3.7 9.6 0.2 23.3 31.4 44.0 1.0 7.6 10.0 0.0

Baltimore Ravens (1-2) @ Kansas City Cheifs (1-2)

Key Advanced Player Stats | Week 4 Start/Sit

  • Patrick Mahomes – could see a boost in production this week, as the Ravens allow an 80.4% Adj Comp % to opposing quarterbacks, which could help increase Mahomes’ 75.5%
  • Mark Andrews – has struggled in his matchups(5) vs Kansas City over his career with zero touchdowns, and the Chiefs do rank 4th against TEs in 2025.
Team Stats
Team DEF Rank vs QBs RBs WRs TEs 2-Man % Zone % 1-High Sfty % 2-High Sfty % Off. Plays/G Pts/G Pass Yds/G Rush Yds/G
Chiefs 14 (Neutral) 13 (Neutral) 12 (Neutral) 4 (Good) 26.0 68.3 28.8 71.2 60.7 20 207.7 108
Ravens 30 (Bad) 26 (Weak) 21 (Weak) 31 (Bad) 37.9 57.6 58.3 41.7 52.3 37 208 122.7
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM ADOT YAC % Adj Comp % 1 Read % Press % CHK %
Lamar Jackson Ravens High QB1 99% 33.6 280.3 3.3 30.7 10.3 38.6 80.6 70.7 39.1 0.0
Patrick Mahomes Chiefs Mid QB1 94% 22.4 264.7 1.7 42 8.7 46.6 75.5 73.3 42.1 4.8
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Touches/G ATT % Off. Snaps % TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
Derrick Henry Ravens Mid RB1 94% 13.7 14.3 59% 56% 2.6 80.0 50.0 12.2 0.1 3.3 2.6 10.3
Justice Hill Ravens Outside Top 48 40% 3.1 4.0 7% 45% 11.8 0.0 10.0 0.0 0.0 -0.6 -0.8 5.9
Isiah Pacheco Chiefs Low RB3 71% 4.2 9.7 35% 55% 5.7 0.0 33.3 0.0 0.1 2.6 1.1 7.2
Kareem Hunt Chiefs Low RB3 71% 6.1 9.0 32% 41% 4.8 100.0 33.3 0.0 0.0 2.4 1.1 6.7
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 4 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Man Win % Zone Win % Slot Rte % YAC EZTGT 1Read %
Ravens Zay Flowers Low WR1 90% 12.8 7.7 28.9 0.26 28.0 33.3 20.5 44.0 128.0 1.0 33.3
Ravens Rashod Bateman Outside Top 60 50% 6.4 5.0 18.4 0.21 22.7 34.4 14.7 14.7 14.0 1.0 16.7
Ravens DeAndre Hopkins Outside Top 60 35% 8.6 2.0 7.9 0.23 8.7 27.3 7.7 30.8 2.0 1.0 7.4
Chiefs Xavier Worthy WR3 70% 0.0 0.0 2.6 1.00 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.3
Chiefs Hollywood Brown Mid WR4 64% 8.9 9.0 23.8 0.24 34.7 5.3 6.8 44.2 63.0 0.0 28.6
Chiefs Juju Smith-Schuster Outside Top 60 45% 5.5 4.0 10.5 0.13 29.0 2.9 8.9 41.4 63.0 0.0 10.4
Chiefs Tyquan Thornton High WR5 58% 11.2 6.0 17.1 0.20 30.3 20.6 7.8 26.4 27.0 2.0 20.8
Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE
Mark Andrews Ravens Mid TE2 65% 8.7 3.3 13.2 0.2 21.7 44.6 31.0 3.0 18.5 23.3 0.0
Isaiah Likely* Ravens 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Travis Kelce Chiefs Low TE1 81% 8.1 5.7 15.2 0.2 32.0 52.1 85.0 0.0 18.2 18.9 11.8

* Likely is likely to return in week 4.

Chicago Bears (1-2) @ Las Vegas Raiders (1-2)

Key Advanced Player Stats | Week 4 Start/Sit

  • Geno Smith – could see a boost in production this week, as the Bears allow an 84.3% Adj Comp % to opposing quarterbacks, which could help increase Smith’ 71.7%
  • D’Andre Swift – faces a Raiders team that has allowed just one running back over 40 yards this season.
Team Stats
Team Def. Rank vs QBs Def. Rank vs RBs Def. Rank vs WRs Def. Rank vs TEs Def. 2 Man % Def. Zone % 1-HI Sfty % 2-HI Sfty % Offensive Plays Ran Points/Game Pass Yds/Game Rush Yds/Game
Bears 29 (very weak) 28 (very weak) 31 (worst) 23 (below avg) 30 67 36 64 61.3 25.3 233.7 113.3
Raiders 21 (below avg) 11 (strong) 29 (very weak) 7 (strong) 25 71.4 60.7 39.3 63.0 17.7 248.0 72.3
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM ADOT YAC % Adj Comp % 1-Read % Press % CHK %
Caleb Williams Bears Mid QB1 95% 28.1 270.7 2.7 36.0 8.8 44.9 73.9 60.2 35.2 9.7
Geno Smith Raiders High QB2 85% 17.6 288.7 1.3 40.3 9.8 45.1 71.7 64.2 40.5 8.5
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Touches/G ATT % Off Snaps % TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
D’Andre Swift Bears High RB3 77% 9.9 17.0 51% 66% 11.5 100 45.5 2.4 0.1 1.8 1.7 13.3
Kyle Monangai Bears Outside Top 48 35% 2.7 5.3 16% 28% 4.2 0 18.2 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.9 4.1
Ashton Jeanty Raiders Mid RB2 84% 7.7 17.3 66% 68% 5.7 100 100 4.3 0.3 1.9 1.1 12.3
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 4 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Man Win % Zone Win % Slot Rte % YAC EZTGT 1Read %
Bears DJ Moore High WR3 78% 9.0 5.3 16.7 0.17 31.7 25.0 11.3 34.7 33.0 1.0 16.9
Bears Rome Odunze Mid WR1 93% 18.2 9.0 27.1 0.26 33.7 52.9 13.5 32.7 75.0 4.0 32.2
Bears Luther Burden III Outside Top 60 42% 6.5 2.0 6.3 0.30 6.7 25.0 8.3 30.0 44.0 0.0 8.5
Bears Olamide Zaccheaus Outside Top 60 45% 4.8 5.3 15.6 0.26 19.3 25.0 7.5 74.1 33.0 0.0 18.6
Raiders Jakobi Meyers Low WR2 83% 10.4 8.7 22.6 0.21 38.3 13.8 3.6 65.2 116.0 2.0 27.9
Raiders Tre Tucker High WR5 58% 17.6 6.7 18.9 0.18 37.0 30.0 12.5 11.7 49.0 3.0 25.0
Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE
Cole Kmet Bears Outside Top 24 45% 5.0 2.3 7.3 0.1 26.0 23.1 17.0 1.0 8.5 20.0 0.0
Colston Loveland Bears Outside Top 24 45% 1.9 2.0 6.3 0.1 14.3 20.9 22.0 0.0 8.5 16.7 0.0
Brock Bowers Raiders High TE1 97% 8.3 7.0 18.9 0.2 30.3 38.5 83.0 2.0 22.1 17.4 4.4

🔗 Keep Building Your Dynasty


Green Bay Packers (2-1) @ Dallas Cowboys (1-2)

Key Advanced Player Stats | Week 4 Start/Sit SNF

  • George Pickens – has a tough match-up against the Packers, who have not allowed a receiver over 50 yards.
  • Packers WRs – The Cowboys have allowed 5 receivers over 60 receiving yards in the last two weeks.
Team Stats
Team Def. Rank vs QBs Def. Rank vs RBs Def. Rank vs WRs Def. Rank vs TEs Def. 2 Man % Def. Zone % 1-HI Sfty % 2-HI Sfty % Offensive Plays Ran Points/Game Pass Yds/Game Rush Yds/Game
Packers 2 (elite) 4 (elite) 4 (elite) 25 (weak) 21.1 76.7 54.9 45.1 57.0 21.3 213.3 98.0
Cowboys 32 (worst) 12 (strong) 32 (worst) 17 (avg) 2.8 88.8 45.8 54.2 68.7 24.7 268.7 125.0
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM ADOT YAC % Adj Comp % 1-Read % Press % CHK %
Jordan Love Packers Mid QB1 95% 19.3 232.3 1.7 29.3 9.0 47.2 75.3 66.7 43.2 12.8
Dak Prescott Cowboys Mid QB2 78% 15.3 273.3 1.0 44.7 7.2 42.6 80.2 68.3 36.6 11.9
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 4 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG Touches/G ATT % Off. Snaps % TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
Packers Josh Jacobs Low RB1 91% 12.6 21.3 67% 77% 12.8 100.0 78.9 1.7 0.2 2.0 1.2 17.6
Cowboys Javonte Williams Low RB2 80% 17.0 18.7 61% 69% 10.7 66.7 45.5 7 0.1 3.4 1.9 16.7
Cowboys Miles Sanders Low RB4 60% 6.4 8.0 26% 25% 4.6 33.3 54.5 5.6 0.2 3.1 2.9 7.0
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 4 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Man Win % Zone Win % Slot Rte % YAC EZTGT 1Read %
Packers Matthew Golden High WR4 69% 4.1 2.7 10.3 0.15 18.0 31.8 3.6 24.1 24.0 1.0 13.5
Packers Romeo Doubs Mid WR4 64% 7.2 3.7 14.1 0.16 22.3 29.6 16.7 10.4 40.0 1.0 17.3
Packers Dontayvion Wicks Outside Top 60 45% 4.5 4.0 24.5 0.27 32.7 8.0 11.8 23.5 58.0 2.0 33.8
Cowboys George Pickens Low WR2 83% 11.7 7.3 16.0 0.17 41.7 27.9 12.8 7.2 48.0 7.0 20.9
Cowboys Jalen Tolbert Outside Top 60 45% 2.3 4.0 9.2 0.10 30.7 12.9 5.3 47.8 13.0 2.0 9.9
Cowboys KaVontae Turpin Outside Top 60 35% 8.3 3.0 6.9 0.15 19.7 23.5 12.2 83.1 22.0 2.0 8.8
Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE
Tucker Kraft Packers High TE1 92% 11.6 5.0 17.9 0.2 21.3 26.6 102.0 2.0 19.2 16.1 3.2
Jake Ferguson Cowboys Mid TE1 87% 10.6 10.7 24.4 0.3 33.0 56.6 89.0 1.0 27.5 20.0 0.0
Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill huddle up before Sunday action, one of the reasons they are featured in the Week 4 Fantasy Football Start/Sit Advanced Stats.
Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle (Photo by Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire)

New York Jets (0-3) @ Miami Dolphins (0-3)

Key Advanced Player Stats | Week 4 Start/Sit MNF

  • Breece Hall – has a chance to blow up against the Dolphins, who allow the 8th most YACO (25.3).
  • Dolphins WRs – Miami’s receivers have a big week against the Jets, who allow the 3rd most YAC (418).
Team Stats
Team Def. Rank vs QBs Def. Rank vs RBs Def. Rank vs WRs Def. Rank vs TEs Def. 2 Man % Def. Zone % 1-HI Sfty % 2-HI Sfty % Offensive Plays Ran Points/Game Pass Yds/Game Rush Yds/Game
Jets 25 (very weak) 23 (weak) 24 (weak) 8 (strong) 33.7 63.3 51.0 49.0 57.3 23.0 144.7 127.0
Dolphins 31 (worst) 29 (very weak) 15 (avg) 29 (very weak) 32.6 63.2 41.1 58.9 52.3 18.7 192.0 89.7
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM ADOT YAC % Adj Comp % 1-Read % Press % CHK %
Justin Fields* Jets High QB2 86% 17.8 171.0 1.5 20.0 8.9 34.3 77.8 51.5 45.0 0.0
Tyrod Taylor Jets Mid QB2 76% 15.5 161.0 1.5 31.5 5.8 46.6 90.7 68.1 58.7 12.8
Tua Tagovailoa Dolphins Low QB2 62% 14.9 197.3 1.7 33.0 6.9 56.7 75.6 59.6

*Fields may not play again on Monday

Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Touches/G ATT % Off Snaps % TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
Breece Hall Jets High RB2 87% 9.2 15.3 46% 59% 12.5 33.3 18.2 10.5 0.2 2.0 2.1 11.8
Braelon Allen Jets High RB4 69% 4.6 5.3 17% 28% 3.8 0 36.4 0.0 0.0 1.9 1.7 4.8
De’Von Achane Dolphins Mid RB1 94% 16.6 16.0 58% 81% 23.7 0 33.3 6.7 0.1 3.0 1.9 17.0
Ollie Gordon II Dolphins High RB4 67% 4.1 4.7 23% 21% 2.1 100 66.7 8.3 0.3 3.6 0.6 4.2
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 4 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Man Win % Zone Win % Slot Rte % YAC EZTGT 1Read %
Jets Garrett Wilson Low WR1 94% 15.1 10.3 33.8 0.28 32.7 33.3 9.5 44.9 59.0 0.0 46.9
Dolphins Tyreek Hill Mid WR2 84% 11.1 7.7 23.7 0.28 27.3 25.0 13.1 39.0 32.0 1.0 25.9
Dolphins Jaylen Waddle Low WR3 72% 8.2 4.3 17.5 0.20 27.7 31.3 7.9 20.5 38.0 3.0 27.6
Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE
Mason Taylor Jets Low TE2 52% 2.4 3.0 10.0 0.1 24.7 31.1 14.0 0.0 10.2 7.7 3.6
Darren Waller Dolphins Outside Top 24 35% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Cincinnati Bengals (2-1) @ Denver Broncos (1-2)

Key Advanced Player Stats | Week 4 Start/Sit MNF

  • Jake Browning – Denver has allowed a 300-yard passer in back-to-back games.
  • J.K. Dobbins – should be in for a solid outing as he faces the Bengals, who allow the 6th most YBCO (1.98), and Dobbins already averages 3.0 YBCO.
Team Stats
Team Def. Rank vs QBs Def. Rank vs RBs Def. Rank vs WRs Def. Rank vs TEs Def. 2 Man % Def. Zone % 1-HI Sfty % 2-HI Sfty % Offensive Plays Ran Points/Game Pass Yds/Game Rush Yds/Game
Bengals 19 (below avg) 32 (worst) 13 (avg) 28 (very weak) 31.4 65.3 63.6 36.4 55.3 19.3 171.7 49.0
Broncos 7 (strong) 25 (very weak) 6 (elite) 10 (strong) 45.6 52.0 60.0 40.0 57.7 22.7 173.0 129.0
Advanced QB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Total Yards/G TD/G D/GM ADOT YAC % Adj Comp % 1-Read % Press % CHK %
Jake Browning Bengals QB3 35% 14.8 192.5 2.0 31.5 6.7 55.1 71.4 69.5 44.4 10.2
Bo Nix Broncos Low QB1 90% 16.8 201.3 1.7 35.7 7.4 47.9 71.6 69.5 31.8 11.6
Advanced RB Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Week 4 Rank Confidence FPPG Touches/G ATT % Off Snaps % TGT % i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT XFP
Chase Brown Bengals Low RB2 80% 7.9 18.3 77% 67% 11.6 85.7 88.9 0.0 0.2 2.0 0.0 17.4
RJ Harvey Broncos Low RB3 70% 4.5 6.0 17% 30% 6.3 0.0 0.0 7.7 0.2 1.9 4.3 5.7
J.K. Dobbins Broncos Mid RB2 86% 14.5 15.0 55% 55% 6.3 75.0 72.7 12.2 0.2 2.5 3.0 11.5
Advanced WR Stats | Starts & Sits
Team Player Week 4 Rankings Confidence Meter FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR R/G Man Win % Zone Win % Slot Rte % YAC EZTGT 1Read %
Bengals Ja’Marr Chase Low WR1 94% 13.2 9.0 1.9 0.15 4.3 0.0 8.3 46.2 11.0 0.0 39.7
Bengals Tee Higgins Mid WR2 75% 6.6 4.7 14.7 0.15 31.0 16.7 1.4 14.0 23.0 2.0 20.6
Broncos Courtland Sutton High WR2 87% 12.3 7.0 22.1 0.25 28.0 18.2 21.7 20.2 61.0 1.0 30.3
Broncos Marvin Mims Jr. Outside Top 60 45% 3.7 3.3 10.5 0.20 16.3 42.9 12.8 18.4 20.0 2.0 13.6
Broncos Troy Franklin Low WR5 53% 9.4 6.3 20.0 0.24 26.3 30.0 6.3 58.2 21.0 0.0 22.7
Advanced TE Stats | Starts & Sits
Player Team Wk 4 Rank Conf. FPPG TGT/G TGT % TPRR RTE/G SLOT % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN Win % ZONE Win %
Noah Fant Bengals Outside Top 24 30% 6.0 4.7 14.7 0.4 11.3 11.8 42.0 1.0 14.3 0.0 11.1
Evan Engram Broncos Outside Top 24 45% 2.7 3.0 8.6 0.2 13.0 50.0 23.0 0.0 11.1 0.0 0.0
Adam Trautman Broncos Outside Top 24 15% 3.2 1.3 4.2 0.2 8.0 8.3 4.0 1.0 4.5 0.0 4.8

This glossary explains every advanced stat used in The Full Slate Week 4 Start/Sit Advanced Stats Preview.

Full Glossary of Statistical Terms (Condensed Table)

Each abbreviation includes a definition so you can make sharper lineup calls.

Stat Full Term Fantasy Football Definition
ANY/A Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt QB efficiency metric factoring yards, TDs, INTs, and sacks. More accurate than yards per attempt.
Confidence Meter Level of Confidence Measures reliability of weekly fantasy projections. Higher = safer start/sit play.
ADOT Average Depth of Target Average air yards on a player’s targets. Higher ADOT = big-play role.
FPPG Fantasy Points Per Game Average fantasy points scored per week across positions.
YAC % Yards After Catch Percentage Share of a receiver’s yards that come after the catch. High YAC % = playmaking ability.
Total Yards/G Total Yards per Game Average rushing + passing yards per game. Useful for workload evaluation.
ADJ Comp % Adjusted Completion Percentage QB accuracy adjusted for drops, spikes, throwaways, batted passes, and pressure.
SCRM/G Scrambles Per Game Average QB scrambles per game. Adds rushing upside in fantasy scoring.
1 Read % First Read Throw Percentage % of throws to the first read or designed one-read plays. Reflects QB decision-making.
TD/G Touchdowns Per Game Average number of TDs per game (passing, rushing, or receiving).
Press % Pressure Rate Percentage of QB dropbacks under pressure. Impacts passing efficiency.
FP/DB Fantasy Points per Dropback QB fantasy efficiency metric: points scored per dropback.
CHK % Checkdown Percentage How often a QB targets short checkdowns. Higher = conservative play.
CPOE Completion Percentage Over Expectation QB completion % compared to expected based on depth/coverage. Shows accuracy skill.
i20% Inside 20 Rushing Share % of team rush attempts inside the 20. Strong red-zone usage indicator.
Touches/G Touches Per Game Average carries + receptions per game for RB/WR/TE.
EXP Run % Explosive Run Percentage % of runs that go for 15+ yards. Shows big-play ability.
ATT % Team Carry Share Percentage of team rushing attempts handled by the RB.
MTF/ATT Missed Tackles Forced per Attempt How often a RB forces missed tackles on carries. Shows elusiveness.
TGT % Target Share % of team passing attempts going to a player. High TGT % = featured role.
YACO/ATT Yards After Contact per Attempt Average rushing yards after first contact. Indicates power running.
i5% Inside 5 Rushing Share % of team rush attempts inside the 5. Heavy TD upside indicator.
YBCO/ATT Yards Before Contact per Attempt Average rushing yards before contact. Reflects O-line run blocking.
Off. Snaps/G Offensive Snaps Per Game Average number of plays a player is on the field per week.
XFP/G Expected Fantasy Points per Game Usage-based stat estimating expected PPR fantasy points per week.
TGT/G Targets Per Game Average number of targets a player gets each week.
YAC Yards After Catch Total receiving yards gained after the catch. Key WR/TE stat.
EZ TGT End Zone Targets Passes thrown to a receiver in the end zone. Strong TD predictor.
RTE/G Routes Run Per Game Average number of pass routes a player runs weekly.
SLOT RTE % Slot Route Rate % of player’s routes from the slot alignment. Shows usage role.
TPRR Targets Per Route Run How often a player is targeted per route. Efficiency in earning targets.
Zone Win Rate Win Rate vs Zone Receiver success rate against zone coverage.
Catch % Catch Rate % of total targets successfully caught. Basic WR efficiency stat.
Man Win Rate Win Rate vs Man Receiver success rate against man-to-man coverage.

Click above to see the Full Glossary of Statistical Terms


🔥 Take Control of Your Dynasty Today

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Q: What is Targets Per Route Run (TPRR) in fantasy football?
A: TPRR is the percentage of routes where a receiver earns a target. It shows how efficiently a player is earning opportunities and is one of the best predictive stats for long-term fantasy success.

Q: Which wide receivers stand out in TPRR heading into Week 4?
A: Puka Nacua, Davante Adams, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba all rank top 12 in both fantasy points per game and TPRR. Their usage signals sustainable production, not just early-season noise.

Q: Which advanced stats matter most for Week 4 fantasy football start/sit calls?
A: Stats like Air Yards, Red Zone Target Share, Explosive Run Rate, and Yards After Catch help identify breakout players and avoid misleading box score spikes.

Q: How can advanced stats be used to win DFS contests in Week 4?
A: DFS managers should track Expected Fantasy Points (XFP)Target Share, and Explosive Run Rate. These stats highlight undervalued players whose opportunity isn’t fully priced into salaries.

Q: What player stats are most useful for NFL prop betting in Week 4?
A: Metrics like TPRR, Completion Percentage Over Expectation (CPOE), and Yards Before Contact (YBCO/ATT) reveal efficiency edges that can point to profitable prop lines.

Q: Which Week 4 NFL matchups offer the biggest statistical edges?
A: High-total games like Miami vs. Buffalo and Kansas City vs. Baltimore create opportunities. Advanced metrics such as Yards Per Route Run and Win Rate vs Man/Zone highlight favorable WR/CB matchups.

Q: Why is Red Zone Usage critical for Week 4 fantasy football?
A: Stats like Inside 20% (i20%) and Inside 5% (i5%) rushing shares directly tie to touchdown opportunity. Players with high red-zone usage are far more likely to spike in scoring.

Q: How does Expected Fantasy Points (XFP) help fantasy managers?
A: XFP estimates how many PPR points a player should score based on volume and usage. When XFP is higher than actual output, it signals a buy-low opportunity heading into the next week.





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