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MNF FANTASY PREVIEW for Week 6: EXPLOIT THE MATCHUP

MNF Fantasy Preview Monday Night Football


The Week 6 Fantasy Preview for Monday Night Football was curated by senior staff writer Steven Pintado using statistics from the Fantasy Points Data Suite. If you want access to these stats (and dozens of other proprietary figures) sign up here and use promo code NERDS to save 25% on a Data Suite or All-In subscription. Without further ado, let’s dig in to the MNF fantasy preview!

(Photo by Ian Johnson/Icon Sportswire)

Buffalo Bills (3-2) vs New York Jets (2-3)

Game Summary | MNF Fantasy Preview

We get the Buffalo Bills traveling to the New York Jets for Monday Night Football. The Bills are dealing with some injuries to Khalil Shakir and James Cook, which could force the team to focus on their rookies in this game. They will face a Jets defense that has been very good on defense this year. The Bills need to come to develop Keon Coleman to give them a trusted threat outside in this game. The chance that Josh Allen will have to put the team on his back is high.

The Jets are looking to find a spark after finding their head coach this past week. This could be a big week for the Jets running backs Breece Hall and Braelon Allen as they face one of the worst run defenses in football. The team should get back to running the ball and allow Aaron Rodgers to manage in a big divisional game. While Garrett Wilson is coming off an impressive 22-target game, he is likely to regress in production against a top-three secondary in football.

Team Def. Rank Vs. QBS Def. Rank Vs. RBS Def. Rank Vs. WRS Def. Rank Vs. TES Def. 2 Man % Def. Zone % Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards per Game
Bills 10th 31st 3rd 13th 18.3 75.6 55.8 28.4 181.6 118.2
Jets 19th 8th 7th 2nd 35.5 61.4 63.2 18.6 206.2 80.4

Quarterbacks

Buffalo Bills
Player Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Week 6 Ranking Start % FP/G A/G SCRM YDS/G 1 Read % YAC % Press % ADOT
Josh Allen 7th Low
QB1
90% 22.0 26.2 5.2 221.0 61.2 55 41.8 9.1
New York Jets
Player Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Week 6 Ranking Start % FP/G A/G SCRM YDS/G 1 Read % YAC % Press % ADOT
Aaron Rodgers 21st Low
QB2
65% 16.4 36.4 2.2 227.4 54.9 67.6 26.1 6.8
  • The Jets have only allowed 2 passing touchdowns this season. 
  • Josh Allen has averaged only 1 passing touchdown per game in 11 career games versus the Jets.
  • Aaron Rodgers has just one game over 20 fantasy points this season.

Running Backs

Buffalo Bills
Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 6 Ranking Start % FP/G ATT/G ATT % TGT % Off. Snaps/G i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT
James Cook* 10th Mid RB2 82% 16.8 14.0 50.4% 9.7% 55% 50 43.3 2.9 0.13 1.74 2.67
Ray Davis 63rd Outside the Top 48 35% 3.9 5.2 18.7% 3.7% 22% 16.7 6.7 0 0.23 2.08 0.81
Ty Johnson 54th Low RB4 50% 5.3 2.0 7.2% 4.5% 18% 33.3 16.7 20 0.1 2.4 1.8
New York Jets
Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 6 Ranking Start % FP/G ATT/G ATT % TGT % Off. Snaps/G i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT
Breece Hall 21st High RB1 95% 14.1 12.2 54.0% 14.7% 74% 100 58.3 3.1 0.14 2.66 0.37
Braelon Allen 42nd Mid RB3 73% 8.5 7.2 31.9% 5.8% 29% 0 16.7 3.1 0.22 3.25 1.22
James Cook – Questionable for Monday
  • The Bills have allowed 3 running backs to have 6 or more receptions in a game this year.
  • The Bills have allowed a rushing touchdown in back-to-back games.
  • The Jets have allowed 3 opposing running backs to run over 60 rushing yards.
  • Ray Davis would get a boost to RB3 with James Cook out.

Pass Catchers

Buffalo Bills
Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 6 Ranking Start % FP/G Off. Snaps/G TGT/G TGT % RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE
Khalil Shakir* 31st Mid WR3 74% 13.3 59% 4.8 14.18% 21 80.5 146 0 21.1 12.1 12.8
Keon Coleman 67th Mid WR5 53% 7.7 66% 3.2 11.94% 20 3.9 68 2 18.9 37.5 10.6
Curtis Samuel 110th Outside the Top 60 20% 2.9 35% 2.6 9.70% 12 67.2 48 2 13.5 10 4.9
Dalton Kincaid (TE) TE12 Low TE1 75% 7.5 63% 4.8 17.91% 20 59.8 117 2 18.9 20.6 6.3
New York Jets
Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 6 Ranking Start % FP/G Off. Snaps/G TGT/G TGT % RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE
Garrett Wilson 23rd High WR2 83% 14.5 94% 11.2 29.5% 38 36.6 134 1 36.2 30.8 11.2
Mike Williams 82nd WR5 50% 4.9 57% 2.8 7.4% 23 15.7 23 1 10 15.2 4.5
Allen Lazard 29th Low WR4 60% 13.6 85% 6.8 17.9% 35 50 106 3 20.8 12.9 8.9
Tyler Conklin (TE) TE16 High TE2 65% 7.0 90% 5.4 14.21% 32 51.9 99 1 9.2 11.3 2.4
*Khalil Shakir – Game Time Decision
  • The Jets have allowed opposing WR1s to gain 60 or more receiving yards in a game.
  • The Jets have not allowed a TE over 40 receiving yards this year.
  • The Bills have allowed 3 receivers over 60 yards, and 2 of them were last week against the Texans.
  • The Bills have let 2 tight ends over 30 yards this year.

In case you missed it, our First Round Mock Draft presented by the Dynasty Nerds’ Film Room was released earlier this week. See who some of our college analysts have going in the Top 12 of 2025 NFL rookie drafts:

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Table of Contents

Quarterbacks
FP/G Fantasy Points per Game
YPA Passing Yards per Attempt
SCRM QB Rush Attempts per Game
YDS/G Yards Per Game
First Read % Percentage of Throws to the QB’s 1st Read or Designed Throws
YAC % Percentage of Passing Yards that come after the catch
Press % Percentage of Dropbacks Under Pressure
ADOT Average Depth of Target
Running Backs
FP/G Fantasy Points per Game
ATT/G Attempts per Game
ATT % Team Carry Share
TGT % Team Target Share
Off. Snaps/G Offensive Snaps per Game
i5 % Percentage of Team’s Inside-the-5 Carries
i20 % Percentage of Team’s Inside-the-20 Carries
EXP RUN % Percentage of Runs to go for 15+ Yards
MTF/ATT Missed Tackles Forced per Attempt
YACO/ATT Yards After Contact per Attempt
YBCO/ATT Yards Before Contact per Attempt
Pass Catchers
FP/G Fantasy Points per Game
Off. Snaps/G Offensive Snaps Per Game
TGT/G Targets Per Game
TGT % Team Target Share
RTE/G Routes Run Per Game
SLOT RTE % Percentage of Routes Run from the Slot
YAC Yards After the Catch
EZTGT Endzone Targets
1READ % Percentage of Team’s 1st Read and Designed Targets
MAN WIN RATE Percentage of Routes against Man Coverage with a Positive Separation Score
ZONE WIN RATE Percentage of Routes against Zone Coverage with a Positive Separation Score





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