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Statistics and PLAYER ADVICE for Week 5

Statistics and PLAYER ADVICE for Week 5


The Week 5 Fantasy Preview for Thursday Night Football and the International Sunday game was curated by senior staff writer Steven Pintado using statistics from the Fantasy Points Data Suite. If you want access to these stats (and dozens of other proprietary figures) sign up here and use promo code NERDS to save 25% on a Data Suite or All-In subscription. Without further ado, let’s dig in to the TNF/International fantasy preview!

(Photo by Andrew Bershaw/Icon Sportswire)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1) vs Atlanta Falcons (2-2)

Game Summary

Team Def. Rank Vs. QBS Def. Rank Vs. RBS Def. Rank Vs. WRS Def. Rank Vs. TES Def. 2 Man % Def. Zone % Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards per Game
Buccaneers 27th 21st 4th 10th 13.8 84.4 59.5 24.3 223 96
Falcons 14th 9th 12th 26th 17.2 76.6 53.8 18.8 206.5 102.8

The first fantasy preview of Week 5 has the Buccaneers traveling to Atlanta to take on the Falcons for Thursday Night Football. The Buccaneers will continue relying on their passing game, as it was red hot a week ago. You should expect great games from Chris Godwin and Mike Evans.

For the Falcons, it all centers around Bijan Robinson. The offense didn’t look good when Robinson has struggled. This is why the Falcons brought in Kirk Cousins—to step up in a big divisional game.

Quarterbacks

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Player Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Week 5 Ranking Start % FP/G A/G SCRM A/G First
Read %
YAC % Press % ADOT
Baker Mayfield 2nd QB1 90% 25.5 32.3 3.0 262.3 69 59.2 23.2 5.7
Atlanta Falcons
Player Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Week 5 Ranking Start % FP/G A/G SCRM YDS/G First Read % YAC % Press % ADOT
Kirk Cousins 27th QB2 60% 12.6 29.8 1.5 215.5 62.2 51.3 31 7.7
  • Baker Mayfield is averaging 9 fantasy points fewer on the road than at home.
  • Kirk Cousins has thrown 4 interceptions in 3 home games this year.

Running Backs

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 5 Ranking Start % FP/G ATT/G ATT % TGT % Off. Snaps/G i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT
Rachaad White 36th RB3 75% 9.7 10.3 43.6 12.4 68% 37.5 33.3 4.9 0.22 2.12 0.68
Bucky Irving 40th RB3 76% 7.4 8.8 37.2 6.2 35% 37.5 40 8.6 0.23 3.06 2.74
Atlanta Falcons
Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 5 Ranking Start % FP/G ATT/G ATT % TGT % Off. Snaps/G i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT
Bijan Robinson 23rd RB1 90% 14.2 13.8 61.1 13.4 78% 100 50 3.6 0.16 2.09 1.98
Tyler Allgeier 50th RB3 60% 5.7 6.8 30.0 2.5 25% 0 50 7.4 0.19 2.63 3.52
  • The Falcons have allowed 70 or more rushing yards to an opposing running back in every game.
  • The Buccaneers have allowed 70 or more rushing yards in the last 3 games.

Pass Catchers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 5 Ranking Start % FP/G Off. Snaps/G TGT/G TGT % RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE
Mike Evans 21st WR1 90% 14.4 80% 6.8 20.93 30 28.3 63 6 25.8 36 15.4
Chris Godwin 7th WR1 95% 19.3 83% 8.5 26.36 29.3 65 188 1 33.7 29.2 7.9
Jalen McMillan 88th Outside the Top 60 10% 5.0 80% 2.0 4.65 18.3 26 8 0 5.6 19.4 16.2
Cade Otton (TE) TE 22 TE2 50% 5.5 93% 5.3 16.28 26.3 29.5 50 1 13.5 19 8.5
Atlanta Falcons
Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 5 Ranking Start % FP/G Off. Snaps/G TGT/G TGT % RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE
Drake London 30th WR2 80% 13.0 100% 7.8 26.05 27.5 32.7 49 3 37.8 29.4 16.9
Darnell Mooney 43rd WR4 65% 10.9 95% 6.0 20.17 28.5 38.6 89 0 24.3 29.7 17.8
Kyle Pitts (TE) TE 18 TE1 70% 6.1 77% 3.8 12.61 21.3 35.3 38 2 9.5 23.1 10.9
  • The Buccaneers have allowed just 1 receiving touchdown to a receiver this season.
  • The Falcons have allowed 5 receivers to amass over 70 receiving yards during their 4 games.
Fantasy Preview
(Photo by Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire)

New York Jets (2-2) vs. Minnesota Vikings (4-0)

Pre-Game Fantasy Preview

Team Def. Rank Vs. QBS Def. Rank Vs. RBS Def. Rank Vs. WRS Def. Rank Vs. TES Def. 2 Man % Def. Zone % Offensive Plays Ran Points Per Game Pass Yards Per Game Rush Yards per Game
Jets 2nd 6th 9th 3rd 35.7 62 61.3 19 203.3 91.5
Vikings 13th 3rd 30th 27th 15.4 77.6 57.3 29 217 123.8

The NFL is heading overseas again, with the Jets and Vikings playing in London. The Jets will look to rebound after a terrible Week 4 performance on offense. New York may need to lean on their passing game in a favorable matchup in the air. It all starts with getting Breece Hall going, even in a tough matchup. The Vikings are in for another test as they take on a Jets defense that ranks in the Top 10. If Sam Darnold throws the ball to Justin Jefferson, then the offense should do well.

Quarterbacks

New York Jets
Player Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Week 5 Ranking Start % FP/G A/G SCRM A/G First
Read %
YAC % Press % ADOT
Aaron Rodgers 19th QB2 65% 16.6 32.0 2.8 223.3 67.2 54.4 24 6.5
Minnesota Vikings
Player Fantasy Rank
(6 PPT)
Week 5 Ranking Start % FP/G A/G SCRM YDS/G First Read % YAC % Press % ADOT
Sam Darnold 4th QB2 75% 25.1 26.5 3.8 245.5 64.2 44.1 39.3 8.3
  • Aaron Rodgers has averaged 245 passing yards and 2 touchdowns vs. the Vikings in his career.
  • Sam Darnold has over 20 fantasy points in each of his last 3 starts.

Running Backs

New York Jets
Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 5 Ranking Start % FP/G ATT/G ATT % TGT % Off. Snaps/G i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT
Breece Hall 15th RB1 90% 16.2 14.0 56.6 17.6 74% 100 58.3 3.6 0.14 2.71 0.39
Braelon Allen 37th RB3 65% 9.4 6.8 27.3 6.6 30% 0 16.7 3.7 0.26 3.37 1.44
Minnesota Vikings
Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 5 Ranking Start % FP/G ATT/G ATT % TGT % Off. Snaps/G i5% i20% EXP Run % MTF/ATT YACO/ATT YBCO/ATT
Aaron Jones 8th RB1 95% 18.1 16.0 57.1 17.9 65% 85.7 66.7 7.8 0.16 3.58 1.44
Ty Chandler 54th RB4 45% 4.8 7.0 25.0 3.8 29% 0 16.7 3.6 0.11 1.46 2.71
  • Breece Hall (3.1) is averaging fewer yards per carry compared to Braelon Allen (4.6)
  • Aaron Jones is the clear RB1 in Minnesota with a significantly higher Att%, Off. Snap/G, and I5% work over Ty Chandler.

Pass Catchers

New York Jets
Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 5 Ranking Start % FP/G Off. Snaps/G TGT/G TGT % RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE
Garrett Wilson 43rd WR2 85% 10.9 94% 8.5 25.0 35 42.9 79 1 31.2 30 13.2
Mike Williams 88th Outside the top 60 40% 5.0 54% 2.5 7.4 18 15.3 19 1 9.7 17.2 7.1
Allen Lazard 24th WR4 60% 13.7 81% 6.0 17.6 31 44.4 94 1 20.4 7.8 10
Tyler Conklin (TE) TE 21 TE2 70% 5.9 92% 4.5 13.24 29.8 52.9 61 1 7.5 13 3.3
Minnesota Vikings
Player Fantasy Rank (PPR) Week 5 Ranking Start % FP/G Off. Snaps/G TGT/G TGT % RTE/G SLOT RTE % YAC EZTGT 1READ % MAN WIN RATE ZONE WIN RATE
Justin Jefferson 4th WR1 95% 20.0 84% 7.3 27.36 26 31.7 120 3 35.3 29.2 15.5
Jordan Addison 19th WR4 65% 14.7 59% 4.0 7.55 18.5 29.7 5 1 19.4 40 23.1
Jalen Nailor 52nd Outside the Top 60 30% 9.5 62% 3.0 11.32 19.3 39 23 4 13.2 55.6 11.8
Josh Oliver (TE) TE 40 Outside the Top 24 10% 3.4 54% 1.3 4.72 9.3 0 14 0 4.4 50 6.7
Johnny Mundt (TE) TE 28 Outside the Top 24 25% 4.4 66% 2.8 10.38 20.3 28.4 17 1 2.9 5.6 10.9
  • The Vikings have allowed opposing slot receivers in the last 3 games to produce over 90 receiving yards per game.
  • The Jets have allowed 1 receiver over 70 yards this season.

Thank you for reading the Fantasy Preview! For further fantasy advice, hit me up on X @CoachStevenP or on the Dynasty Nerds Discord! My content is aimed at those in the #NerdHerd wanting easily digestible information to help them win a dynasty championship.

If you enjoyed our fantasy preview, don’t miss fellow nerd Brad Custer’s Positional Matchups article released earlier this week. He has all the best offenses and defenses to target for every position:

Are you interested in joining the #NerdHerd? Use the code “coach” for 15% off any membership. Sign up here and get an edge on all of your league mates today! You can get access to the DynastyGM tool (including our Trade Calculator and new Trade Finder), the Prospect Film Room, an extra weekly podcast, full rankings, and much, much more!

TB/ATL NYJ/MIN

Table of Contents

Quarterbacks
FP/G Fantasy Points per Game
YPA Passing Yards per Attempt
SCRM QB Rush Attempts per Game
YDS/G Yards Per Game
First Read % Percentage of Throws to the QB’s 1st Read or Designed Throws
YAC % Percentage of Passing Yards that come after the catch
Press % Percentage of Dropbacks Under Pressure
ADOT Average Depth of Target
Fantasy Preview
Running Backs
FP/G Fantasy Points per Game
ATT/G Attempts per Game
ATT % Team Carry Share
TGT % Team Target Share
Off. Snaps/G Offensive Snaps per Game
i5 % Percentage of Team’s Inside-the-5 Carries
i20 % Percentage of Team’s Inside-the-20 Carries
EXP RUN % Percentage of Runs to go for 15+ Yards
MTF/ATT Missed Tackles Forced per Attempt
YACO/ATT Yards After Contact per Attempt
YBCO/ATT Yards Before Contact per Attempt
Fantasy Preview
Pass Catchers
FP/G Fantasy Points per Game
Off. Snaps/G Offensive Snaps Per Game
TGT/G Targets Per Game
TGT % Team Target Share
RTE/G Routes Run Per Game
SLOT RTE % Percentage of Routes Run from the Slot
YAC Yards After the Catch
EZTGT Endzone Targets
1READ % Percentage of Team’s 1st Read and Designed Targets
MAN WIN RATE Percentage of Routes against Man Coverage with a Positive Separation Score
ZONE WIN RATE Percentage of Routes against Zone Coverage with a Positive Separation Score
Fantasy Preview





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