Fantasy football is really just a math problem. 📊 In this episode of the Dynasty Nerds Podcast, Garret Price and Andrew Mott share the fantasy football stats that matter most, the numbers they actually use to draft, trade, and spot breakouts.
Listen to This Episode:
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Draft Odds and Breakout Windows
Andrew breaks down rookie hit rates by draft round, and the gap is massive: a round two running back hits around 70 percent of the time, while a round two wide receiver sits near 35 percent. 🤔 He also maps out breakout age cutoffs, which is why he is cooling on Dalton Kincaid and weighing whether RJ Harvey or Jonah Coleman can still pop, while Jonathon Brooks stays young enough to buy.
Follow the Opportunity
Garret hunts for volume, digging into team target share by position and pass play percentage to find where the opportunities live. 🔥 That is why he is nervous about Jaxon Smith-Njigba in a run leaning Seattle offense but intrigued by the raw volume around Josh Jacobs in Green Bay. Pair it with the latest Dynasty Rankings to pressure test your own roster.
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